Jesse Scheckner
Amendment 3 and Amendment 4, which respectively would legalize recreational pot and protect abortion access in the Florida Constitution, both carry majority support among likely Florida voters, new polling shows.
But only the abortion measure has enough backing now to pass on Nov. 5.
Amendment 4, which would prohibit government intervention in abortion procedures before viability or when necessary to protect the mother’s health, has 61% support, pollsters found. That’s 1 percentage point above the 60% supermajority necessary for the measure to succeed.
Meanwhile, Amendment 3, which among other things would decriminalize the possession of up to 3 ounces of pot for adults 21 and older, has 58% support — 2 points shy of the threshold.
Jacksonville-based Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy interviewed 625 likely voters by phone Oct. 1-4 on behalf of NBC 6 and Telemundo 51. The firm randomly selected whom it called from a phone-matched Florida voter registry and assigned quotas to voter turnout by county.
A majority of respondents from all age groups, all Florida regions, both sexes and three ethnic groups pollsters stratified for are behind both proposals. Only one group, Republicans, oppose Amendment 4 more than they support it.
Amendment 3
A larger share of women (61%) is for Amendment 3 than men (56%). In both gender groups, 7% are undecided.
Voters under 50 support recreational cannabis by a wider margin (64%-29%) than those older than them (55%-39%).
Hispanic voters are most split on the issue, with 52% supporting legalization and 43% against it. The issue leads by 28 points among Black voters (65%-37%) and by 25 points among White voters (59%-34%).
Democrats most support the measure (72%-21%), followed by independents (54%-38%) and Republicans (49%-45%).
Accordingly, Amendment 3 is most popular in the Southeast, where it carries 62% support compared to 30% opposition. It’s polling weakest in North Florida, where 53% of voters are for it and 41% are against it.
Amendment 4
Women are more than twice as likely (66%-28%) to support Amendment 4 than oppose it. Men are less keen on the proposal, with 57% supporting it and 37% opposing it. Equal shares of both sexes (6%) are still on the fence about the issue.
Under-50 voters are slightly more likely to vote “yes” on the measure (62%-32%) than their older neighbors (60%-33%).
Black voters, more than any of the three ethnic groups Mason-Dixon denoted, support Amendment 4, with 84% saying they’ll surely vote for it compared to 59% of White voters and 54% of Hispanic voters.
The measure is polling best among Democrats, of whom 89% are for enshrining abortion rights in the state constitution. Fifty-nine percent of independents are with them, while just 39% of Republicans said the same.
The poll had a 4-percentage-point margin of error and 95% accuracy. Subgroups, such as gender or age, had higher margins of error.
Mason-Dixon’s numbers come two weeks after a Victory Insights survey showed neither Amendment 3 nor Amendment 4 had enough support to pass, but that there was a large enough share of undecided voters who could still make it happen.
For Amendment 3, Victory pollsters found that 17% of voters were uncommitted at the end of September, while more than 1 in 5 voters had yet to choose a side on Amendment 4. The new figures from Mason-Dixon show the share of undecideds for both are now down to single digits.
16 comments
PeterH
October 14, 2024 at 2:43 pm
In Florida the population is 52% female and 48% male. Nationally 60% of females support Kamala Harris and 40% of females are either undecided or Trump supporters.
Cheesy Floridian
October 14, 2024 at 3:31 pm
Vote yes on both amendments people! Do we want actual freedom in the state of Florida or the fake freedom DeSantis says we have? Come on we are smarter than him! Vote yes on both!!
The Sage "E" [ECONOMICS PROFFESOR]
October 14, 2024 at 7:11 pm
Good evening Florida,
We should be promoting Adoption not Abortion.
The Sage “E” [ECONOMICS PROFFESOR]
Cheesy Floridian
October 14, 2024 at 9:13 pm
Freedom = choice. Choice = freedom. Vote yes on 3 and 4
cassandra was right
October 15, 2024 at 12:59 pm
Adoption is NOT an alternative to Abortion. Adoption is an alternative to parenting. Women who lose a child through adoption suffer to a greater degree than women who lose a child through death. Government or society coerced adoption is cruel. Morally it is the woman’s choice — ONLY.
NO FORCED PREGNANCY!
Respect WOMEN’S PERSONHOOD!
Vote YES on 4
Your Body Your Right
October 18, 2024 at 7:14 am
Freedom above all else. The government should have no say in what you can and cannot do with your body. The right to choose or the right to die
yew oweme
October 21, 2024 at 1:06 pm
EARL, you are an 83 year old perv, who cares what you think. does your mother regret not adopting you out? if you were my kid i would dis-own you. earl, you are deplorable. your comments are poison, i treat them as such. basically, i’m a good person, and you are a bad person. i can’t make it any simpler for you. you seem to actually think you are funny, how stupid of you.
Brian Kelly
October 15, 2024 at 9:40 am
Bologna! Not true at all! This is an obviously very lame and desperate, futile attempt at voter suppression! Trying to make voters believe cannabis legalization doesn’t have any chance to pass so that people won’t bother to get out and vote for it. It’s a bold faced lie!
Truth: Prohibition and Reefer Madness are only pushed and believed by a very small, lunatic-fringe minority of irrational looney-tune Holier Than Thou types that are on a never ending little personal moral-crusade and witch-hunt against relatively benign cannabis and it’s consumers. The rest of us sane, rational, normal Americans just laugh our butts off at and mock utterly desperate lying prohibitionists and their ridiculous Reefer-Madness-Rhetoric as the comedy show they truly are!
Every major poll in the nation shows that The Vast Majority of Americans favor The Legalization of Cannabis Nationwide!
“Americans Favor Legalizing Cannabis Support surged 10 percentage points in past year””
-Gallup Poll
“A solid majority of voters nationwide favor legalizing and regulating cannabis similar to the way alcohol and tobacco cigarettes are currently regulated. Most also dont believe it should be a crime for people to smoke cannabis in the privacy of their own homes”
-Rasmussen Poll
“Americans favor making cannabis legal for adults, according to the findings of a CNN/ORC International survey released late Monday. The percentage is the highest ever reported by the survey, which has been tracking public opinion on the issue since 1973, and marks a 12 percentage point jump in support since the last time pollsters posed the question in 2012”
-CNN Poll
Brian Kelly
October 15, 2024 at 9:40 am
There is absolutely no doubt now that the majority of Americans want to completely legalize cannabis nationwide. Our numbers grow on a daily basis.
The prohibitionist view on cannabis is the viewpoint of a minority and rapidly shrinking percentage of Americans. It is based upon decades of lies and propaganda.
Each and every tired old lie they have propagated has been thoroughly proven false by both science and society.
Their tired old rhetoric no longer holds any validity. The vast majority of Americans have seen through the sham of cannabis prohibition in this day and age. The number of prohibitionists left shrinks on a daily basis.
With their credibility shattered, and their not so hidden agendas visible to a much wiser public, what’s left for a cannabis prohibitionist to do?
Maybe, just come to terms with the fact that Cannabis Legalization Nationwide is an inevitable reality that’s approaching much sooner than prohibitionists think, and there is nothing they can do to stop it!
Legalize Nationwide!…and Support All Cannabis Legalization Efforts!
Tom
October 16, 2024 at 10:51 pm
I find it curious that the ads against both amendments don’t actually address the substance of the amendments. The ads against amendment 3 try to convince you that “big weed” is responsible for it, and that is why they oppose it. The ads against amendment 4 try to convince you that the language is vague, and that is why they oppose it. The truth is that opponents to amendment 3 are opposed to legalizing weed no matter what. And the opponents to amendment 4 are opposed to legalizing abortion no matter what.
Additional Porcupine
October 17, 2024 at 10:33 am
Both of these amendments have a higher percentage of support than the 2006 amendment that implemented the 60% requirement, which received 57.78%. If a rule can’t pass by its own standards, it shouldn’t pass.
Your Body Your Right
October 18, 2024 at 7:16 am
^THIS^
joe smith
October 20, 2024 at 10:59 pm
FAKE NEWS AMEDMENT 3 has way more support and better chance of passing the 4. WOW the media lies big time
Rick Scott
October 20, 2024 at 11:04 pm
Both will pass 3 & 4. The writter is both anti usa & a flipflop kamala supporter. what do you expect from such a more on (no typo) Jesse Scheckner his name should be jussie smollett
yew oweme
October 21, 2024 at 12:46 pm
RICK SCOTT, everyone is a harris supporter. why would any sane, caring voter vote for trump or scott. haters don’t support, they just hate. scott is a huge hater.
Jonathan
October 24, 2024 at 2:06 pm
Amendment 4 is nothing more than expanding abortion with no limits they use rape, incest in commercials but give them those exemptions it would not be enough. It is about unlimited abortion on demand 0-9 months. Thats the abortion industry’s goal. As of October 16, 2024, nine states and Washington, D.C. do not restrict abortion based on gestational duration 0-9 months:
Alaska, Colorado, District of Columbia, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, New Jersey, New Mexico, Oregon, and Vermont. Just Remember if you vote Yes on Amendment 4 you’ve attached yourself to every abortion that it expands. You’ll be dragging that spiritual judgment in this life and to eternal judgment. Your body your choice? No, God gave you that body it’s his. You were to do good and not evil in it. We were all pre-born innocent and deserving of life. The abortion industry will abort premature babies you see in the hospital without a second thought.
As for Amendment 3 all the tax money should go to pay for all the new schizophrenia cases for 12–25-year-olds caused by all this pot smoking. My cousin a pot smoker got schizophrenia at 18 yrs. Ruined his life he’s in his 50’s now still on total disability. The age limit medically should be minimum 25 years, but we all know teens will get their hands on it still.
Apartments and Bussineses need to be able to ban pot in their complexes. The crap seeps through the wall it’s disgusting to have pot head neighbors next door to your child. Who is breathing in their pot smoke seeping into their bedroom. We all know cigarette smoke in apartments it’s just the same.
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