Florida GOP says Donald Trump victory ‘assured,’ cites poll showing strong minority support
Image via AP.

Charlie Kirk Donald Trump Turning Point AP
'This has been consistent in both public and private polling for months.'

Democrats in Florida may be engaged statewide in grassroots campaigning for the otherwise absent Kamala Harris ticket.

But Republicans have consistently said it’s all for naught, and three weeks ahead of votes being counted, the Florida GOP is producing polling that shows Donald Trump with majority support and a 7-point lead.

“Our polling shows what any sane observer already knows: Florida is not in play for Kamala Harris and the Democrats,” said Republican Party of Florida (RPOF) Chair Evan Power. “President Trump has a strong lead over Kamala Harris here, and this has been consistent in both public and private polling for months.”

Trump, per the released internal polling, is up 51% to 44%. To put that read from the Tarrance Group survey in perspective, it is slightly more optimistic than the RealClearPolitics’ average 6.1-point lead for the former President in a state he’s carried twice.

The poll suggests that Harris is deeply underwater with Hispanic voters, with 69% behind Trump. And Black voters, long held as central to any Democratic coalition, aren’t monolithic either, as 1 in 5 polled back the former President.

The survey also shows Harris underwater in terms of job approval, with 54% disapproving of her work as Vice President. The poll shows 53% view her leadership qualities negatively, while 56% of respondents believe she’s to the left of President Joe Biden.

Immigration and the economy, two major issues for Trump, are the top priorities for a third of the electorate. Meanwhile, reproductive rights, which are key for Democratic hopes, matter most to only 1 in 10 poll respondents.

“Facts matter, and here are the facts in Florida: There are one million more Republicans than Democrats, the RPOF political machine is working around the clock to turn out our voters, Democrats are not investing significant resources here, and Republicans win on key issues like the border and the economy. This all adds up to one thing: Florida will stay ‘red’ this election,” Power promised.

While Democrats tout a “Republicans for Harris” movement, amid marches and golf cart parades in places ranging from St. Augustine to the Villages, the RPOF clearly is betting on a silent majority picking Trump for the third time in eight years in next month’s election.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. His work also can be seen in the Washington Post, the New York Post, the Washington Times, and National Review, among other publications. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


54 comments

  • Cheesy Floridian

    October 15, 2024 at 10:36 am

    I don’t think Florida will stay red but go back to purple. I believe that DeSantis has pushed the state to far to the right and a lot of people in the state don’t like that direction. Will the state go to Trump? Maybe but I don’t think that will mean that a lot of state elections will go to the GOP. Democrats stayed home in 2022 and DeSantis was riding high on his popular covid policies. But I think the signs are there that Florida is still a swing state and we will be more purple than red

    • GeorgeGreenfield

      October 15, 2024 at 11:59 am

      I have made $200 reliably in one day.That was my ideal day in my life and my boss was to a great degree content with me..CNN is additionally awed from my work and is outstandingly happy..check also unpretentious parts by open the affiliation and tap on HOME TECH OR MEDIA………

      Begin here>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Payathome9.Com

  • Billy Rotberg

    October 15, 2024 at 12:01 pm

    Nothing is assured. But it looks like the GOP will retake the senate. That makes the Harris agenda (Whatever that is) null and void.

    • MHDuuuval

      October 15, 2024 at 1:21 pm

      CORRECTION:

      Harris has an agenda — building out the middle class and assisting the upward mobility of those who want to be middle class.

      Trump has an enemies list that grows longer with every passing day, which is why he is dodging debates and continuously castigating asylum seekers who want to work and live in a safe environment.

      • A day without Libturds

        October 15, 2024 at 3:21 pm

        Biden ran and hid like a bitch. Willie Brown’s hooker failed to debate on fox. Y’all are dumb fuk juice drinkers.

        • Billy Rotberg

          October 15, 2024 at 5:34 pm

          And all the democrats said Biden was in perfect health right up until the end. They are not to be trusted with anything.

        • Liberal

          October 15, 2024 at 9:15 pm

          Says the manchild, woman hating troll.

  • Billy Rotberg

    October 15, 2024 at 2:08 pm

    CORRECTION
    She has no agenda. Raising tax rates only hurts the middle class. Funny how none of her so called brilliant ideas are being utilized in the biden administration. It’s just a scam. Liberals are so easy to swindle.

    • TJC

      October 15, 2024 at 2:22 pm

      Bullshit.

      • Billy Rotberg

        October 15, 2024 at 3:15 pm

        Nope. You are dumb enough to believe raising taxes is going to help the middle class. TJC. You blue cultist shills are laughable.

        • TJC

          October 16, 2024 at 10:59 am

          Billy, I’d have to be decapitated to be dumber than you. The more you write, the dumber you prove yourself to be. So, write on, man.

      • A day without Libturds

        October 15, 2024 at 3:22 pm

        Bullshit is what you dumb fuks swallow every day. You love the taste.

        • TJC

          October 16, 2024 at 11:02 am

          And you love the taste of ass. Donald’s ass, Ron’s ass, Rick’s ass. Kiss kiss, lick lick, every day.
          Beats thinking, I guess.

          • A day without Libturds

            October 16, 2024 at 7:35 pm

            You love the taste of double digit inflation. Illegals raping, the smell of shit on the sidewalks, nazi gun control and groomers abusing 5 year olds.

    • JD

      October 15, 2024 at 2:33 pm

      Just like a poor Small Business Owner from some scumbag MCA vendor charging loan shark rates.

      • Billy Rotberg

        October 15, 2024 at 3:11 pm

        Made possible by the Obama administration. Don’t worry, Harris will grow the MCA industry BTW, What did Obama do about MCAs? So much for his “Getting tough on the banks” bs. Just another lie JD All he did was eliminate over the limit fees and the banks responded by doubling their interest rates.
        Scumbag.

        • A day without Libturds

          October 15, 2024 at 3:24 pm

          Libturds are stupid. They enjoy being bent over a coffee table by their masters while they Take a glide up their choco latta.

        • JD

          October 15, 2024 at 3:25 pm

          You calling yourself a scumbag?

          You TOOK ADVANTAGE of small business owners needing a bridge to pay their workers or feed their families with that type of business, just like paycheck cashing firms.

          And then have the gull to come here and pontificate like you’re some moral compass north? You sir are the scumbag.

          • A day without Libturds

            October 15, 2024 at 4:54 pm

            You deflected good questions like the bitch that you are jd cum burping gutter trash.

          • Billy Rotberg

            October 15, 2024 at 4:56 pm

            So says JD the one who posts about sucking male sex organs. You lack the mental capacity to even spell hypocrite correctly.

          • JD

            October 15, 2024 at 5:00 pm

            Look at you William, using 2 monikers and talking like a gutter trash. Scumbag.

            Oh, and I got Hypocrite correct after I put on my glasses and caught it, so ok, I made a mistake in spelling. So what?

            You cannot escape the fact you and your alter-ego act pious, but are scumbags together.

            Keep cheating the poor and middle-class and see if they don’t revolt on you.

            I found a plugin for Chrome that turns off the comments here, so I don’t have to see it, and since I don’t get notified form new posts, I won’t see your lies.

            Why do you lie William?

          • Billy Rotberg

            October 15, 2024 at 5:23 pm

            Most of them used the money to grow their business JD. When we started 29% interest was the max. Now it’s 34%. Where are your democrat gods doing about this? Absolutely nothing! They sure are quiet. Truth is, they don’t care. Best you take your fake empathy and run your little cockroach errands elsewhere.

          • Billy Rotberg

            October 15, 2024 at 5:38 pm

            Yes JD! EVERYONE who tells you to kick rocks must be me! Just like how everyone who does not like you must be a trump supporter. Your paranoia is disturbing.

          • Tom C

            October 15, 2024 at 5:51 pm

            So you admit you were a loaning small businesses at that high rate? 29-34% is damningly high for a small business to swallow.
            I think JD is correct, it is a scum bag thing to be involved in.

          • Billy Rotberg

            October 15, 2024 at 7:26 pm

            I never said anything about LOANING MONEY. Tom. The real scumbags are those in power who let the purchasing power of the 80s and 90s dollar decrease by 50 to 70%. How dare I help them keep their businesses stay in business! How horrible of trump! lowering their tax percentage from 35% to 21 and saving them 500 to 1,000 per week! He put many MCA companies out of business and we’re the bad guys? Whatever drugs you are on you should stop taking. And when or if you collect SSI please be sure to thank democrats for making the benefits worthless and thank biden for making them taxable income.

          • Billy Rotberg

            October 15, 2024 at 7:46 pm

            Obama admin the first to never top 3% in annual GDP growth.
            Politifact.
            Tell us Tom: why didn’t Obama lower the corporate tax rate and put MCAs out of business? Trump did that. By your logic he’s bad for doing that. See how convoluted you people are? Explain. This is an open forum. Why is what you’re selling SOOOOOOO much better? How is it better? Who told you what to post? I await your reply with bated breath…

          • Tom C

            October 15, 2024 at 9:37 pm

            I don’t think I wrote anything about Obama, or Trump.

            But apparently you have an ego and chip. So you go ahead with your rage, but 29-34% is gross.

            And MCA is “merchant cash advance”, which provides businesses with short-term funding. That sure sounds like a loan.

            All the other stuff you just posted about is just trying to mix it up to deflect.

            But whatever.

          • Billy Rotberg

            October 16, 2024 at 4:19 pm

            Sorry you have mental issues Tom. There is no chip. I will always defend myself against the bs you people post about and go on the offensive. Selling your future receivables is not a loan by any stretch of the imagination. Except yours obviously. Don’t act all surprised when you post idiotic comments and then receive push back. That just makes you look more stupid.

          • Tom C

            October 16, 2024 at 5:38 pm

            Nice: “You people” – paranoid much?

            You surely do have a chip, and you sound like a pompus know-it-all.

            It’s a loan no matter how you slice it. You got money you didn’t have and then repay it back later. And with interest apparently.

            Justify it anyway in your brain, but you are wrong.

        • TJC

          October 16, 2024 at 11:02 am

          Bullshit.

        • Billy Rotberg

          October 16, 2024 at 7:45 pm

          Hey Tom! Heinz equipment rental made 50 million off of the 5 million I provided them with. No one else would help them. How exactly does that make my brain wrong? Who are you to judge? What have you ever done? Care to share your big accomplishments? The more you talk about MCAs the more you show just how out of touch with reality YOU PEOPLE are.

          • Tom C

            October 16, 2024 at 10:14 pm

            And you are obviously small and petty having to brag on a public forum. What, Daddy not love you enough? Nobody really cares what you did, but if you have to brag about it, to try and make me feel small you are the one that’s small. The scum bag label fits you. Seek therapy.

          • Billy Rotberg

            October 17, 2024 at 1:51 pm

            Take your own advice Tom. You make a claim, I back it up with verifiable witness testimony and you still flail. You care otherwise you wouldn’t have replied. You’re just so desperate for attention and when I prove you are full of it you revert back to your pathetic personal attacks.

          • Tom C

            October 17, 2024 at 1:57 pm

            “verifiable witness testimony”

            Are we in a court of law? Or just your need for external validation? LOL.

            Wow, just wow. BMOC, is so petty he has to show everyone he is a BMOC.

            Sign. You are truly small and pathetic.

            OK, go ahead and reply, you can have the last comment since it’s that external validation you need in life. LMAO.

          • Billy Rotberg

            October 17, 2024 at 2:18 pm

            So only a court of law has testimonials? Many companies have them. Tom. Again you are incorrect. I shall not only defend myself from you poo fingers I will also go on the offensive. Don’t like being proven to be an idiot? Don’t post idiotic. It’s that simple.

          • Tom C

            October 17, 2024 at 2:54 pm

            You want push back you scumbag, here it is.

            You wrote: “verifiable witness testimony”. So let’s have it? We are waiting with baited breath.

            Everything you post, you try and marginalize people without debating them.

            You could debate, but you just sling what-about-isms and through stuff back. You want to belittle, and why? You think it some how lessens their credibility. When in reality, nobody had that in anon.

            It’s both a tactic of propaganda and the small.

            So f@ck off in closing.

  • Michael K

    October 15, 2024 at 10:55 pm

    Those 39 minutes of Trump “bopping” to his campaign music playlist during a “town hall” was a cringeworthy reminder of the embarrassing public displays of senility by the oldest presidential candidate in history – and reminder of the terrifying prospect of a JD Vance Project 2025 presidency.

    • 60 minutes is fake

      October 16, 2024 at 5:50 am

      Yet you would have gladly voted for senile Joe again. Lying Kammy said he was fine. Hilarious

    • Billy Rotberg

      October 16, 2024 at 7:50 pm

      Biden is the oldest presidential candidate. Nice try at pivoting away from the fact that blue no matter who offers nothing that will ever benefit anyone except themselves. At your expense. Be sure to thank biden for making your ssi benefits double taxed.

  • MHDuuuval

    October 15, 2024 at 11:06 pm

    Obama inherited the economy crashed by W and Cheney. I wish Obama had kicked the shit out of the financial interests who did this to all of us, but Obama preferred to focus on the ACA — which is now most popular in Florida.

    The economy that DJT inherited was making progress — as Polticfact makes clear. Trump left a mess, thanks to Covid.

    “While Roskam’s claim is accurate when based on annual GDP growth figures between 2009 and 2016, there are other ways to look at the data, such as from one quarter to the same in the previous year. Doing so reveals economic growth has surpassed 3 percent during two periods of Obama’s presidency.” — Politifact

    • Billy Rotberg

      October 16, 2024 at 4:24 pm

      You left the part out that says “Historical figures such as global crises” Covid was one so your scapegoating of him while running cover for your God Obama only proves the fact that you are nothing but a partisan hack. Try not to be so obvious next time.

      • MHDuuuval

        October 16, 2024 at 10:31 pm

        Both Obama and DJT faced historical global crises, and I mentioned both in my brief post. That you missed this indicates that you got no game.

        BTW: No sign on the internet that you saved a company with your timely $5 million. Perhaps you dreamed this? Or, you are a crypto criminal? Or, an old-fashioned usurer? Maybe with Russian mob ties?

        Let us in on the secret, BMOC.

  • THE BENELOVANT "E"

    October 16, 2024 at 6:42 am

    Good morning Beautiful Un-Decided Voters,
    Well it’s pretty much a done deal, Kamalla’s not going to be your POTUS.
    You have a choice now to lay in the mud with the loosers or stand up for Truth, Justice, and The American Way for you and your beloved family for generations to come.
    Thank you, Beautiful Un-Decided Voters, for doing the right thing for your family and country,
    THE BENELOVANT “E”

  • waking up right

    October 16, 2024 at 7:34 am

    What “sane” person would vote for that pathetic loser who refuses to acknowledge the will of the people and claims he won the presidency after 60 courts ruled to the contrary and citing NO evidence that he won? You know the traitor who incited a mob to attack the Nation’s Congress on January 6th to try to “stop the steal?” Pathological liar DonOld Tramp, grab em by the pussy, convicted felon, rapist and multiple bankruptcies hawking Bibles made in China, along with his MAGA bling is NOT a “sane” choice. Screw the GOP!

    • Billy Rotberg

      October 16, 2024 at 4:27 pm

      Harris sucks more. Save your sales pitch for the gullible. You are literally a trash possum defending DEM garbage.

      • MHDuuuval

        October 16, 2024 at 10:50 pm

        This could have come directly from Trump’s mouth to MAGA mouth: “How horrible of trump! lowering their tax percentage from 35% to 21 and saving them 500 to 1,000 per week!”

        Biden promised to not raise taxes on anyone making less than $400,000, which is also KH’s promise. Trump predictably wants another cut in corporate taxes and another multi-trillion-dollar tax cut for him and his ultra-wealth stooges. (Like the oil execs who Trump begged for $ one billion in campaign funds — and he would see they got “repaid.”)

        BTW: DJT has not put any of his own money into politics since 2016 — since then campaign spending and attorney fees are paid for by donations. (Talk about your tin idol.)

        • Billy Rotberg

          October 17, 2024 at 2:28 pm

          Does that 400k threshold for couples also apply to singles? They never said. Looks like a marriage penalty.
          Market watch said your taxes will go up despite the biden pledge. Just admit it, you suck if you cannot explain how beneficial the Harris administration would be for the people without mentioning trump. How sad.

      • Billy Rotberg

        October 17, 2024 at 2:01 pm

        Nope. I was rather clear about your obvious bias. The 5 million is a matter of public record they are still on the universal commercial code list under the lender name new logic. That makes you a proven liar. The fact that you missed that shows you have no game and are a fool.

  • Michael K

    October 16, 2024 at 7:37 am

    To quote Adam Parkhomenko’s excellent tweet:

    “Kamala Harris is hitting every media circuit known to man. At this point I wouldn’t be surprised to hear she is speaking at Trump rallies since their candidate is no longer capable of doing that.”

    • MHDuuuval

      October 16, 2024 at 10:33 pm

      She interviewed tonight on Faux news, which is but a few degrees removed from a Trump rally.

      • MHDuuuval

        October 17, 2024 at 10:13 am

        Looks like KH boxed the ears of Bret B.

        • A day without Libturds

          October 17, 2024 at 2:58 pm

          Looks like Willie brown’s hooker can’t answer questions. Libturds have shit for brains.

      • Billy Rotberg

        October 17, 2024 at 2:02 pm

        How dare she be asked legitimate questions.

      • A day without Libturds

        October 17, 2024 at 3:00 pm

        There were no act blue donors taking shots at her ear libturd. You bitches are dangerous.

Comments are closed.


#FlaPol

Florida Politics is a statewide, new media platform covering campaigns, elections, government, policy, and lobbying in Florida. This platform and all of its content are owned by Extensive Enterprises Media.

Publisher: Peter Schorsch @PeterSchorschFL

Contributors & reporters: Phil Ammann, Drew Dixon, Roseanne Dunkelberger, A.G. Gancarski, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, Cole Pepper, Jesse Scheckner, Drew Wilson, and Mike Wright.

Email: [email protected]
Twitter: @PeterSchorschFL
Phone: (727) 642-3162
Address: 204 37th Avenue North #182
St. Petersburg, Florida 33704