A.G. Gancarski
After a Kamala Harris surge Saturday after an Iowa poll showing her leading and a guest spot on Saturday Night Live, Donald Trump has rallied in the PredictIt prediction market.
The PredictIt market for “which party wins the presidency” finds the price of a Democrats’ “Yes” Share slightly higher than Republicans: 54 cents to 52 cents, after GOP shares went up by three cents in the last 24 hours and Democrats’ went down by the same.
The “winner of the 2024 presidential election” market also is approaching equilibrium after Harris being up 8 cents over Trump. A Harris “Yes” is 53 cents, while Trump’s is at 52. The spread was as high as 57-49.
Harris the next president is 54 cents for a yes, 46 cents for a no. That is down two points day over day.
36 comments
I Am Garbage
November 3, 2024 at 7:06 pm
Are you better off now than you were four years ago? It’s the economy stupid and it appears many of the Kammy voters have amnesia with regards to that. Then there is the Southern Border debacle. That right there should disqualify her.
Frankie M.
November 3, 2024 at 7:23 pm
4 years ago I was dealing with Trump’s incompetence i.e., telling people to drink bleach to get rid of covid. So yes I am alive no thanks to Trump.
YEW OWEME
November 3, 2024 at 7:35 pm
MAGA MARK, do you know how silly you sound by acting like you know something about complicated issues. yeah, you can repeat what you hear on fox or the steve bannon show, but dude, that’s all fantasy land crap. grow up and wise up.
I Am Garbage
November 3, 2024 at 7:41 pm
In the simplest of terms so that you might understand. The price of a gallon of gas went up on day one of the Biden administration when he declared war on the petroleum industry. He had to back off at some point as the consumers were balking at the price of fuel. That’s when he opened up the SPR in an attempt to lower the price. Should we talk about groceries, insurance, home prices, etc. or is that too icy for you to grasp. Then there is the Southern Border, foreign policy. Truly the most inept administration in a lifetime.
YEW OWEME
November 3, 2024 at 7:54 pm
MAGA MARK, yeah, i was right, you are an idiot. you keep repeating the same misconceptions that maga pushes. idiot. you may never wise up.
I Am Garbage
November 3, 2024 at 8:12 pm
The truth hurts doesn’t it? Deny all you want and maybe you have full blown dementia. I won’t forget.
YEW OWEME
November 3, 2024 at 8:15 pm
PEACHY, the truth is my friend, no it doesn’t hurt. you idiot.
I Am Garbage
November 3, 2024 at 8:17 pm
What is the truth then in you demented world? Do tell.
I Am Garbage
November 3, 2024 at 8:26 pm
Come on hillbilly, let’s here your wacko view of the truth.
PeterH
November 3, 2024 at 8:27 pm
There is no war on the petroleum industry. You’re posting fake News. Here are the FACTS;
Gasoline was less expensive during Trump’s administration because Trump needlessly pillaged the reserves AND COVID brought about a stall in fossil fuel demand. Fact two. More American fossil fuels have been extracted from American soil under Biden than in ANY period in American history. Fact three. The fossil fuel industry current has over 1000 unexplored site to drill baby drill. Stop your fake News lying.
I Am Garbage
November 3, 2024 at 8:46 pm
Fact. On day one of the Biden administration he signed Executive Orders on restricting leases on Federal Land and Water for oil and gas exploration . Prices immediately went up. It was Biden that then started releasing barrels of oil from the SPR in an attempt to lower prices. Spin away my phony independent.
Fred S
November 4, 2024 at 9:36 am
You are a low-intelligence voter that cannot even get basic facts right. The SPR was 695,116 (thousands of barrels) Jan 2016. It was 638,086 Dec 2020 – a decline of approx. 8%. Today it stands at 379,656 – a decline of approx 40% since Crooked Joe took office. Doh.
YEW OWEME
November 3, 2024 at 8:28 pm
PEACHY everyone has told you that the truth can not be found on right wing propaganda sites like fox and newsmax. you are convinced otherwise, so dude, you can’t handle the truth. i could play your lame game and banter back and forth with you pitting my truths against your lies. no thanks. you are suffering from dunning – kruger effect, so you think you know what’s going on when you really don’t have much of a clue. in other words, you are a maga cultist unable to think on your own.
YEW OWEME
November 3, 2024 at 8:33 pm
PEACHY, it’s simple, whatever you think is a lie, and whatever you think is the truth, is reversed. there is your answer, so don’t be annoying and keep on saying the same shit over and over again. fool. i keep schooling you, and you keep making f’s. fool.
I Am Garbage
November 3, 2024 at 8:47 pm
So what you are saying is you don’t know sh**t. You are just arguing for arguments sake. Just an old blowhard.
cassandra was right
November 3, 2024 at 9:03 pm
Where were you? Miss all the dead people? NY gov on tv all day, Trump and Fauci every day, empty grocery shelves, 5 people at one time allowed in store, small businesses closed, 14% unemployment, schools closed, nursing home residents no visitors, no hospital visitors, surgeries cancelled, dr appointments cancelled, temperature checking everywhere you’d go, standing six feet apart, masks, bare grocery shelves, no tp, tp hoarders, full ships clogging harbor, no truck drivers, no flights, no restaurants, $9 eggs, farmers dumping milk trucks, gassing and burying pigs, gassing chickens, rotting vegetables in field, AND food bank lines wrapping around the block, people couldn’t pay rent, landlords crying, no new cars, used cars too expensive, no daycare,….etc
Dont Say FLA
November 3, 2024 at 9:12 pm
Pining for the past is great for people miserable in their present lives, but the correct comparison to make is how U.S. Americans are doing today relative to how people in other countries are doing today under the worldwide circumstances that exist today. The answer there is that US Americans are doing fantastically better than all others around the entire rest of the the world. And had Trump been President for a 2nd term, we wouldn’t be doing this well. Inflation would have been far worse than it was due to the man’s precious ego. He would have stalled raising interests rates even longer than they took, resulting in a much worst economy and surely a Trump Depression. Praise the Lord interest rates were not subject to Trump’s ego and vanity or we would all truly be as lost as GOP influencers, all of whom are rich by the way, tell half of us we are.
I Am Garbage
November 3, 2024 at 9:17 pm
Pure speculation on your part. Nice spin attempt.
Fred S
November 4, 2024 at 9:40 am
Another low-intelligence voter…. If you will remember, President Trump wanted to LOWER interest rates not raise them. Rates were only raised after massive overspending and liquidity creation supported by the Biden-Harris administration caused runaway inflation. Stop making up your own delusional facts to support your equally delusional opinions.
YEW OWEME
November 3, 2024 at 9:40 pm
MAGA MARK your childish word games are amusing to you because you are easily amused like most low info dudes. don’t be a bigger fool by thinking you’re smarter than you really are. this is the dunning- kruger effect that i have mentioned many times and you ignore it because you know my diagnosis is right. put simply, you are an idiot that is too stupid to know he is an idiopt. dude i’ve tried to explain your problem to you, but you are too far gone it seems. f you is all i know to tell you at this point.
Josh Green
November 4, 2024 at 1:32 pm
“Are you better off now than you were four years ago?”
Yes. Very much so.
Frankie M.
November 3, 2024 at 7:22 pm
Go gata!
Frankie M.
November 3, 2024 at 7:25 pm
If you think it’s bad now. Close the southern border, mass deport everyone willing to pick up a hammer & watch how much your roofs & condo cost then. Great in theory. Bad in reality.
I Am Garbage
November 3, 2024 at 7:31 pm
So no laws? No control? No requirements to enter? Millions have entered at a huge cost to taxpayers. Kammy broke records as Border Czar. Maybe she should buy you a roof.
YEW OWEME
November 3, 2024 at 7:36 pm
whatever dude
Frankie M.
November 3, 2024 at 9:26 pm
How much have those millions saved you in housing costs? How much in food costs? Don’t worry if you get your wish you’ll find out soon enough. How many gringos are willing to do the same work for half the pay or less?
cassandra was right
November 3, 2024 at 10:03 pm
Harris was never the border czar. You know this.
Trump made it much more difficult to enter legally. Make laws equal to when his mother and two of his wives entered. Or when DeSantis’ eight months pregnant g.grandmother entered the country. (Adjusted for pop.)
Economists say deportation will devastate the economy. M*sk agrees, says crash is necessary though. Plans federal $2T/yr cuts
MH/Duuuval
November 3, 2024 at 10:14 pm
Autocrats all over the world have the same plan: Austerity for the masses, increased wealth and power for the wealthiest.
Michael K
November 4, 2024 at 7:35 am
Yes – his current wife, Malaria, got a scarce “genius visa” for her nude modeling.
Fred S
November 4, 2024 at 11:01 am
Way to take down that straw man……. Next time try making an intelligent argument.
Frankie M.
November 3, 2024 at 9:28 pm
Folks like garbage like to file phony roofing insurance claims & then biatch & moan about rising insurance costs.
I Am Garbage
November 4, 2024 at 5:37 am
I have never filed a claim on my homeowners insurance, and I have owned my home a long long time. I did replace my roof eight years ago or so. It was over 20 years old when I replaced it. No insurance games. Its useful life was over. Of course there are neighbors of mine that played that game. Not me. Nice try Frankie M.
MH/Duuuval
November 3, 2024 at 9:58 pm
To the petulant question: No laws? The answer for DJT is No Laws Apply to Him, now or later.
And, the constant disinformation regarding Trump’s loyalties: Russia, Russia, Russia.
The Mueller Report states that if the Special Counsel’s Office felt they could clear the president of wrongdoing, they would have said so. Instead, the Report explicitly states that it “does not exonerate” the President and explains that the Office of Special Counsel “accepted” the Department of Justice policy that a sitting President cannot be indicted.
DJT is a capitalist first and an American second.
Tom
November 4, 2024 at 7:10 am
This pretty much sums it up.
“If the facts are against you, argue the law. If the law is against you, argue the facts. If the law and the facts are against you, pound the table and yell like hell”
― Carl Sandburg
Ocean Joe
November 4, 2024 at 7:07 am
They’re not environmentally friendly, but stock up on paper plates, just in case the bull in the china shop returns.
MH/Duuuval
November 4, 2024 at 9:58 am
Fred S:
Bogus. Strategic petroleum reserves (SPR) is almost irrelevant and in any case doesn’t reflect the actual production of oil in the US, which now is larger than Saudi and Russia.
United States
The US is the world’s largest oil producer, producing an average of 12.8 million barrels of crude oil per day in 2024.
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia’s crude oil production in September 2024 was 8,975,000 barrels per day.
Russia
Russia’s oil and gas condensate production in 2024 is estimated to be 515–521 million tonnes.
from Google AI