Last Call — A prime-time read of what’s going down in Florida politics.
First Shot
Florida has been the crown jewel of battleground states for 20 years. A new Quinnipiac Poll shows no signs that will change come Election Day.
In a head-to-head between President Donald Trump and former VP Joe Biden, the latter holds a 46%-42% lead with one in eight voters undecided.
Both men do well with their base. Republicans back Trump 89%-7%. Democrats are going for Biden 91%-4%. The margin lies among third- and no-party voters, who make up more than a quarter of the electorate. The bloc leans toward Biden 44%-37%.
“Even in the midst of an unprecedented health crisis, Florida delivers a familiar deja vu in the head to head presidential race. It’s Biden, but it’s close as independents play a huge potential role. Sound familiar?” Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy said.
Neither candidate is held in high regard. Biden scored a plus-3 favorability rating, 10 points higher than Trump’s minus-7, but down significantly from the plus-14 he touted last month.
Voters say Trump would be a better steward of the economy than his rival, 50%-44%. On health care, Biden leads 54%-39%.
Biden, however, is seen as the better choice to confront the new coronavirus, arguably a melding of both issues and a metric of paramount importance if there’s a resurgence in the fall.
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Gov. Ron DeSantis’ job approval numbers aren’t setting records anymore, but he still has a majority of Floridians in his corner.
The same Q poll previewing the presidential battle checked the temperature of gubernatorial approval in the coronavirus era. Voters gave DeSantis a plus-20 approval rating.
The margin is on par with pre-coronavirus polls, but his 53% backing falls short of the supermajority support he enjoyed in the before times. A third of voters disapprove of the Governor. The balance are fence-sitters.
Republicans back him 81%-14%; he’s underwater with Democrats 64%-28%; and even with NPAs, 45%-45%.
The downshift from heretofore record approval ratings is a symptom of the pandemic. Opinions on his overall response are mildly positive. His stay-at-home order isn’t.
More than 30 states had enacted statewide restrictions before DeSantis did so earlier this month. Voters docked him points for tardiness, with respondents saying it came too late by a 61%-34% margin. His decision to allow churches to remain open is another sore spot, scoring a minus-9 in the poll.
Coronavirus Numbers
Positive cases:
— 27,791 FL residents (+248 since 10 a.m. Wednesday)
— 785 Non-FL residents (+19 since 10 a.m. Wednesday)
Origin:
— 1,645 Travel related
— 8,506 Contact with a confirmed case
— 1,405 Both
— 16,235 Under investigation
Hospitalizations:
— 4,455 in FL
Deaths:
— 927 in FL
Evening Reads
“Health chief’s early missteps set back coronavirus response” via Rebecca Ballhaus and Stephanie Armour of The Wall Street Journal
“The government is all in on coronavirus: How it’s still not enough” via Ben White of POLITICO
“Why some states became coronavirus hot spots — and others haven’t” via German Lopez of Vox
“All reopening is local, forcing companies to navigate patchwork of laws” via Katy Murphy of POLITICO
“Coronavirus model predicts more deaths, but Florida is still past the peak” via Renzo Downey of Florida Politics
“State increases number of unemployment claims paid, but backlog is still huge” via Lawrence Mower of the Times/Herald
“Floridians want DeSantis’ stay-at-home order to continue until experts say it’s safe” via Alex Daugherty of the Miami Herald
“Reopen Florida task force: Chaos, cacophony on working group conference call” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics
“Reopen Florida task force: Emphasis placed on quick, clear guidance for businesses” via Renzo Downey of Florida Politics
“Reopen Florida: Education working group starts with assumption schools will reopen by fall” via Scott Powers of Florida Politics
“State increases number of unemployment claims paid, but backlog is still huge” via Lawrence Mower of the Times/Herald
“When will Disney World and Disneyland reopen? One analyst predicts it may not be until 2021” via Jayme Deerwester of USA Today
“Shark Tank investor among those who tried to sell N95 masks at a high price to state” via Mary Ellen Klas of the Miami Herald
“Lawyer sues Gov. DeSantis, Hillsborough over emergency orders” via Dan Sullivan of the Tampa Bay Times
“Sarasota County opens beaches with restrictions” via Timothy Fanning of the Sarasota Herald-Tribune
“How the coronavirus crisis is remaking the swing state map” via David Siders of POLITICO
“Donna Shalala apologizes for not reporting stock trades” via Myah Ward of POLITICO
“National group because of Florida’s pre-K spending, standards” via Andrew Atterbury of POLITICO
“Florida Power & Light, Gulf Power plan merger” via the News Service of Florida
“Miami Beach police release photographs, video in Andrew Gillum incident” via WPLG
Quote of the Day
“For those who would say you’re morons, I’d take you any day of the week and twice on Sunday.” — Gov. Ron DeSantis, on Jacksonville easing coronavirus restrictions.
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One comment
Douglas Rothkopf
April 22, 2020 at 6:25 pm
Are you aware that the moment the Government declares it’s open for business and employers open up–unemployment t insurance ends. No matter how unsafe. That’s why only business meaders are on the panel
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