Rasmussen poll shows Anthony Sabatini leads GOP field in CD 7

Anthony Sabatini
He's up on Cory Mills and Brady Duke.

A new poll released by a conservative group shows Anthony Sabatini leading the GOP field in Florida’s 7th Congressional District.

U.S. Term Limits published results from RMG Research, run by conservative pollster Scott Rasmussen, on Republicans seeking the Central Florida seat. Pollsters found 23% of likely Republican Primary voters plan to support Sabatini, a state Representative from Howey-in-the-Hills.

Behind him is Cory Mills, an Iraq and Afghanistan veteran and the choice for 16% of voters. Brady Duke, the fundraising leader through June, comes in third place in this poll, with 9% of the vote.

Rounding out the GOP field, Scott Sturgill registered with 5% while Erika Benfield showed with just 2%. Just 1% of poll respondents picked Ted Edwards and less than 1% chose Rusty Roberts.

But a full 42% of voters remain undecided in the Primary. Pollsters also report a sizable 5.7% margin of error.

FiveThirtyEight gives RMG Research a B- grade in its ratings.

Whoever wins the Republican nomination for the open seat likely heads into the General Election as a strong favorite. Under the new congressional lines signed by Gov. Ron DeSantis, about 52.1% of voters in CD 7 supported Republican Donald Trump in the Presidential Election and 46.57% backed Democrat Joe Biden. That’s a shift from the prior configuration of the district, where Biden won.

Democratic Rep. Stephanie Murphy represents CD 7 now but is not seeking re-election.

The organization, which advocates for term limits for members of Congress, noted that the top two polling candidates — Sabatini and Mills — both support that policy and have signed to support a constitutional amendment to hold House Representatives to three terms. Sturgill and Benfield also signed the pledge. Duke has declined.

The group also polled voters about term limits and found 93% of respondents support such a constitutional amendment, with 78% of voters strongly favoring the restriction.

“This poll shows that voters in District 7 want a pro-term limits candidate who will take on the Washington establishment,” said Nick Tomboulides, executive director of U.S. Term Limits. “It’s very encouraging that the leading candidates here have signed the pledge.”

Pollsters checked what length of tenure voters would like to see before term limits kicked in. About 73% of those polled favored limiting U.S. House members to three terms, while 20% would give House members six terms.

The poll shows particular disdain among GOP Primary voters for President Joe Biden. Just 2% of those sampled approve on the President’s job performance, while 98% disapprove and 96% strongly disapprove.

Jacob Ogles

Jacob Ogles has covered politics in Florida since 2000 for regional outlets including SRQ Magazine in Sarasota, The News-Press in Fort Myers and The Daily Commercial in Leesburg. His work has appeared nationally in The Advocate, Wired and other publications. Events like SRQ’s Where The Votes Are workshops made Ogles one of Southwest Florida’s most respected political analysts, and outlets like WWSB ABC 7 and WSRQ Sarasota have featured his insights. He can be reached at [email protected].


  • Joe Corsin

    July 19, 2022 at 3:12 pm

    Vote RED to shovel gargantuan amounts of cash to the rich ..off the backs of workers and everyone else…as fast as possible for the rest of human history.

  • Elliott Offen

    July 19, 2022 at 3:34 pm

    Never heard of the greaseball…

Comments are closed.


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