Nikki Fried’s campaign prospects fade in prediction markets
Nikki Fried is shifting her star power to electing pro-choice Democrats.

Fried Official Campaign Photo
Charlie Crist benefits from opponent's collapse.

Affiliates of the Nikki Fried campaign continue to talk about a “wave” of support, but if one leading prediction market is right, it’s a flat surf.

Action on the PredictIt platform shows what appears to be a final fade for the Agriculture Commissioner’s campaign for Governor, which she finished with a flurry of activity that does not appear to have impressed investors in the 2022 Democratic Primary market.

At this writing, the most recent hourly spot price for a “Yes” share for Fried is an anemic 6 cents, by far her lowest performance of the campaign on the platform. A “Yes” share was 13 cents just a few hours earlier.

Crist “Yes” shares have been priced over 90 cents for a few hours, with the final push over the 90-cent threshold corresponding with the Fried dip.

Fried’s fade is even more dramatic on the market for the General Election, with investors all but bailing on her chances to win the race overall in November. The most recent hourly spot price on a “Yes” share is just 1 cent, which ties her with U.S. Rep. Val Demings, who is not even running for Governor but for Senate.

Crist, though a strong favorite in this market to win the Primary, is a pronounced underdog in any General Election investment. Even amid his surge among Primary investors, his “Yes” share is still priced at just 8 cents. Gov. Ron DeSantis continues to hover above 90 cents for a “Yes” share, meanwhile.

The latest movement in this market came after the final public survey of the Primary dropped. St. Pete Polls’ last survey of this race found Crist with 59% support, nearly doubling up on Fried’s 30%. Undecided voters made up the remaining 11%.

Of the 57% of respondents who said they had already voted, Crist was even stronger, drawing 63% support compared to 31% for Fried.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has written for FloridaPolitics.com since 2014. He is based in Northeast Florida. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


10 comments

  • Joe Corsin

    August 22, 2022 at 1:44 pm

    Even if she gets the boot…she will continue to slap the hogs with sharp nails and tear at the hogs. Poster Impeach Biden will get a face full of Democratic bush as well..scrub job.

    • Impeach Biden

      August 22, 2022 at 3:10 pm

      You make it sound as if her future is in pole dancing, stripping, or maybe a call girl with your porn. As long as she keeps her liberal mouth shut then maybe so. DeSantis is laughing his ass off as he will show both her and her nut job, so called scientist the door. 🤣

  • Impeach Biden

    August 22, 2022 at 3:17 pm

    Wow. Once again allowing misfit Corsin to post porn yet erasing my comment.

    • Joe Corsin

      August 22, 2022 at 3:20 pm

      Yeah just like porn in school libraries right? (buncha BS) Your posts are not being scrubbed..your face is gonna be scrubbed by NIKKI FRIED!!!!!

      • Impeach Biden

        August 22, 2022 at 3:23 pm

        Only thing I can figure is that you are one of the writers on this site typing as a couple of alias. Fried still going bye bye tomorrow.

        • Joe Corsin

          August 22, 2022 at 3:59 pm

          She’s coming to your house.. along with Charlie. Yeah you gonna do a little carpet cleaning for Nikki Fried!!! Om nom-nom-nom-nom..

  • Tom Paine

    August 22, 2022 at 4:28 pm

    Fried should close ranks and support Charlie Crist in the general.

    What someone really needs to do is put together a zinger like the Dr Oz “crudites” debacle. Any imaginative Floridian can go viral if they can make the Governor look like an out-of-touch “crudite”. Or as Bugs Bunny would say, “What a MAROON!”

    Everyone has heard the stupid cult talk of DeSantis. “Woke” this and “freedumb” that. He’s wayyy down the rabbit hole of bizarre political comedy. The crusade for his base, the lowbrow mouthbreathers of Florida, has been successful, but he is running out of unconstitutional policy initiatives written for the right wing mob.

    All Florida needs to do is serve up a Oz-styled media hit job and the whole country could join in the ridicule for our sleazy Trumpanzee of a governor. Let’s hoist this MAROON out of office on his own petard come November.

    • David In Shoreline

      August 22, 2022 at 8:13 pm

      You’ve had nearly 4 years. Pull out your best gaffe video of DeSantis and run with it.

      Oh wait, he’s incredibly popular, incredibly effective and has a beautiful family. Sorry you lose. The Gov wins.

  • tom palmer

    August 22, 2022 at 4:41 pm

    Is there going any discussion of this election that rises above the childish banter of these two?

    • Impeach Biden

      August 22, 2022 at 6:38 pm

      Are you talking about the Corsin /Offen band of misfit’s?😄

Comments are closed.


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