Another poll shows Marco Rubio with low likability, but holding a small edge over Val Demings
Val Demings and Marco Rubio get into a Mexican fruit fight.

demings rubio
Susquehanna pollsters found the Senator with a -30 net favorability rating among independents.

Yet another poll shows a tight race between GOP U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio and Democratic challenger Val Demings.

Survey results from Susquehanna Polling and Research shows Rubio with 47% support compared to Demings’ 44%. The 3-point difference between candidates puts the race within the poll’s 4.3 percentage point margin of error.

The results show the Republican incumbent under 50%, consistent with similar polling released in recent weeks including a major poll for AARP Florida released the same day.

The Susquehanna poll, first released to Real Clear Politics, shows there could be trouble for Rubio with independents leaning toward the Democrat.

A memo from pollster Tom Lee notes this poll also shows a shift from a poll from August last year, when Rubio enjoyed a 50% to 39% edge and sat above the critical majority threshold for an incumbent.

“The biggest shift comes from Independents and NPA’s, where Demings leads Rubio 41:32, a reversal from a 42:41 Rubio lead last year,” Lee wrote, before comparing Rubio’s numbers to his last contest against former U.S. Rep. Patrick Murphy.

“Exit polling shows Rubio won Independents/NPA’s by a 52:42 margin over his last opponent in 2016 (Murphy), so Rubio’s loss of support with this critical swing group could cost him the election if he doesn’t shore up this vote.”

The poll indicates Rubio way underwater with independent voters, with 47% holding an unfavorable view of the Senator and just 27% viewing him favorably. Meanwhile, 31% of voters like Demings and 28% dislike her. That suggests she is in positive territory but also remains an unknown quantity to many Florida voters.

Among all voters, Rubio remains underwater but has a lift from Republicans, so he ends up with a 45% unfavorable and 41% favorable showing. Demings is viewed well by 37% of all likely voters and unfavorably by 31%.

Pollsters surveyed 500 likely voters between Aug. 29 and Sept. 3, making this the most recently taken poll now publicly available on the race.

Beyond candidate preference, pollsters also checked the issues driving voters to the polls this year and found 54% listing inflation and the economy as a top choice. But social issues including abortion and gun control came in second place, with 44% of voters listing those as motivating factors. Pollsters sought out two issues from each respondent.

A distant third place issue was immigration, a concern for 26% of voters, followed by the environment and climate change ay 21%. Taxes showed at 17%, crime and public safety at 16% and health care at 13%.

Jacob Ogles

Jacob Ogles has covered politics in Florida since 2000 for regional outlets including SRQ Magazine in Sarasota, The News-Press in Fort Myers and The Daily Commercial in Leesburg. His work has appeared nationally in The Advocate, Wired and other publications. Events like SRQ’s Where The Votes Are workshops made Ogles one of Southwest Florida’s most respected political analysts, and outlets like WWSB ABC 7 and WSRQ Sarasota have featured his insights. He can be reached at [email protected].


  • Tom

    September 7, 2022 at 10:49 am

    Total BS.
    Marco up 5 to 10ptsz.
    These Dem Org push polls are atrocious.
    Even with that they lose! Dumings looking for her gun.

    • Pastor Sandell

      September 7, 2022 at 12:16 pm

      Going to hell buddy 🔥

      • Avy115

        September 7, 2022 at 4:59 pm

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    • Mr. Haney

      September 8, 2022 at 1:26 pm

      Keep lying to yourself.

  • Val Demings

    September 7, 2022 at 11:06 am

    Vote for me. Together we will send the Cuban neo nazis back to Cuba on a reverse banana boat. Also Trump will finally be captured and executed.

    • Mr. Haney

      September 8, 2022 at 1:27 pm

      Preferably Trump will be spending his remaining days in Club Gitmo.

  • PeterH

    September 7, 2022 at 11:52 am

    Low likability AND LOW COMPETENCY is a recipe for disaster.


    If Americans want women to control their own bodies, qualified teachers to replace DeSantis’s culture wars in classrooms, intelligent teacher-student conversations concerning the social issues facing Americans in the 21st century, non-bullying discussion about classroom students who are different, common sense gun regulations, and a new honest approach on how best to address climate change……



    • Impeach Biden

      September 7, 2022 at 12:45 pm

      Yes let’s put the squad, Bernie Sanders, Pelosi, Warren, Hirono, Nadler, Pritzker, Newsom, and the rest of the knuckleheads in charge. Watch how fast they turn this place into Venezuela.

      • Elliott Offen

        September 7, 2022 at 1:17 pm

        Authoritarian socialism and democratic socialism are two different things. There are successful modern socially democratic countries that are happier and healthier than ours. Of course you wouldn’t understand any of this because drunk on right wing propaganda and you’ve been let down in a multitude of other ways.

      • Mr. Haney

        September 8, 2022 at 1:28 pm

        Why not immigrate to Russia where you’ll be more comfortable and can live like the serf you want to be?

  • marylou

    September 7, 2022 at 12:56 pm

    Marco wants to dismantle Social Security and Medicare. Retirees don’t need to worry, though, because Rube will force corporations to guarantee all over 65-ers a job, in exchange for his ‘Save our Seniors’ corporate subsidies and incentives, equal to the average annual Social Security payment for each senior hired. Businesses get workers! People get jobs! We all get lower taxes!

    Save Social Security and Medicare..Vote out Rubio!

  • Kyle

    September 7, 2022 at 4:02 pm

    Rubio and DeSantis are trying to turn the country into Cuba. We already know how authoritarianism and fascism works out. Get big government out and mind your own business.

  • Glenn Reihing

    September 7, 2022 at 4:14 pm

    You took off my last comment on this article. Let’s try again…

    Marco Rubio, as a ranking member of the Intelligence Committee, tries to defend Trump for taking home highly sensitive documents that had to do with the security of our country.

    This is not the first time he defended him. He voted against the impeachment of Trump for inciting the Jan 6th riot. Watch PBS Frontline episode called “Lies, Politics, and Democracy”.

    The Republican Party has been taken over by an authoritarian section bent on developing minority rule through gerrymandering, voter suppression and now canceling out votes by objecting to voting slates in each state.

    To prevent this, the Democrats have to win the next two elections, maintain control of both the House and Senate and increase the numbers of Democratic Senators by 3 to make Joe Manchin and Krysten Sinema irrelevant.

    This is why voting for Val Demings is so essential.

    • Betsy

      September 8, 2022 at 11:51 am

      I approve of this message.

  • marylou

    September 8, 2022 at 1:47 pm

    Rubio wants to force women to get a man’s notarised permission if they need an abortion. A man’s permission! Like Desantis, Rubio believes men own women. Just like the Taliban!

  • Raul R

    September 15, 2022 at 9:13 am

    Elliot, many of these countries that we refer to as having democratic socialism (ie Sweden,) have made it very clear that they are not socialist. In socialism, the government controls property. Actual socialist countries fail (USSR, Cuba, North Korea, Venezuela.) I’m not defending Rubio (I strongly dislike Rubio and the far right,) but the goals of the squad and Bernie are off as well.

Comments are closed.


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