Poll puts Ron DeSantis under 50%, but still leading Charlie Crist

Crist_Desantis side_by_side (7)
Susquehanna does show the incumbent with a net favorable rating while the Democrat remains underwater.

Another poll shows Gov. Ron DeSantis with a small lead over Charlie Crist. And this one pegs the incumbent Republican with less than majority support. But it still finds many factors favoring the Governor’s re-election in November.

New data from Susquehanna Polling and Research shows DeSantis leading with 47% with his Democratic challenger pulling in 43%. That puts the difference between the candidates within the poll’s 4.3 percentage point margin of error.

But unlike a poll of the Senate race, it at least shows growing support for DeSantis in the wake of a high-profile Democratic Primary won by Crist. Pollsters last year found DeSantis leading Crist 46% to 43% in a hypothetical matchup last year.

The fresh poll, first released to Real Clear Politics, finds some good news for Crist, with 36% of independent and no-party voters choosing him, compared to 31% who break for DeSantis. That leaves a third of independent voters undecided, and 10% of all likely voters still on the fence.

But a look at favorability ratings suggests DeSantis still holds an edge.

“These undecided Independents could break for DeSantis because 45% of Independents view DeSantis favorably, while they view Crist more unfavorably (than favorably) by a 39:32 margin,” wrote pollster Jim Lee in a polling memo.

The fact Crist sits seven points underwater jives with an AARP-commissioned poll published the same day as the Susquehanna poll. DeSantis, meanwhile, boasts a positive standing with 50% of voters while 43% hold a negative view of him.

Crist greeted this poll and the one from AARP warmly.

“These latest polls show exactly what we’re feeling on the ground — a growing momentum and excitement to defeat Ron DeSantis,” said Austin Durrer, Crist Campaign Manager. “Floridians are tired of having a governor whose sole objective is to divide Floridians, while ignoring the real needs and rising costs everyone is facing. Charlie is the uniter Florida is craving. He’s the leader who will ensure abortion rights are protected, and he’s the fighter who will take on the special interests to make Florida more affordable.”

That’s a major change from four years ago when a lesser-known DeSantis ran for an open seat in the Governor’s mansion.

“According to exit polling in 2018, DeSantis lost Independents to his then-opponent (Gillum) by a 54:44 margin,” Lee wrote, “so if DeSantis overperforms with Independents it could cement his margin of victory.”

On issues, the economy and inflation loom large with the electorate, with 54% of voters listing it as a motivating issue to vote. But a growing number of voters say they feel concerned with cultural issues like abortion and gun control, concerns of 44% of voters. Immigration is a motivator for 26% of the electorate, the poll shows.

Jacob Ogles

Jacob Ogles has covered politics in Florida since 2000 for regional outlets including SRQ Magazine in Sarasota, The News-Press in Fort Myers and The Daily Commercial in Leesburg. His work has appeared nationally in The Advocate, Wired and other publications. Events like SRQ’s Where The Votes Are workshops made Ogles one of Southwest Florida’s most respected political analysts, and outlets like WWSB ABC 7 and WSRQ Sarasota have featured his insights. He can be reached at [email protected].


  • Charlie Crist

    September 7, 2022 at 11:36 am

    Vote for me to save American democracy. I’ll body slam DeSantis into a garbage can…and send lying lunatic Trump supporters to jail.

    • Avy115

      September 7, 2022 at 4:54 pm

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  • PeterH

    September 7, 2022 at 11:48 am

    End the red wave across our great country!

    Trump addressed the ‘very unfair’ treatment of his January 6th terrorist in his recent Pennsylvania rally. As noted elsewhere Trump highlighted the particular case of self described white supremacist, neo-nazi Timothy Hale-Cusanelli. I want everyone reading this to google Timothy Hale-Cusanelli and scroll through his online images. Republicans have absolutely no credibility to chastise Biden for calling out the most disturbing Ultra MAGA criminals within the GQP.

    If Americans want women to control their own bodies, qualified teachers to replace DeSantis’s culture wars in classrooms, intelligent teacher-student conversations concerning the social issues facing Americans in the 21st century, non-bullying discussion about classroom students who are different, common sense gun regulations, and a new honest approach on how best to address climate change……

    • Impeach Biden

      September 7, 2022 at 12:56 pm

      You, Corsin, Offen, Crist, this site, The Sun-Sentinel keep telling yourself that.

      • Charlie Crist

        September 7, 2022 at 1:06 pm

        Vote for me. I’ll put idiots like this guy to shame. Won’t have a pot to piss in when I get through with him.

  • marylou

    September 7, 2022 at 12:35 pm

    Desantis…Crist….looks like two male politicians that aren’t loved by half the voters.

    One of these men wants to take away a woman’s contraceptives and force her to give birth to her rapist’s child. Some men just feel like they own women. Vote for Crist to protect women’s rights.

  • Tom

    September 7, 2022 at 12:45 pm

    If, maybe, hope, possibly, if lucky.
    My goodness, all these liberal hack pollsters and front groups are so desperately trying and fail. Chameleon is losing in all polls, all analysis.
    Dumings does not fair any better! What a joke.

    • Charlie Crist

      September 7, 2022 at 1:08 pm

      👆 Vote for me. I’ll put lying weasels like this clown in a fkn rose garden.

      • Tom

        September 7, 2022 at 2:31 pm

        I piss you on you twice a day, your stench is real!

        • Charlie Crist

          September 7, 2022 at 3:35 pm

          👆 Vote for me. I’ll make Florida education great again…so people like this guy don’t exist!!😂

          • Tom

            September 7, 2022 at 3:40 pm


          • Charlie Crist

            September 7, 2022 at 6:14 pm

            👆 You heard the man. A vote for DeSantis is a vote for stench!😂

          • Tom

            September 7, 2022 at 6:34 pm

            Your Momma stench
            You like incest

          • Charlie Crist

            September 7, 2022 at 9:50 pm

            Don’t talk about “your momma” like that son. Wasn’t your fault she was a heezey!!!!😭

  • marylou

    September 9, 2022 at 10:19 am

    “If you want to believe that God is wanting you to push a bill through with no exception that kills mothers and ruins the lives of children, let’s mothers bring home babies to bury them, then I think you’re miscommunicating with God, or maybe you’re just not communicating with him at all,” ——Republican SC state Senator Katrina Shealy

    “SC Republican Party removing exceptions for pregnant women who are victims of rape or incest in their anti-abortion bill. Shealy identifies as pro-life”.
    —— wjbf.com

Comments are closed.


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