New poll shows Ron DeSantis with 8-point lead on Charlie Crist

Crist_Desantis side_by_side (6)
The new survey was taken just days before Hurricane Ian ravaged parts of the state.

A new poll is showing Gov. Ron DeSantis with an 8-point lead on Democratic challenger Charlie Crist.

Commissioned by Spectrum News, the Siena College Research Institute survey shows the Republican incumbent just shy of majority support.

DeSantis leads with 49%, while Crist earns 41%. Moreover, 54% of self-described independents and other voters give a favorable view of the Governor, while the Democrat sits underwater with that group.

The poll was taken from Sept. 18 to 25, days before Hurricane Ian made landfall in the state and reshaped the news and political landscape. Pollsters are reporting a 4.5-percentage-point margin of error, which, when applied to each candidate’s share, still shows Crist within range of winning. Pollsters surveyed 669 voters by phone and weighted the results based on 2020 election turnout.

But the pollsters say it’s clear DeSantis holds the advantage just over a month out from the General Election on Nov. 8. It’s not just the head-to-head numbers. DeSantis remains popular with voters who don’t describe themselves as loyal to a party, and Crist sits underwater with those voters.

“DeSantis has the support of 95% of Republicans and a majority, 52%, of independents while Crist is the preference for 90% of Democrats but only 34% of independents,” said Don Levy, Siena College Research Institute’s Director.

“Additionally, DeSantis has a solid 50-43% favorability rating, including being viewed favorably by a majority of independents, compared to Crist’s 34-39% favorability rating, with more than a quarter of the electorate not having an opinion about him, including 20% of Democrats.”

Different demographic groups show varying preferences on candidates and issues.

“There is a gender gap. By 24 points, men support DeSantis, 57-33%, while a plurality of women, 48-42%, support Crist,” Levy said. “DeSantis leads Crist in every region of the state except the southeast. Crist has a huge lead among Black voters, 74-8%. However, white voters back DeSantis 57-37%.”

Economic issues, meanwhile, remain the priority for voters polled. About 58% of all those polled listed that as the most critical issue in deciding their vote in November, including 60% of independents and others.

But issues beyond economics also made an appearance.

About 27% listed “threats to democracy” as the most pressing issue, including 38% of Democrats, 19% of Republicans, and 28% of independents. About 23%, including 42% of Republicans, listed immigration. About 21%, including 36% of Democrats, listed abortion.

“While abortion doesn’t make it into the top seven issues for men,” Levy noted, “it’s the second most important issue for women. Black voters say racial justice is their top issue just ahead of the economy.”

Most Important Issues in Determining November Vote

Total of first and second choices (first choice in parentheses)

  All Voters Democrats Republicans Ind/Other
Economic issues 58% (39%) 35% (17%) 81% (58%) 60% (44%)
Threats to democracy 27% (16%) 38% (27%) 19% 10%) 28% (14%)
Immigration 23% (7%) 5% (1%) 42% (14%) 23% (7%)
Abortion 21% (11%) 36% (18%) 10% (6%) 19% (10%)
National gun policies 13% (5%) 19% (7%) 10% (4%) 11% (4%)
Crime 20% (4%) 8% (3%) 26% (3%) 24% (5%)
Racial justice 14% (7%) 27% (13%) 1% (0%) 11% (5%)
Climate Change 14% (6%) 27% (10%) 4% (1%) 13% (7%)
Spectrum News / Siena College Poll: September 2022

Jacob Ogles

Jacob Ogles has covered politics in Florida since 2000 for regional outlets including SRQ Magazine in Sarasota, The News-Press in Fort Myers and The Daily Commercial in Leesburg. His work has appeared nationally in The Advocate, Wired and other publications. Events like SRQ’s Where The Votes Are workshops made Ogles one of Southwest Florida’s most respected political analysts, and outlets like WWSB ABC 7 and WSRQ Sarasota have featured his insights. He can be reached at [email protected].


  • Impeach Biden

    October 3, 2022 at 9:16 am

    The Red Tsunami is gaining momentum. Here it comes Corsin, Offen, Crist and the rest of all your stage names.

    • Tjb

      October 3, 2022 at 9:19 am

      Is the red tsunami the storm that cause the many deaths in sw Florida last week?

      • User187

        October 3, 2022 at 10:01 am

        How did the right cause the 47 deaths in SW FL?

        It was a hurricane that caused the deaths not a Republican politician.

        • Tjb

          October 3, 2022 at 10:30 am

          It is in poor taste to use the term “tsunami” after the hurricane caused too many deaths.

        • TEddy

          October 3, 2022 at 11:57 am

          Desantis agreed that an evacuation order was not necesary until the day of? Hes off at football games and setting up scam noon profits to raise money. This is not the foirst time he put self ovber Floridians. BTW this poll is a farce it was politically slanted to prop up desantis.

          • Tom

            October 3, 2022 at 12:05 pm

            Mental TEddy moron, he declared state disaster on Saturday. Go back to kindergarten. I think that rings the gondola! My goodness.

            LMAO, Siena Univ is a N Y Times association poll. It’s a Dem polling group!

          • Terry

            October 3, 2022 at 12:42 pm

            You need to be hooked up, to a lie detector test— everything you just wrote is a outright lie.

          • Tom

            October 3, 2022 at 1:17 pm

            Aw terry is offended.

            Reiterating, sienna is a Dem leaning poll, they partner with n y times. Regardless, Gov and Marco kicking ass!

            DeSantis declared a state disaster for the areas, and counties identified on Sat before. It was revised for whole state. It’s fact.

            Go wash Nancy Pelosi’s underwear you moron terry.

          • Impeach Biden

            October 3, 2022 at 2:17 pm

            Prop up DeSantis? Ha,! Ha! He needs no propping. He is well ahead in Florida and is popular nationwide for everyone but you people that like Newsom, Cuomo, Pritzker, Whitmer. How you people would chose one of those clowns over DeSantis is simply mind boggling.

          • Dee K

            October 10, 2022 at 10:59 am

            Where do you get your info from? Seriously….Desantis doesn’t need any propping up he has done a tremendous job all on his own. He was talking about the hurricane hitting south Florida Tuesday at his 7 am press conference, the morning before it hit…. Like I said, where are you getting your info from? I suggest you switch news sources. This man is the best governor in this country…period.

        • Deb Charles

          October 4, 2022 at 9:13 am

          Don’t play the word games with Democrats. If they couldn’t lie to the public about anything and everything, they would have nothing at all. They simply can’t defend the Biden policies. They attack Desantis because he makes the dementia patient’s policies look disastrous.

      • James Ball

        October 3, 2022 at 11:47 am

        I think it was a hurricane.

        • teddypredicts a BLUE Tsunami in NOvember

          October 3, 2022 at 12:53 pm

          I see there is nothing but MAGA facist here!!! Lets hook Trump and Desantis to a lie detectors. Oh wait they banned them from being used on the GOP. They are immmuned from Court too!!! Thats right teh GOP is above the law with morons out there that have the same idealogy. When you decide to GRWO Up and face he facts that the GOP is destroying America, you will find peace.

          • Tom

            October 3, 2022 at 1:20 pm

            LMAO. What you sniffing? Nikki Frauds underwear? Even degenerates on the View ain’t predicting blue.

      • Frank

        October 4, 2022 at 9:38 am

        When you get tired of sewing hate and division like the rest of the democrats, when you get tired of the lying and gaslighting by the ultra-rich by way of the media trying to control & drum mass formation psychosis into brains of gullible people, when you want to build instead of tear down what others created, when you want to step into reality and out of this demented fog you are in then for your sake hopefully its sooner than later. You are clearly losing your grip because you’ve bought into the lies and evil of socialism.

    • Charlie Crist

      October 3, 2022 at 10:30 am

      Neo nazi sht storm coming. Vote blue no matter who. We can’t have neo nazi shills for the rich making slaves out of our great grandchildren.

      • Tom

        October 3, 2022 at 10:47 am

        I was a Republican, independent, now a dum Dem. Help me.

        I was pro life, now I m pro choice, but I’m really pro life.

        People don’t like me. Charlie chameleon, real hypocrite.

        • Charlie Crist

          October 3, 2022 at 10:53 am

          I saw the light. I came to realize that the GOP has become a bunch of neo nazis and anti-government, anti-American bums who worship money and the rich…and their supporters are fake religious dumbasses.

          • Tom

            October 3, 2022 at 12:06 pm

            U are a Crock of shit, Joey Charlie corsin.

          • Tom

            October 3, 2022 at 12:16 pm

            LMAO, chameleon and light, is a oxymoron. Getting your ass kicked.
            Standard Dem fascist playbook, accuse other side of what we really are. Just pathetic, Joey corsin,

        • James Ball

          October 3, 2022 at 11:49 am

          He’s always looking for an office to run for!

          • Charlie Crist

            October 3, 2022 at 3:20 pm

            @Tom: You don’t have a clue what you are talking about. Just spewing nasty language and far right propaganda. Only on the internet buddy you gonna get your redneck ass kicked offline.

      • Deb Charles

        October 4, 2022 at 9:18 am

        The fact that Charlie Crist got the dem nomination for governor tells you all you need to know about how Democrats truly feel about their chances in this race. Democrats are incapable of telling the truth to the voters. Promising them the moon and delivering swamp sludge every time. Democrats had no one to put in this race against Desantis

  • Tom

    October 3, 2022 at 9:18 am

    No surprise, it’s a blow out election.
    Independents, Republicans, Hispanics are all in with America’s Gov.

    Chameleon has no chance.
    Crispy is a lying weathervane, spinning his lies and attacks of no consequence. Perennial loser.

    Govs efforts with Ian are tremendous.

    • Tom Dumbass

      October 3, 2022 at 10:28 am

      Tropical 2 swirling sea tornado

      • Tom

        October 3, 2022 at 10:44 am

        You banging mommy Joey corsin!

  • Legendary Dumbass

    October 3, 2022 at 10:48 am

    “You banging mommy” – Barely literate Tom

    • Tom

      October 3, 2022 at 10:52 am

      Joey Corsin the degenerate.
      No substance, no policy, just a hack China bot.

      You have been exposed, I crush and whiz upon you daily. FP has been notified bout you.

      Go back to mommy, you scum bucket.

      • Tom Dumbass

        October 3, 2022 at 10:54 am

        ” Notified bout you” – Tom Dumbass

        • Tom

          October 3, 2022 at 11:04 am

          LMAO, you are grasping straws.
          Clueless. Everyone knows bout you, loser.

          • Mentally crippled voter Tom

            October 3, 2022 at 11:38 am

            ” everyone knows bout you loser” – Intellectually disabled Tom

          • Tom

            October 3, 2022 at 12:00 pm

            Go back to mommy’s bed, bring Elliot with you degenerate Joey! Take turns with mommy, u incest bastards.

            Clueless, substantive-less, and meaningless Joey corsin.

          • Charlie Crist

            October 3, 2022 at 3:21 pm

            You have a foul mouth and one day it’s gonna get a good smack. Bank on it.

  • nail

    October 3, 2022 at 3:14 pm

    5M Qanon trumpers in FL. 9 counties are still underwater with 4 weeks to go. 9 counties that were wiped out have over 1+M QAnons. There are 15.3 Million ppl registered to vote. FL just got a boost of 15% more woman registering. More Never trumpers in FL than any other state, that were told by Bush and Dick Cheney “do not change your party.” Throws their numbers off,
    .DeSantis is getting crucified. They found the counterintelligence ex Army woman, who he hired for his airlift to a non-sanctuary island that proves his kidnapping and trafficking per the new addition to the class action lawsuits against hm and the state.
    Pushaw, DeSantis Russian princess and Tom’s boss, is arguing with a reporter for not warning DeSantis that FL was in the cone of the hurricane on Saturday, then he could have gotten ppl out earlier. Her Botox is melting. 3,2,1 she will be suspended from Twitter any moment.
    The story about Gaetz not getting punished by the DOJ, for his high school trafficking was a plant. FFBI, DOJ have confirmed the investigation continues about the corrupt GQPs in FL, reaching the top echelon.

    Today, everyone who lost everything is saying they are move up north for now. To expensive to stay in the most extensive state in the country. No work, no home, no car, what am I going to do? FEMA is only paying $75.800 for the water damage to any home. If they have flood insurance which less than 12% have, they can attempt to get funds from that. If you have no flood, it’s $75,800.

    All this while Desantis is behind a diner counter cooking hash browns with his TV crew, while ppl are on TV that cannot get to food and water. They have no cars because they were flooded and no one has been there to help them. They have found that half the deaths were in Lee county and they were over 65.
    1,600 ppl have been rescued, most by helicopter while Rick Scott commandeered one of those copter to ride around and wave to everyone.
    Rubio is crying and spouting religious parables about jumping off the cliff because not one FL GQP in Congress, not one, House or Senate member voted for the $18.8 billion FEMA funding for FL. Yep, you heard that right. The final vote was 75-25 the 25 being all Repunants. All Dems supported it.

    Fun times ahead for DeSantis, not going so well…

    • Deborah c

      October 4, 2022 at 9:27 am

      The only one clearly melting down is rabid Democrat Qanon’s like yourself. There’s got to be a democrat q anon because of ramblings like this. Is it called MSNBC? I don’t know but it definitely exists. Time for you to leave Florida and head back to your blue state paradise criminal utopia. Democrats like yourself promise paradise and deliver misery. The next two elections will be a referendum on horrible policies. You will need to seek sanctuary from reality in your blue states like NY.

      • Dee K

        October 10, 2022 at 11:07 am

        well said….Dont know where people like this person come up with this nonsense. Meanwhile in the criminal utopias known as the blue NE states where I hail from you cant walk down the street anymore without fear of being shot or stabbed or go on the subway without fear of being pushed into the tracks and into the path of an oncoming train or beaten up and you cant stop at an intersection for a red light without fear of being carjacked …. Yes people like this should go up north…see how that all works out for them… In the meantime FL we will keep Gov Desantis bc he is the best there is and we couldn’t be any more fortunate to have him in FL.

  • nail

    October 3, 2022 at 3:31 pm

    Forgot, Ronnie voted NO to help NY in 2013 for hurricane Sandy, Saying they should have been better prepared with their insurance while FL Insurance. premiums tripled in 3 yrs.under DeSantis. He gave Citizens $2B out of tax wallets, on top of the premium increases. DeSantis approved a $5 million rate increase for FPL over the next 4 yrs. He has increased the cost of living for old people in Fl! Who votes for this nonsense?

    Fl surplus includes $2.7 billion in FL Rainy Day Fund(thank you Biden for Covid funds) the highest in state history, $15.7 billion in unallocated Revenue, $2.8 billion in unallocated trust funds, $499 million in the newly created EPRF(emergency funds) and DeSantis’ wife is trolling for funds for FL with no named charities or organizations? Meanwhile elected Dems from FL are renting 24 ft trucks and begging businesses for food, water, beds and supplies, because DeSantis said he wants CASH ONLY for his wife’s scam. They collect 20M so far, giving out 1M to who we have no idea, because her transparent page is not so transparent. Must have learned that from he husband the King of the Sunshine Law that you have to sue before you can get any info.

    • Tom

      October 4, 2022 at 3:56 am

      Nail, snail you are a crock of manure.
      What a bunch of bunch of lies and conspiracies. Who you been talking to, Anna Navarro and her sell out husband, Cardenas

      How many lies can you fir in one post.

  • David in Shoreline

    October 3, 2022 at 4:32 pm

    Poor Charlie. So far behind in the polls. No money left because the Dems abandoned him. No face time on the TV because the Governor is commanding the airwaves with his storm response. Poor, poor Charlie.

    • Deborah Cooper

      October 4, 2022 at 9:20 am

      Democrats have silently written off this race. Desantis is farther ahead than 8points, the media can’t hold the lie forever

  • New POll Shows Charlie with a 6 point bounce

    October 4, 2022 at 10:32 am

    BREAKING Charlie Crist takes 6 point lead in polls. Failure to notify residence in timelyu manner with IAN cost almost a hudred lives. Thank goodness the young people and intelligent women are showing up to vote in the masses. Its is expected to be the largest BLUE Tsunami during a midterm!!! WOW. Great news for people, animals and our environment. Good bye MAGA idiots!!!

  • Primitive thinking

    October 4, 2022 at 12:01 pm

    Frank think about how evil and hateful your message is!!! Here are facts so many on the right are primitive thinkers they love guns, don’t believe in science, think fighting is normal, and don’t care about the earth or animals. This is a fact for most. However from a psychological aspect the right are very primitive thinkers that don’t like progress. Generally because the thinking is still primal and its fear based.

Comments are closed.


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