Marco Rubio, Val Demings tied, according to progressive pollsters
Celebrations are in the works; one will be happier than the other.

Demings Rubio
'Florida remains a razor-thin, battleground state.'

New polling suggests the U.S. Senate race on top of Florida ballots could be a dead heat.

Progressive outfits released a new poll showing 46% of Florida voters plan to vote for Democratic challenger Val Demings, the same percentage who intend to support Republican U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio’s re-election. The survey results were published by the Florida Communications and Research Hub, a collective effort of Progress Florida and Florida Watch.

The poll was taken between Sept. 22 and 27 and includes responses from 2,860 registered voters. Pollsters report a slim 1.83 percentage point margin of error. That pegs the race as a genuine tie.

The organizations commissioning the poll suggest that means a divisive political environment has put the race in play, and that the same goes for the Governor’s race, where Democrat Charlie Crist is challenging Republican incumbent Ron DeSantis.

“While Gov. DeSantis has engaged in inhumane political stunts to get himself on Fox News, Democrats like Charlie Crist and Chief Val Demings have been putting forward policies that will better the lives of all Floridians,” said Florida Watch Executive Director Josh Weierbach.

“Florida remains a razor-thin, battleground state and Democrats are in position to win by focusing on how the political ambitions of Ron DeSantis and Marco Rubio are helping drive the housing affordability crisis in our state with out-of-control property insurance rates and rent hikes and their support for extreme bans on abortion without exceptions for rape and incest.”

Demings’ team cheered the results.

“Chief Demings is running to represent all Floridians, while Marco Rubio continues to fail them every chance he gets,” said Demings Press Secretary Devon Cruz. “Floridians know this race is between a cop on the beat versus a career politician who doesn’t show up for work. Floridians want a leader in the United States Senate who will fight to lower costs, lower crime, and protect their constitutional rights. Chief Demings will be that Senator.”

Pollsters said in a memo they weighted the race for a Republican-leaning electorate, with 41% of respondents as registered Republicans and 37% registered Democrats.

The poll did find Rubio, a Cuban American Senator, polling better than his GOP compatriot DeSantis among Hispanic voters. The demographic favors Rubio by 5 percentage points, while DeSantis boasts just a 2-point edge.

As for Demings, the good and bad news is that a substantial number have no strong feelings about the Orlando Congresswoman. About 35% of voters ages 18 to 35 cannot identify Demings. Similarly, about 29% of Hispanic voters do not know anything about the Democrat.

That leaves an opportunity to overtake Rubio by educating voters about herself, though time is ticking with the Nov. 8 General Election just over a month away.

Jacob Ogles

Jacob Ogles has covered politics in Florida since 2000 for regional outlets including SRQ Magazine in Sarasota, The News-Press in Fort Myers and The Daily Commercial in Leesburg. His work has appeared nationally in The Advocate, Wired and other publications. Events like SRQ’s Where The Votes Are workshops made Ogles one of Southwest Florida’s most respected political analysts, and outlets like WWSB ABC 7 and WSRQ Sarasota have featured his insights. He can be reached at [email protected]


14 comments

  • Impeach Biden

    October 3, 2022 at 5:25 pm

    Time for the Democrats to deploy those bogus polls. The Ft Lauderdale Sun-Sentinel will probably publish it meaning it’s way off the mark and worthless. Purely trying to influence the voters.

  • Tom

    October 3, 2022 at 5:26 pm

    I predicted this, crap of manure partisan hackery poll. I thought they’d have Dumings up one or two. Just a joke.

    • Tom

      October 3, 2022 at 5:28 pm

      “crap of manure” – Mentally and intellectually crippled, deplorable animal Tom

      • Tom

        October 3, 2022 at 9:32 pm

        Joey corsin, just a incest degenerate.

        • Tom Dumbass

          October 3, 2022 at 10:34 pm

          “a incest degenerate” – Tom ” I fuck something up every time I post” Dumbass

  • Joe Corsin

    October 3, 2022 at 5:26 pm

    Go Val. We gotta get rid of these worthless Republican bums, shills for the rich, and neo nazi propagandists. Let them run the county government and nothing more. Let the deplorables that elect them suffer under the grifters…no one else.

    • Tom

      October 3, 2022 at 8:02 pm

      I own you Joey degenerate, banging mommy, u incest pig. You are obsessed.

      I dominate you on every topic, every page. I am your nightmare.

      • Joe Corsin

        October 3, 2022 at 10:36 pm

        Yes you dominate everyone in the stupidity arena. I admit that you are a legendary dumbass.🥇

        • Tom

          October 4, 2022 at 3:46 am

          Go back to banging mommy you degenerate. You talk bout me more than trump! I own you. LMAO.
          Such a degenerate, Joey corsin.

  • Hope

    October 3, 2022 at 7:20 pm

    Bogus Poll. Legitimate pollsters have Rubio up by 8 points.

    • Elliott Offen

      October 3, 2022 at 10:47 pm

      They have your IP address..and we have screen shots of your bomb threats.

    • Phil Morton

      October 4, 2022 at 2:54 am

      Rubio under 50% either way and a 4.5 MoE vs a 1.83 MoE. It’s a tie with people already voting.

  • Paul Saia

    October 11, 2022 at 1:03 pm

    ALOHA AND GOOD AFTERNOON I WANT YOU TO REMIND FLORIDA VOTERS GOVERNOR RON ADOLF HITLER DESANTIS IS NUMBER 1 A THIFE HE SAYS THE COVID VIOUS IS A BUNCH OF BOLONY NOT TO MENTION HE SAYS DONT FELCHY spell check MY FLORIDA HOWEVER HE TOOK AT LEAST $10 BILLION DOLLARS THAT TAKING MONEY UNDER FALSE PRETENSIVES spell check THAT IS THE SAME AS STEALING BTW THAT THE $10 MILLION DOLLARS HE USED TO SEND IMMIGRANTS FROM TEXAS TO MARTHA VINYARD TEXAS IS NONE OF HIS BUSINESS AS YOU SAID JUST A POLICAL STUNT

    LETS NOT FORGET WHEN RON LOWLIFE PIECE OF GARBAGE DESANTIS WAS A FRESHMAN CONGRESSMAN HE VITED NOT TO HELP THE PEOPLE OF NEW YORK AFTER HURRICANE SANDY BECAUSE HE CONSIDER THAT SOCIALIZE GOVERNMENT. HOWEVER WHEN HURRICANE IAN HIT FLORIDA HE CAME BEGGING HAT IN HAND BUT THE FACT IS PRESIDENT JOE WITH THE HEART OF GOLD BIDEN OFFERED TO HELP LONG BEFORE HE ASKED AS PRESIDENT JOE WITH THE HEART OF GOLD BIDEN PUT IT WHEN A STATE IS IN TROUBLE THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS A RED STATE OR A BLUE STATE WE ARE ALL AMERICANS WE ALWAYS HELP EACH OTHER THAT THE HUGE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN DEMOCRATS AND REPUBLICANS

    ALSO AN EXTREMELY INTERESTING FACT THE REPUBLICAN PARTY CALLS THEMSELVES THE PARTY OF LAW AND ORDER LMAO
    IT WAS THE TRUMP MAGA REPUBLICANS WHO DISTRORYED OUR NATION CAPITAL INJURING 140 CAPITAL POLICE OFFICERS AND KILLING 6 CAPITAL POLICE OFFICERS NOT RO MENTION TRYING TO DISTRORY AMERICAN DEMOCRATICY BUT THIS IS WHAT MAGA TRUMP REPUBLICANS CALL LAW AND ORDER LMAO ABSOLUTELY DISCUSTING AND SINFUL AND OUTRAGEOUS

    AND HOW ABOUT REPUBLICANS TREATHING BOTH FBI AND IRS AGENTS SAYING THEY WANT TO DEFUND THE FBI BECAUSE THEY ARE PICKING ON DONALD THE LIAR THE LOSER THE LOWLIFE PEICE OF GARBAGE TRUMP BUT ONCE AGAIN THIS IS WHAT RMAGA TRUMP REPUBLICANS CALL LAW AND ORDER LMAO ABSOLUTELY DISCUSTING AND SINFUL AND OUTRAGEOUS NOT TO MENTION MAGA TRUMP REPUBLICANS SAYING THE IRS HAVE 10S OF THOUSANDS OF AUTOMATIC MILTARY ASSULT WEAPONS COMING AFTER TAX PAYERS A TOTTAL LIE

    LETS NOT FORGET UNITED STATES SENTOR LINDSEY LOWLIFE PEICE OF GARBAGE GRAHAM SAYING IF TRUMP IS PROSUCUTED THERE WILL BE RIOTS IN THE STREETS HE SHOULD BE THORN OUT OF OFFICE AND PUT IN JAIL FOR TREATHING TO RIOT BUT ONCE AGAIN THIS IS WHAT MAGA TRUMP REPUBLICANS CALL LAW AND ORDER LMAO ABSOLUTELY DISCUSTING AND SINFUL AND OUTRAGEOUS

    JUST THE FACTS PURE AND SIMPLE. BTW I WOULD LOVE TO TALK WITH ANYBODY JUST EMAIL ME AT [email protected] MAHALO ALOHA KEEP THE PEACE AND PEACE OUT PAUL SAIA

Comments are closed.


#FlaPol

Florida Politics is a statewide, new media platform covering campaigns, elections, government, policy, and lobbying in Florida. This platform and all of its content are owned by Extensive Enterprises Media.

Publisher: Peter Schorsch @PeterSchorschFL

Contributors & reporters: Phil Ammann, Renzo Downey, Roseanne Dunkelberger, A.G. Gancarski, Anne Geggis, Kelly Hayes, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, Gray Rohrer, Jesse Scheckner, Christine Sexton, Andrew Wilson, Wes Wolfe, and Mike Wright.

Email: [email protected]
Twitter: @PeterSchorschFL
Phone: (727) 642-3162
Address: 204 37th Avenue North #182
St. Petersburg, Florida 33704




Sign up for Sunburn


Categories