‘Neck and neck’: National poll shows tight 2024 race between Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump

DeSantis Trump
Even in a crowded field, DeSantis is within striking distance.

Yet another national poll shows Gov. Ron DeSantis as the leading threat to former President Donald Trump‘s path to the 2024 Republican Presidential nomination.

A survey released Friday from the University of Massachusetts holds that if DeSantis and Trump run head-to-head, then the two are neck-to-neck.

In a field where the two are the only candidates — unlikely, given the wide variety of GOP hopefuls already floating trial balloons — DeSantis is slightly ahead, with 51% support compared to 49% for the former President.

In a wider field, Trump holds the edge, garnering 37% support, three points above the Florida Governor. The two men are well ahead of the rest of a hypothetical field including former Vice President Mike Pence, former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz in that scenario. Pence’s 7% is good for a distant third-place, and no other potential candidate topped 3%. “Others” garnered 8%, meanwhile.

The poll director contends “if the race comes down to the two current frontrunners, (Trump and DeSantis), the election is a statistical dead heat. In the coming year, if the election does indeed become a two-person race GOP voters will have a difficult decision to make between two viable and popular candidates.”

DeSantis is better with some demographics than others. Older people, the more educated and the wealthy lean DeSantis, as do male voters, who prefer him by a 57% to 43% spread in a head-to-head. Women choose Trump, meanwhile, 54% to 46%.

“These are the people who are most likely to vote, make political contributions and participate in campaigns. If DeSantis is able to hold these voters, he will be in a very formidable position in the GOP primary,” asserted one of the poll directors in a memo contextualizing the results.

The poll was in the field from Jan. 5-9, and 1,000 respondents were ultimately surveyed. The margin of error was +/- 3.55%.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has written for FloridaPolitics.com since 2014. He is based in Northeast Florida. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


  • Andrew Finn

    January 14, 2023 at 5:33 pm

    Emperor DeSantis needs to grow a little moustache under his nose and comb his hair to one side. Then he will look the part he wants to play.

  • Donald J Trump

    January 14, 2023 at 7:37 pm

    You better not even think about voting for Ron DeSanctimonious over me. I’ll put all his dirty laundry out there, cut him down to the ground, and grind him into powder. Lies, mudslinging, insults…I will unleash hell on earth.

  • Sharon

    January 14, 2023 at 7:48 pm

    I don’t understand why anyone would vote for either one. They are both Hitler wannabys. Slowly taking away the rights of the average American. Just helping their fellow wealthy friends.

  • Ocean Joe

    January 16, 2023 at 2:12 pm

    Neck and neck?
    The mean one has a neck, the crazy one has a wattle.

  • Heinz Duffensmertz

    January 16, 2023 at 5:10 pm

    Dont worry my leftist Comrads recent polling has shown if we ramp up the sexual grooming platform in our Democratic platform we are a sure win in 2024. Focus on elementry grades 1 thru 3 and parents will rush to the Democratic vote in 2024. We will rule the planet forever. Groom Groom Groom our way to total world domination.

Comments are closed.


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