Poll: Ron DeSantis holds slight edge over Donald Trump in Florida

trump desantis
The Governor leads the former President 44% to 39% in the Mason-Dixon survey.

A new poll shows Ron DeSantis with a slight edge over Donald Trump in a hypothetical 2024 Presidential Primary in Florida.

DeSantis is at 44% support, 5 points ahead of Trump’s 39%, and 41 points ahead of former United Nations envoy Nikki Haley, who musters just 3% support. An additional 12% of the 507 respondents were undecided, and 3% wanted someone else.

The Mason-Dixon Polling and Strategy survey was in the field from March 27 through March 30, meaning most of the polling came before the former President’s indictment became official.

DeSantis enjoys a much greater advantage over Trump in terms of overall favorability.

A full 87% of the likely Republican voters polled approved of DeSantis, against just 7% disapproval, with 6% more feeling “neutral” about the Governor. Trump is regarded favorably by just 71% of respondents, with 19% disapproval, and 10% declaring neutrality.

The Mason-Dixon survey is the second straight poll to suggest a neck-and-neck battle between the Florida Governor and the former President. A March survey of 443 Republican Florida voters from Emerson College shows the former President up 3 points over the Florida Governor. Trump took 47% of those surveyed, with DeSantis taking 44%. No other candidate even got 5% support in that poll, again indicating a two-person race.

This latest poll’s margin of error in the poll is +/- 4.4 percentage points.

Other polls have shown more variance.

The Florida Governor had 52% support in the University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab survey of the race conducted early in March, 25 points ahead of Trump. Meanwhile, a January survey by Suffolk University and USA Today found Trump was the choice of 47% of those surveyed, while DeSantis was preferred by 40%.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has written for FloridaPolitics.com since 2014. He is based in Northeast Florida. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


  • Beth

    April 4, 2023 at 6:27 am

    A prime example of the ignorance and corruption of so many in the gop who are just like DeSantis. Corrupt scum who will do or say absolutely anything for money and power. Who will support self proclaimed sexual predators for a campaign contribution. Who will make sure every nut job in the country has an assault weapon and is free to shoot children so they get money from the nra. Low life losers with no brains and no morals who have no business living in this country much less being involved in our government. The gop needs to wake up and expel these hideous creatures from their ranks. They are destroying this nation. The saddest part is that these creeps have kids. They will either grow up to learn how horrible their parents are or they will be like trumps kids, too damaged to function or find happiness. Their lives are already ruined either way. DeSantis, trump, and the rest of the wackos need to be placed on the trash heap of history where they belong.

  • Deadbeat Dad Bill McSewer

    April 4, 2023 at 7:06 am

    Vote Mini Berlusconi out. He will try to extend his term somehow. He should veto any legislation pertaining to the 6 week abortion ban. The sponsor should be baptized in acid.

  • Running Out of Popcorn

    April 4, 2023 at 6:25 pm

    Don’t let these poll numbers fool you. Look around. How many Trump stickers/flags/hats do you see vs DeSantis? It’s a good 10/1 in my part of the state.

    Florida will nominate Trump again and if he’s not in jail, Florida will send him their electoral votes.

    Florida is lost and won’t recover its sanity for at least the next 10-15 years as demographics change. Our only hope is that democracy prevails in the saner parts of the country and keeps him out of the Oval Office.

  • Bert Stimson

    April 4, 2023 at 10:10 pm

    Giant Douche vs Turd deSandwich

Comments are closed.


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