A.G. Gancarski
Another Florida poll shows that Ron DeSantis may have difficulty selling in-state Republicans on his presidential ambitions, and Donald Trump is revelling in it.
“Also, just out: I am leading Ron DeSanctimonious by almost 30 points in Florida,” Trump said, barely overstating the result.
A just-released survey from Florida Atlantic University shows former President Donald Trump leading the Florida Governor, 59% to 31%, among 1,081 registered Republican voters in Florida polled in mid-April. That margin is well outside the +/- 3-percentage-point margin of error.
The polling memo suggests geographical and generational differences.
“Trump wins decisively against DeSantis in the Tampa Bay area (69% for Trump vs. 22% for DeSantis); in southwest Florida (80% for Trump vs. 7% for DeSantis); and in Palm Beach County (65% for Trump vs. 33% for DeSantis). However, in northwest Florida, Trump and DeSantis tie with 43% each. As for the generational gap, Trump wins 66% of support among voters who are 50 to 64 years old, while his support among younger voters (18 to 34) is 40%.”
This is the latest strong poll for Trump against DeSantis, who seems like an eventual presidential candidate.
A National Research Inc. poll commissioned by American Greatness shows Trump ahead of the Florida Governor, 42% to 34%, in a survey conducted Monday and Tuesday. An additional 16% of the 500 likely Primary voters polled were undecided, with no other candidate receiving more than 2%.
Not all Florida polls have gone against the Governor.
In a Mason-Dixon Polling and Strategy survey conducted in late March, DeSantis was ahead of Trump, 44% to 39%, with other names far behind.
A March survey of 443 Republican Florida voters from Emerson College shows the former President up 3 points over the Florida Governor. Trump took 47% of those surveyed with DeSantis taking 44%. No other candidate even got 5% support in that poll, again indicating a two-person race.
The Florida Governor had 52% support in the University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab survey of the race conducted early in March, 25 points ahead of Trump.
Meanwhile, a January survey by Suffolk University and USA Today found Trump was the choice of 47% of those surveyed, while 40% preferred DeSantis.
10 comments
PeterH
May 12, 2023 at 1:44 pm
Just to add some clarity to this polling…..
The survey is the result of exclusively asking REGISTERED REPUBLICANS their PRIMARY voting preferences. It’s important to note that Florida’s primaries are CLOSED to the +4 million Florida independent voters who actually decide who wins Florida elections nationally!
Independent voters are more highly educated AND more socially conscious…..which isn’t good news for Trump or DeSantis in Florida.
Republicans 5,309,005 Democrats 4,854,087
Small Party 267,513 Independent 4,049,356 Total 14,479,961
norzarardo
May 13, 2023 at 2:57 am
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joey
May 13, 2023 at 9:55 pm
All we have to do is change party just to vote for Trump. Ron Disasters is like s little kid fight with Disney.
Michael K
May 12, 2023 at 1:49 pm
Floridians know better than most what governor DeathSentence is really all about. I’m not for Trump by any stretch – but let these two vile hate mongers roll in the gutter together. Neither one will get anywhere near the White House.
gloriajame
May 12, 2023 at 3:04 pm
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Billy the Bamboozler
May 12, 2023 at 3:47 pm
Another day, another poll. Who knows what might happen between now and 2024. Trump could be hit with a mega tsunami of charges and indictments. He could be arrested for something he does. He could have a massive heart attack. Already he’s morbidly obese and prone to fits of rage…to proud to take medicine.
Earl Pitts American
May 13, 2023 at 11:47 am
Just to add some clairity to these polls:
All polling is conducted by leftists to shape public opinion.
Why does all polling indicate Trump in the lead?
Because the left beat Trump last time and will beat him again.
Why does all polling put Desantis below Trump?
Because the left knows Desantis will kick their @55 and the left is trying to shape the RNC’s opinion to nominate Trump.
Elliott Offen
May 13, 2023 at 3:46 pm
🤡 Tropical 2 ocean tornado?🤡
Dont Say FLA
May 15, 2023 at 12:13 pm
Howdy there Mr EPA American sir! Polling is nothing more than a popularity contest and Mr DesPanties is winning 2nd prize in the GOP’s beauty contest. Trump wins 1st prize. Rhonda is holding his breath waiting for guilty Trump verdicts but, sadly, all the indictments to come won’t change Trump’s fate as GOP’s 2024 Nominee. I’m not a fan of Rhonda, not in the slightest, but I do wish the GOP would move on past fear as their platform and get back to the ole’ conservative policy thing. McConnel’s GOP used Trump to give away the biggest lever they had, abortion rights, thinking Trump would get sunk by the unpopularity of “Trump’s” SCOTUS taking away abortion rights, but Trump is the real Teflon President and now the GOP is lost at sea, throwing darts at drag queens and trans kids for God’s sake, trying to remanufacture the outrage lever they pulled for the last 50+ years before they surrendered their lever. The GOP is the dog that actually caught the car. And now they don’t know what to do. It’s pitiful and shameful. USA needs a left and a right, but all we got is a middle-right, the Dems, and a bunch of loonies whose entire political platform is hating on trans kids, drag queens, children that got shot at school, and, omg the scariest of all: books! I wish the GOP could find its way back to some semblance of relevance. I wish they could find a point in being that isn’t just being mean.
Jack Sonville
May 13, 2023 at 4:51 pm
1,081 is a poll. Finally. Yes it’s more expensive but over 900 polled and the accuracy skyrockets, even if just 1,100.
Stop publishing 400 person polls; it’s 3rd grade bs.
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