A.G. Gancarski
Those who want to put money on “America’s Governor” becoming the next American President could benefit from increasingly long odds.
Betting platform Smarkets now has the odds of a Ron DeSantis presidency slotted at a slender 5%, suggesting the promised “reboot” to “let Ron be Ron” isn’t inspiring confidence among bettors. Putting it in perspective, the Governor’s odds of winning the White House in 2024 were nearly 24% back in March.
Investors now see DeSantis as the fifth most-likely person to win the presidency next year.
President Joe Biden, who DeSantis claims has a “good chance” to pass away if re-elected, leads all investment opportunities with 35.97% odds.
Former President Donald Trump is by far the leading Republican, at 29.41%.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who DeSantis has suggested would be an ideal choice to head the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) or the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in his administration, is seen as more likely to win the presidency than DeSantis. He is at 6.25%.
Non-candidate Gavin Newsom, who has challenged DeSantis to a debate on Fox News to no avail, is also ahead at 5.41%. DeSantis urged Newsom to “stop pussyfooting around” and challenge Biden, and even though that doesn’t appear likely to happen, the California Governor is still ahead of DeSantis.
DeSantis is ahead of Primary opponent Vivek Ramaswamy, who is given a 2.94% chance of winning the White House.
No other Republican is given more than a 2% chance of winning.
He also outperforms former First Lady Michelle Obama (2.38%) and Vice President Kamala Harris (2.08%).
11 comments
Dont Say FLA
July 27, 2023 at 12:33 pm
Ron’s chance currently measures at 5% but it has always been 0.5%, is currently 0.5%, and will never be more than 0.5% no matter what Trump does to boost this campaign of Ron’s.
Ron’s’ chances are measuring at 5%, ten times higher than they actually are, due to probability science being one of estimation, and currently 1 in 20 people still only know about generic Ron DeSantis. They are not yet familiar with Raging Rhondaroid.
As the facts of the Raging Rhondaroid reveal themselves over the coming weeks and maybe even months of the DeSantis Campaign, Ron’s probability will get closer and closer to Ron’s reality of “not any chance, not even in an iced over Hell.”
And why does Ron have even 0.5% of a chance? That is the chance Trump will croak before the election!
RonBeGone
July 27, 2023 at 2:04 pm
“And why does Ron have even 0.5% of a chance?”
Because there are still people out there who haven’t seen him speak yet. Rest assured, as the exposure increases, those remaining chances will evaporate to nothing. He’ll be hawking his goodies on K-Street, shilling for mega-corps before you know it.
Dont Say FLA
July 27, 2023 at 3:16 pm
0.5% is the MOE, margin of error
TBH I was just trying to say something nice fabout Mo’.
Rhonda reminds me of that song about whether somebody’s a robot or a mannequin
Domo arigato Moe Mo Re Re Ro Ro
Ron ain’t man enough to be a man-nequin, so we’ll go with him being Animatronic Dopey Escaped From Disney World
credit to Peggy, below, for Animatronic Dopey 😀
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July 27, 2023 at 3:38 pm
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President DeSantis
July 27, 2023 at 12:43 pm
There’s one upside to a DeSantis Presidency, but nobody’s talking about.
I might want to see a Disney Hall of Presidents’ Ron DeSantis. I am sure it would be hilarious, even funnier than the Hillary dressed up as Trump.
Peggy
July 27, 2023 at 1:12 pm
I wonder if they have an old Dopey animatronic laying around somewhere they can re-use?
Dont Say FLA
July 27, 2023 at 3:17 pm
YES! 😀
It’s Complicated
July 27, 2023 at 1:14 pm
Many of Florida’s political pundits in early 2018 thought our next Governor would easily be Adam Putnam. No way I’d bet on the GOP Nomination or the General Election outcome.
Sad to watch the Trump set fire to the GOP.
Ocean Joe
July 27, 2023 at 3:33 pm
It’s a self inflicted immolation starting with the Southern Strategy, deliberately culling the worst Democrats to join you by appealing to prejudice, then elevating folks like Newt Gingrich who torched civility, followed up by giant tax breaks and corporate welfare.
Trump is merely the mouthpiece. Remember, one of his best and most comical lies after getting caught up in his own misdeeds:
“They’re after YOU…not me.” And you guys drink it up.
Womp Womp
July 27, 2023 at 1:25 pm
** Sad trombone noises **
SteveHC
July 29, 2023 at 1:09 am
Why this guy continues to waste his “campaign” donors’ money is a complete mystery to me… could it be an altruistic effort on his part to draw Democratic fire away from the poor, maligned Donald Trump???
Nah… 😉
Comments are closed.