Ron DeSantis falls to sixth place in presidential odds markets

SC presser DeSantis
Gavin Newsom, Vivek Ramaswamy and Robert Kennedy Jr. have all surged ahead of the Florida Governor.

Ron DeSantis continues to look like a long shot in presidential betting markets, hitting a new low in gamblers’ estimations of the 2024 landscape.

According to the Election Betting Odds website, which uses odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt and Polymarket, the Governor is now in sixth place, with a 4.8% chance of victory.

DeSantis is staring up at non-candidate Gavin Newsom, who has a 5% chance of victory. The Governors of Florida and California are expected to debate this fall on Fox News in an event hosted by Sean Hannity.

The Florida Governor also lags behind entrepreneur Vivek G. Ramaswamy, whose pitch to potential donors includes an assurance he is “on track to eclipse” DeSantis. Ramaswamy is given a 5.3% chance of victory by bettors across these markets.

Also ahead of DeSantis is Robert Kennedy, Jr. The Governor recently walked back a suggestion that the iconoclastic vax-skeptic Democrat could play a meaningful leadership role at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention or the Food and Drug Administration, saying that what he meant was that Kennedy could be part of a bipartisan “task force” to spur reforms. Kennedy, given a 5.5% chance of winning, is seen as more likely to be President than DeSantis however.

Unsurprisingly, the odds-on favorites are the most recent former President and the incumbent in the White House. Joe Biden leads all names, with a 35.5% chance of victory. Donald Trump is given a 28.5% chance of winning.

DeSantis is currently in third place in the race for the Republican nomination, with Ramaswamy at 9.6% and the Governor at 9.5%. Trump is at 70.3%, meanwhile.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has written for since 2014. He is based in Northeast Florida. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


  • Michael K

    August 8, 2023 at 11:16 am

    He’s in a free-fall now.

    My local 7-11 has less staff turnover than his campaign.

    • Cisco

      August 8, 2023 at 2:13 pm

      The man is a joke

  • Sonja Fitch

    August 8, 2023 at 11:16 am

    Lol. It’s happened! Desantis fired another campaign manager! Love it.

    • Jill KC Black, single wf

      August 8, 2023 at 11:21 am

      Soon we see Jill leave

      • Dont Say FLA

        August 8, 2023 at 11:23 am

        In a ploy for public sympathy, she’ll donate her eyebrows to Locks of Love.

        • Locks of Love

          August 8, 2023 at 1:24 pm

          Not to us, she won’t. Maybe Goodwill will want them.

    • Dont Say FLA

      August 8, 2023 at 11:22 am

      The Rhonda Campaign staff turnover, being similar to Former President Trump’s cabinet and staff turnover must be intended to impress people.

      Rhonda’s strategy is “I find it interesting that Trump did it, you know, the turnover, so I will do the turnover too and then like the Maggas will like me.”

      • RonaldBeGone…ald

        August 8, 2023 at 12:05 pm

        Try Hard MAGAts are the worst aren’t they? Time to pull the flush handle on this turd, he’s starting to stink.

  • Dont Say FLA

    August 8, 2023 at 11:18 am

    Nutty Rhonda is now even further behind nutty RFK Jr. LOL. Two nuts that need to be sacked.

  • PeterH

    August 8, 2023 at 11:22 am

    DeSantis has become yesterday’s fish wrapper!

    • Fish Camp

      August 8, 2023 at 12:30 pm

      In yesterday’s soggy, smelly wrapper resides a fish named Rhonda.

  • Sad Trombone Noises

    August 8, 2023 at 12:04 pm

    Womp Womp!

    • RonaldBeGone…ald

      August 8, 2023 at 12:06 pm

      Love your work.

  • David Farrar

    August 8, 2023 at 12:32 pm

    I don’t think Ramaswamy is an Art. II, §1, cl. 5 natural-born citizen, at least in a Trumpian sense.

    • Dont Say FLA

      August 8, 2023 at 1:23 pm

      Birther nonsense? Yeah, that’ll derail the topic.

      Topic being “how big a loser Ron DeSantis is, and now everybody’s finding out.”

      Did everybody hear? Ron DeSantis is praying for others to get out of the GOP primary so Ron will have fewer places to fall through, meaning fewer headlines on his way to dead last.

      “Last Place Ron” is title he’s working very hard to earn.

  • Cisco

    August 8, 2023 at 2:11 pm

    Mr unlikeable can be the exhibit at Disney next year ..The voyage to the bottom of the polls

  • LongTimeTexan

    August 8, 2023 at 4:47 pm

    He has been attempting to make himself look good by attempting to make Trump look bad. Doesn’t work DeSantis, you are shooting yourself in the foot. TRUMP 2024! MAGA!

  • My Take

    August 8, 2023 at 5:46 pm

    Will he hang on until the last dollar?
    Or see the light, withdraw, and delude for 2028?

  • My Take

    August 9, 2023 at 9:38 am

    Woke Won
    DeSSantis is going down in flames.

    • Dont Say FLA

      August 9, 2023 at 6:42 pm

      Everybody sell your Domino’s, Pizza Hut and Papa Johns stock now while you can before Rhonda becomes a pizza delivery guy and everyone subsequently stops having pizza delivered due to ROR, Risk Of Rhonda.

Comments are closed.


Florida Politics is a statewide, new media platform covering campaigns, elections, government, policy, and lobbying in Florida. This platform and all of its content are owned by Extensive Enterprises Media.

Publisher: Peter Schorsch @PeterSchorschFL

Contributors & reporters: Phil Ammann, Drew Dixon, Roseanne Dunkelberger, A.G. Gancarski, Anne Geggis, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, Cole Pepper, Gray Rohrer, Jesse Scheckner, Christine Sexton, Drew Wilson, and Mike Wright.

Email: [email protected]
Twitter: @PeterSchorschFL
Phone: (727) 642-3162
Address: 204 37th Avenue North #182
St. Petersburg, Florida 33704