Another Iowa poll shows Ron DeSantis nearly 30 points behind Donald Trump

DeSantis NBD Iowa
Will the Kim Reynolds endorsement narrow the race going forward?

A fresh poll of 1,084 likely Iowa caucus participants shows Donald Trump with more support than the next three candidates combined.

In the Trafalgar Group survey conducted between Nov. 3-5, Trump’s 44% support is more than the aggregate backing for Ron DeSantis (18%), Nikki Haley (15%) and Tim Scott (9%).

The survey began before news leaked that Gov. Kim Reynolds would endorse the Florida Governor, who has long sought her support, during a rally in the Hawkeye State Monday night. But the final day the poll was in the field overlapped with that news breaking.

The new survey effectively corroborates the read from recent previous polls of the state.

The Des Moines Register/NBC News/Mediacom Iowa Poll conducted late last month showed DeSantis and Haley tied at 16%, with Trump at 43%.

An October Iowa State University/Civiqs poll showed a much more lopsided result, with DeSantis at 17% and Trump at 58%.

Iowa’s 40 delegates will be doled out on a proportional basis after the Jan. 15 caucus results are finalized.

The Florida Governor keeps saying he’s confident he will win the state.

“You win it contest by contest. It’s not a national Primary,” DeSantis said last month in Tampa, as reported by the Florida Phoenix. “I spent the last six weeks spending a lot of time in rural counties in Iowa. That is not getting a lot of fanfare, and certainly not going to move a national poll, but we’re banking people that are going to go caucus for us when it matters. That’s all that matters. Who shows up in Iowa in mid-January.”

“I wouldn’t trade places with any candidate where we are in Iowa and I think we’re going to have a tremendous victory there and I think it’s going to be something that is going to totally, totally upend all of the conventional wisdom,” he added.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has written for since 2014. He is based in Northeast Florida. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


  • Julia

    November 6, 2023 at 1:49 pm

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  • Tom

    November 6, 2023 at 2:10 pm

    Imagine being so unlikable that you’d lose to a buffoon like trump. That has to sting.

    • Michael K

      November 7, 2023 at 12:05 pm

      After all the stunts he’s pulled, there’s not much dignity left to fill the empty suit.

  • Rick Whitaker

    November 6, 2023 at 2:48 pm

    way too much attention going to the iowa clown show. who cares about iowa.

  • MH/Duuuval

    November 6, 2023 at 4:34 pm

    Dee and Gov. Reynolds are cut from the same cloth, but her base is MAGA which won’t go with her to Ron’s side.

  • Scott

    November 7, 2023 at 4:38 am

    Yes, the Chairman of Iowa’s Republican Party, according to Des Moines Register, calls her a kingmaker; so does the leading Evangelical in the Hawkeye State.

  • Biscuit

    November 7, 2023 at 1:59 pm

    Newsquirt out of Iowa: a poll shows the GOP there is comprised of 44% morons and 18% idiots. Another 15% are delusional, as evidenced by their support for a candidate whose gender will prevent her from ever leading the largely anti-female GOP, and 9% are just kidding, because they know darn well a Black man will never be accepted by the largely racist GOP.
    Humans, gotta love’m. They buy the dog food.

Comments are closed.


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