Poll: Ron DeSantis trails Donald Trump by 37 points in Arizona GOP Primary

desantis trump
Arizona uses a winner-take-all formula to allocate its 43 delegates, meaning that if you're not in first place, you might as well be in last.

Yet another opinion survey shows problems for Ron DeSantis ahead of the 2024 Arizona Republican Primary next March.

The most recent Noble Predictive Insights poll shows DeSantis trailing former President Donald Trump, 53% to 16%, in what is the latest illustration of a big gap between the two in the Grand Canyon State.

“Despite some shuffling among the single-digit-support candidates since July, it’s still Trump and DeSantis in the top two with Trump securing more than half of GOP voters’ support in a crowded field. DeSantis falls (to) a distant second while Vivek Ramaswamy and Nikki Haley trail closely behind,” the pollsters noted.

A two-way race between the Florida Governor and his mentor-turned-rival wouldn’t shake out much better for DeSantis, according to the late October survey.

“Even one-versus-one in a hypothetical head-to-head between Trump (68%) and DeSantis (32%), Trump leads DeSantis 2:1, gaining an additional 6 points since the July AZPOP,” the pollsters added.

Arizona uses a winner-take-all formula to allocate its 43 delegates, meaning that if you’re not in first place, you might as well be in last.

The new Noble poll is better for DeSantis than some other pollsters’ reads of the Arizona race. An Emerson College survey of 663 likely GOP Primary voters, conducted between Aug. 2 and Aug. 4, shows the Florida Governor with just 11% support, 47 points behind Trump.

Though DeSantis has not campaigned in Arizona as a candidate, he did swing through the state for unsuccessful candidates running in state races in 2022, Kari Lake and Blake Masters.

At that stop, Lake offered a provocative quote comparing the Governor to the former President.

“He’s got BDE. I call it Big DeSantis Energy. He’s got the same kind of BDE President Trump has,” Lake said, introducing DeSantis as a Governor who brought “Trump strength” to Florida.

Lake has gone on to endorse Trump for President.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has written for FloridaPolitics.com since 2014. He is based in Northeast Florida. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


  • Michael K

    November 14, 2023 at 10:56 am

    The loser takes…nothing.

  • Biscuit

    November 14, 2023 at 5:03 pm

    NewsFart out of Arizona: recent poll of GOP voters reveals 53% are solid morons, while 16% are merely idiots. Meanwhile, Kari Lake has announced her intention to marry Senator Mitch McConnell, declaring, “If I marry him, that makes me a Senator too.”

  • Sunset Manor

    November 14, 2023 at 10:25 pm

    When Donnie and Ronnie have failed next November there are going to be some mighty morose MAGArat 1/9er longtimers in prison.
    And BTW, the QAnon Shaman, the Horned Moron, is apparently going to run for some office.

  • My Take

    November 15, 2023 at 5:50 am

    Every day is looking worsè legally for Trumpy.
    Rhonda CAN’T quit.

Comments are closed.


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