Shock Fox News poll shows 4-point spread between Donald Trump, Joe Biden
Image via Fox News.

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The first post-trial survey is surprisingly close. Is Florida in play after all?

New polling conducted earlier this month by Fox News points to a surprisingly close presidential race in a state widely seen as a safe GOP hold in November.

The survey of 1,075 registered voters shows Donald Trump with 50% support, just four points ahead of President Joe Biden in a state where Republicans expect to have a million more registrants than the Democratic Party by November.

The two are tied with female voters, in the first Sunshine State polling since the former President’s conviction on 34 counts of falsifying business records in a hush money trial in New York last month.

Trump does have 52% support with male voters, per Fox.

Biden is above 50% with moderates, independent voters, college grads, and Urban voters, driving his competitive showing in a state that he lost in 2020 and trails badly in most polls this cycle.

A crowded ballot including Robert Kennedy Jr.Cornel West, and Jill Stein is friendlier to the former President. He has a 47% to 40% lead in that scenario.

Regarding the aforementioned trial, 52% of respondents say it was fair.  That includes 92% of Democrats, 65% of independents, and even 15% of Republicans.

Other polling, such as that from the Florida Chamber of Commerce last month, showed a bigger spread. There, Trump led Biden 51% to 42%.

The Five Thirty Eight average is even more foreboding for Biden, with Trump leading him by more than 11 points.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. His work also can be seen in the Washington Post, the New York Post, the Washington Times, and National Review, among other publications. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


32 comments

  • Ocean Joe

    June 6, 2024 at 8:46 pm

    ‘People are saying’…’Sir! You’re a convicted felon, sir.’

    • Elvis Pitts "The Big Voice On The Right" American

      June 9, 2024 at 2:21 pm

      Good afternoon Sage Patriots & Dook 4 Brains Leftys,
      Before you begin perusing the commentary below let me offer a bit of Sage Advice.
      STAND BY FOR ELVIS SAGE ADVICE:
      America there is some commentary below which none of will approve of.
      SO:
      What I suggest we all do is to read only The Sage Commentary and Unparelled Wisdom of ME, ELVIS PITTS AMERICAN, while totally ignoring the temptation to read all those HATE AND DOOK FILLED COMMENTS from all those “Nattering Nabobs of Negativism”.
      Thats right friends I have read those comments below from all those “Nattering Nabobs of Negativism” and find it in your best interest to just focus on Elvis Pitts Americans Sage Commentary.
      Thank you,
      EPA

  • Elvis Pitts "The Big Voice On The Right" American

    June 6, 2024 at 8:55 pm

    Good evening America,
    STAND BY FOR NEWS:
    America, all of my Besty Leftys are ascribing to the Sage Wisdom of Elvis in the respect of following my Sage Plan of how to maintain their sanity for the upcoming 4 year Sage Trump Administration.
    STAND BY FOR “THE SAGE PLAN”:
    My besty leftys are all Dook 4 Brains Leftys just like most of you reading my “Sage Wisdom” right now.
    SO YOU CAN TRUST WHAT IS TO FOLLOW:
    THE SAGE PLAN:
    America, all my Besty Leftys are voting for Trump because they want to be on The Winning Side.
    Now most of my Bestys will keep it a secret from their Dook 4 Brains friends ….. because Y’all know how Hatefull Y’all can be.
    THE BENIFITS:
    They can then all “PRETEND TO BE SCREAMING AT THE SKY” (while seceretly relaxing their Sphincters for the entire 4 year Trump term).
    Many will then live an extra 15 to 23.76 years longer by not being so upset and instead enjoying the Health and Wellbeing which comes from Deep, Stimulating, Sphincter Relaxing.
    So my Bestys if that sounds lovely to you than WELCOME TO THE ELVIS PITTS AMERICAN FAN CLUB ….. and dont forget: Relax Your Sphincters America!!!!

    • JD

      June 6, 2024 at 9:33 pm

      Ah – Shitts with the Cease and Desist, the FELONIOUS TRUMP is about to blow the last of his jazz routine.

      The NPAs of Florida were counted out and they are going to F@CK CONVICTED FELON TRUMP and his ASSOCIATES in the A55 come November.

      Enjoy screaming at the sky Shitts. Maybe relax your butth0le with a good enema wash you keep telling the rest of us to do so it doesn’t hurt so much.

      “It’s not the heat, it’s the stupidity of EARL SHITS DOOK4BRAINS GROOMER BananaRepublican.”

      • Elvis Pitts "The Big Voice On The Right" American

        June 9, 2024 at 2:40 pm

        America, JD is one of those “Nattering Nabobs of Negativism” which I warned you about. JD is hereby placed under a 3 day Painfull Chastizement in which he (JD) is under a masturbation (Wanking) ban for 3 entire painfull days.
        Feel the Burn of an Elvis Chastizement JD,
        Thank you America, and JD you will thank me in 3 days when you learn your lesson to stop being an annoying “Nattering Nabob of Negativism”,
        Thank you,
        Elvis Pitts Anerican

        • JD

          June 10, 2024 at 8:27 am

          The “Believers” always dislike the truthsayer, because belief is the enemy of the truth.

    • rick whitaker

      June 6, 2024 at 10:21 pm

      EARL PITTS / BILLY PURSER, please quit crying. the sphincter man has been punked.

      • Elvis Pitts "The Big Voice On The Right" American

        June 7, 2024 at 8:30 am

        Good Morn ‘Ting to all my Bestys,
        STAND BY FOR NEWS:
        All of my Bestys are hereby mandated to “Get Up On You-Tube” today and conduct a sage review involving closley observing our potus (lower case letters intended…Not A Joke).
        HERES WHAT TO WATCH FOR:
        There is a point on the video at which you can tell that 8IDEN is “TOTALLY” filling up his man-diapers with a full-load of Comander-In-Chief “SMELLY BROWN”.
        America, I, Elvis Pitts American, have my own opperatives which confirmed it to the largest load they have seen to date.
        Anyway, America, this loading up of the man-diapers is 100% obvious and The World is laughing at Our Great Nation over this.
        IN CLOSING:
        Enough is Enough America,
        We have reached the tipping point in which I know I can count on ALL MY BESTY LEFTYS TRUMP VOTE.
        AND THAT IS THE REST OF THE STORY:
        Elvis Pitts American

      • Elvis Pitts "The Big Voice On The Right" American

        June 9, 2024 at 2:43 pm

        America Rick works for me so he, of course, is not under a painfull chastizement like that annoying “Nattering Nabob of Negativism” JD
        Thanks Rick and keep up the great work for Truth, Justice, and The American Way,
        EPA

  • Dick Whitaker

    June 7, 2024 at 5:21 am

    Biden is going downhill very rapidly right before our own eyes. He is mentally shot and there is something wrong with him as well physically. Look at him shuffling his feet. His fingers are beginning to curl up. He was totally lost at Normandy. Would not surprise me if he withdraws from the race

    • My Take

      June 7, 2024 at 8:13 am

      Raving, raging, threatening, constantly lying Trump would be less dangerous if more declined.

    • Ocean Joe

      June 7, 2024 at 8:19 am

      At least he went to Normandy!

      Your pal didnt want to get his hair wet, was busy calling our soldiers (that includes you) losers and suckers, and snatched stuff from the US embassy in Paris. You may criticize the health of Biden, I agree. But he is a decent old man, not a narcissistic imbecile.

  • He’s Not Here

    June 7, 2024 at 6:18 am

    Force Biden to take a cognitive test. Demand it now.

    • Tom

      June 7, 2024 at 7:10 am

      Live on TV with trump next to him taking the same test. You could use the ‘are you smarter than a sixth grader’ format and Pat Sajak could host. I’d watch that and we could play tax return bingo the week after.

      • Dont Say FLA

        June 7, 2024 at 7:27 am

        That’s in a few weeks in Atlanta. They’re calling it a debate, but we all know what it really is.

        • He’s Not Here

          June 7, 2024 at 8:27 am

          Test Joe and see what pharmaceuticals are in his body before shuffles out to the stage and shows the national audience his confused look.

          • Tom

            June 7, 2024 at 9:12 am

            Sure … and then test trump for adderall before he comes out and starts whining about how unfair everyone is to him and how he’s going to jail everyone that was was ever mean to him. If it’s good for the goose, it’s good for the gander as they say.

          • MH/Duuuval

            June 7, 2024 at 10:54 am

            You test first, viagra man.

          • Dont Say FLA

            June 7, 2024 at 2:17 pm

            Biden showing up in person and performing throws a wrench into your monkey narrative, therefore “he’s on drugs!”

            LOL @ the USA’s bigliest deniers of reality, the MAGAs and the MFLs

    • My Take

      June 7, 2024 at 10:38 am

      Have Trump’s persona evaluated by a team of forensic psychiatrists.

      • Bill

        June 8, 2024 at 7:40 am

        Just give him an enema and there would be nothing left of him. Problem solved.

  • Dont Say FLA

    June 7, 2024 at 7:26 am

    The Donaldzzz has been doing the same old song and dance for his entire career. It only works when there’s a constant stream of new suckers, because sooner or later most folks figure him out. He is full of shit and full of himself and those two things he fulla ain’t substantially any different from each other

    • Elvis Pitts "The Big Voice On The Right" American

      June 9, 2024 at 2:48 pm

      Love you my Beautiful Son/Daughter with all my heart. Please let Dad know if anyone whizzes you off and needs Correction/Direction,
      Love Dad

  • Elmo

    June 7, 2024 at 8:03 am

    No shot for Biden in Florida. It has too many people who are mad at the world, just like Trump.

    • Dont Say FLA

      June 7, 2024 at 8:30 am

      Make ’em mad enough to stay home, Biden wins.

      • Dont Say FLA

        June 7, 2024 at 8:32 am

        Thusly the prophylactic Hunting & Fishing initiative, trying to make sure the MAGAs go and vote. But if the MAGAs can be made to realize the hunting & fishing thing is just a cynical manipulation of them, maybe that’ll make them even angrier.

      • Ocean Joe

        June 7, 2024 at 8:41 am

        Biden shouldn’t waste a dime on Florida. He will be the first to help us if we take a hurricane, regardless of the handbiting a-holes like Medicare Rick, Lil Marco or Desantimonious. But it’s a red hellhole and should be treated the same as Mississippi from a Democratic campaign standpoint.

        • Ocean Joe

          June 7, 2024 at 8:44 am

          Biden’s willingness to serve the entire country must be contrasted with Trump slow walking assistance to California after the fires because “they dont vote for me.” Of course the titanic imbecile had no clue the folks who lived in the fire affected areas actually did vote for him by heavy margins.

    • rick whitaker

      June 7, 2024 at 11:34 am

      ELMO, if i still lived in florida , i would be steaming mad at the desantis gang. florida is a hellhole in almost every way i can think of, so i feel fortunate to have gotten out when i did. if i still lived there i would be looking to get out when possible. the bad things about florida, clearly outweigh the good things. here in tennessee, most of the people coming into our state come from florida over other states. so i’m not the only one that saw the writing on the wall. the writing i saw said get out now.

      • Elvis Pitts "The Big Voice On The Right" American

        June 8, 2024 at 4:07 pm

        Come back Rick,
        We miss you in Florida,
        Elvis Pitts American

  • sundance

    June 13, 2024 at 8:08 pm

    I must have it all wrong. I thought it was about illegal jewels. Territory turf and invasion.
    And a little poppy hoppy. And something in your snow

  • Snow peas

    June 13, 2024 at 8:12 pm

    Me//me play joke me put pee pee in your coke…… Go biden

Comments are closed.


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