Poll: Young voters in 12 states, including Florida, think Donald Trump’s felonies disqualify him
Image via AP.

Donald Trump court
That includes a majority of Democrats, Republicans and independents.

Under-30 voters in a dozen states — including Florida — are further souring on Donald Trump’s candidacy in the wake of damaging court verdicts against the former President, newly released polling figures show.

Seventy-four percent of voters 18-29 in Florida, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, Virginia and Wisconsin think Trump, as a convicted felon, shouldn’t be allowed near the White House again.

That includes a majority of Democrats, Republicans and independents, according to Washington-based public research firm The Generation Lab, which surveyed 1,080 young voters in early June for Voters of Tomorrow, a Generation Z-led progressive election engagement organization.

The survey, which found 74% of Floridians agreed that a convicted felon should be barred from seeking the presidency, had a 3-percentage-point margin of error.

Notably, the survey was conducted before the first 2024 presidential debate, which left many concerned about President Joe Biden’s mental fitness for the job. National polling has since shifted more favorably toward Trump, with the former President expanding his lead to 6 percentage points in a New York Times/Siena College survey published Wednesday.

The Generation Lab’s poll, conducted June 2-7, found that 57% of respondents across 12 states viewed Trump more negatively after his conviction on 34 felony counts of falsifying business records to cover up his affair with an adult film actress before the 2016 election.

In Florida, the divide was even starker. Sixty-two percent of respondents said their opinion of Trump diminished “more” or “much more” afterward, compared to 29% who said the verdict didn’t change their opinion and 3% who viewed him even more positively.

Similarly, 53% of young voters across the 12 states said a jury’s finding that Trump was liable for sexual abuse and defamation — offenses for which he was ordered to pay more than $88 million in damages — was also a big minus.

Sixty-three percent of under-30 Floridians agreed with them. Just 5% of respondents across all 12 states and only 2% in Florida said they liked Trump more after the jury’s ruling.

An overwhelming share of young voters are also rejecting Trump’s repeated claims that the justice system was “rigged” against him. Just 16% of all respondents to the survey agreed with him, compared to 52% who said the verdict was fair.

In Florida alone, 22% of young voters said they believed the justice system worked unjustly against the former President. Fifty-four percent said it didn’t. The remainder said they didn’t know one way or the other.

As to be expected, Democrats shared harsher opinions of Trump. Responding to the above query, for instance, 82% of Democrats said they believed the convictions were not rigged, compared to 51% of independents and 37% of Republicans who said the same. Meanwhile, just 5% of Democrats said they thought Trump faced prosecutorial and judicial bias. Thirteen percent of independents and 15% of Republicans agreed.

The Generation Lab’s polling also indicates that the ground Biden lost in voter sentiment after last week’s debate can still be regained and added to. Asked whether Trump’s conviction of paying Daniels hush money would impact their likelihood of voting for Biden, 25% of young voters in all 12 states said they were more motivated to cast ballots for him.

That increase was most marked among Democrats (40% more likely), but significant shares of independents and Republicans — 23% and 11%, respectively — also expressed a greater willingness to vote for the incumbent.

Sunshine State-specific figures Florida Politics viewed that did not include a by-party breakdown showed 29% of respondents saying they were more likely to vote for Biden compared to 13% who said they were even more disinclined to support him.

The largest share, 58%, said the convictions did not affect their allegiances or didn’t know how they felt.

Jesse Scheckner

Jesse Scheckner has covered South Florida with a focus on Miami-Dade County since 2012. His work has been recognized by the Hearst Foundation, Society of Professional Journalists, Florida Society of News Editors, Florida MMA Awards and Miami New Times. Email him at [email protected] and follow him on Twitter @JesseScheckner.


18 comments

  • tom palmer

    July 3, 2024 at 6:29 pm

    Now if they will just vote.

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  • Elvis Pitts "THE BIG VOICE ON THE RIGHT" American

    July 3, 2024 at 7:27 pm

    Relax your Sphincters America,
    When you have the above Dook 4 Brains Leftist Polling Business interviewing only Dook 4 Brains Leftys of course they got what appears favorable Dook results.
    BUT WAIT THERES MORE:
    ONLY 57% out of a 100% Dook survay poll chose DEMOCRAT favorable results.
    THAT MEANS:
    43% of an all Dook survey base of Dook Leftys ARE LOVING TRUMP AND VOTING TRUMP.
    Y’all Dooks are in a heap of Trouble.
    Elvis Pitts American

    • Jojo

      July 5, 2024 at 6:40 am

      When one does not have the truth on their side, resorting to ad hominem attacks is all that’s left

  • Ocean Joe

    July 3, 2024 at 7:32 pm

    At least honor still matters among young people. Everyone else has become a whore with one excuse or another. Hopefully Biden has a lucid interval during which he drops out. Otherwise we are left marooned with a choice between an imbecile who holds the Republican party hostage or the cruel spectacle of elder abuse by the Democrats.

  • Michael K

    July 3, 2024 at 10:00 pm

    This group of young people is the most diverse cohort in American history. Generally, they don’t like liars and misogynist felons. They seem not so keen on controlling women’s bodies and are baffled by the anti-LGBTQ hate, xenophobia, and bigotry of angry old people who horde power by division, fear, and hate. This generation came of age with mass murder and active shooter drills in school.

    Trump is a dinosaur, a relic of 80’s vulgar greed and corruption that is hollow and harmful. This generation sees through the bluster and BS: they care about the planet, climate, health, education, culture, income equality, human rights, and decency.

    • Impeach Biden

      July 4, 2024 at 4:57 am

      They care about free time, free college, shorter work week hours, legal dope, Instagram, Tik-Tok, with many still living in mom and dad’s basement. If you are calling Trump a dinosaur, what should we label senile Joe as? The American people have been lied to by the press, the White House staff, the DNC, and on and in. Meanwhile at Instagram, Tik-Tok, Fakebook life goes on with very little awareness to what is going on around the world.

      • Tom

        July 4, 2024 at 7:30 am

        If that’s the kids that you raised, you did a crap job so that one is on you. My nieces and nephews are more like @Michael K’s description. I’m constantly amazed that they never inherited any boomer cynicism. Unfortunately, boomers are more likely to vote which is how we get stuck with idiots and geriatrics.

        • Impeach Biden

          July 4, 2024 at 12:37 pm

          Did not raise my kids that way. Social Media raised many of them though and many tend to follow these idiotic goofballs. Nice try though Tom.

      • Norma

        July 6, 2024 at 6:51 pm

        Are those your children that you’re talking about? That doesn’t come close to describing the young people I know.

  • PeterH

    July 4, 2024 at 12:31 am

    America needs to have faith in young people. The current crop of Americans over age 55 have sat on the side lines and watched our military complex, corporate institutions and government officials destroy America. Hopefully young people can fix what this generation has broken.

    • Impeach Biden

      July 4, 2024 at 5:24 am

      You and Michael K will hitch your wagon to anyone or any group that supports your positions. We get it,you two hate Trump. Personally I would rather another Repub nominee, but it is what it is. One thing is for certain Joe is not capable and Ka Mana is not much better.

      • Michael K

        July 4, 2024 at 8:32 am

        You seem to have issues with the vice president because she is a woman. Perhaps you fear, that as a former prosecutor, she will mop the floor with the torrent of lies and fiction that spew forth from your felon. She’s smart, fierce, and very accomplished. She’s an excellent debater. But there could be other reasons that you despise her. Her non-anglo name? Heritage? Her Jewish husband? Or because she hails from a state that is also the 5th largest economy on earth?

        • Ocean Joe

          July 4, 2024 at 12:24 pm

          You left out the Black part. Dont be shy. Trump rose largely on the mind melt of the right after Obama got elected. The birther stuff, etc. Impeach is just trying to live up to the right wing ideal while besmirching the idealism of the young.

        • Impeach Biden

          July 4, 2024 at 2:04 pm

          What a bunch of gaslighting BS there. First of all I am not a racist, sexist, anti-jew, and whatever your Democrat talking points are in the discrimination front. Harris. She was tasked very early in Joe’s administration to look in and to solve the border crisis. She wanted nothing to do with it and completely failed at her tasking. Now if she worked in the Private Sector that alone would have gotten her fired. Many of her staff have quit on her. They say she doesn’t prepare for meetings. It is obvious when she delivers her famous word salad and giggles. “Fweedom”, the first words she said at that civil rights spot? BS on that too. Now she might be a skilled attorney. I’ve watched her hearings when she was a Senator. She is fine when it is she that asks the questions nodding her head in that condescending style. She crumbles when the tide is turn and she is the one that gets asked the questions. “I’m speaking, I’m speaking”. Well Kammy you have to be ready for the counters that come your way. She isn’t ready for Prime Time. She was put in ice after the border failure but now she might have to fill in for Slo Joe. The majority in your party are not confident in her. They want someone else, but then here comes the racism allegations in your party if she is bypassed. She is less popular than Joe. Dropped out very early in 2020. I say put her up. It will only help the other side.

        • Impeach Biden

          July 5, 2024 at 11:42 am

          You’re excatly right. I would rather have a hot young male in the position. Some sexy eye candy that I can ogle every night on CNN would be the dream scenario.

          That’s why I love Matt Gaetz so much. 🤤

  • ScienceBLVR

    July 4, 2024 at 10:37 am

    Conversation with 3 late teen, early twenties in my orbit. Granted, all middle class in early college years, but all registered to vote- 1 dem, 2 independents. All mad at Dems response to Gaza, but still not voting for Trump.
    Would have voted for Biden, but excited at the prospect of Kamala running instead-especially the 2 females in the group. Something to really rock the young vote and get people involved is what the felt.They also seem to think they will solve the sh$tpile of problems we are leaving them.. still so very young, but hopeful, which is good. My money is on them..

Comments are closed.


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