Jacob Ogles
Days after Whitney Fox won her Democratic Primary, a poll conducted for Florida Politics shows her leading U.S. Rep. Anna Paulina Luna.
St. Pete Polls found almost 48% of likely voters plan to support Fox, while just over 44% intend to vote for Luna. That puts the incumbent well short of the 50% threshold needed to ensure election to a second term.
The pollster surveyed participants on Aug. 27, a week after Fox won a five-candidate Democratic Primary in Florida’s 13th Congressional District.
“This poll confirms what we’ve been hearing from voters across Pinellas County – they are ready for a change,” said Fox. “Our community is tired of the extreme partisanship and divisive rhetoric that has defined Anna Paulina Luna’s time in office. People want real solutions, not her brand of shallow political theater.
“Luna has done absolutely nothing to help families struggling with rising costs, and her support for a nationwide abortion ban without exceptions for rape is horrifying and harmful to women. I’m running to be a voice for working families, to protect our beaches, and to bring down the cost of living. We are building a coalition of Democrats, independents, and Republicans who believe in a brighter future for our district.”
Luna, meanwhile, throw an indirect jab at polling results, sharing a video montage of prior polls, some from St. Pete Polls, that showed opponents leading her in 2022. “Being that it’s an election year, I’d like to have a moment of silence for previous candidates and their ‘winning’ polls,” she said.
The same poll found Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris leading Republican nominee Donald Trump 51% to 46% within the Pinellas County district, and found Democratic Senate candidate Debbie Mucarsel-Powell leading incumbent Republican U.S. Sen. Rick Scott, 49% to 46%.
The poll includes responses from 843 voters, with pollsters reporting a 3.4-percentage-point margin of error.
Pinellas County has traditionally been a swing county that shifted more red, along with the state, in the last election cycle. In 2022, Luna won her seat over Eric Lynn with more than 53% of the vote, with the Democrat under 45%. The same election, more than 56% of voters in the district supported Republican U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio’s re-election and more than 58% backed Gov. Ron DeSantis for a second term.
About 53% of voters in the district supported Trump for President in 2020 against Democrat Joe Biden in 2020. But the latest poll suggests Pinellas voters may swing back to the left in a big way.
As of the book closing on voter rolls before Florida’s Aug. 20 Primary, Republicans maintained a substantial voter registration edge in the district. More than 205,000 registered Republicans live in the district, compared to almost 151,000 Democrats and 136,000 no-party voters.
The poll found Luna remains popular among Republican voters there, with more than 78% backing the Republican incumbent and just 16% ready to cross lines and vote for Fox.
But the incumbent performs poorly with all other voters. Among Democrats, Fox has the support of nearly 86%, while just 6% want Luna re-elected. Among independents about 51% plan to vote for Fox while less than 39% favor Luna.
With two women serving as the face of their parties, Fox holds a slight edge with female voters, at 47% to 44%.
Pollsters only found the 70-and-up age demographic supporting Luna. About 54% like the incumbent, while 37% prefer Fox. But Fox leads with the 50-69 set, with 49% to Luna’s 45%. Fox is up with 30- to 49-year-olds, 53% to 39%, and with voters under 30, 68% to 22%.
Federal Election Commission reports do show Luna enjoying the financial edge of incumbency. As of July 31, she had more than $917,000 in cash on hand for the race, while Fox had $119,000. And that was before Fox had to market herself in a Democratic Primary, while Luna won her nomination without opposition.
But Luna is one of just two Florida incumbents targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, which has signaled it intends to spend generously on the race. Fox was also one of just two Democratic congressional Primary winners spotlighted in a Florida Democratic Party press call this week.
StPetePolls 2024 CD-13-GEN August27 Q7JXA2 by Jacob Ogles on Scribd
41 comments
Michael
August 28, 2024 at 9:56 am
Anna Paulina Luna has been quoted saying that people who oppose abortion bans should, “move out of your state. Move elsewhere.”
There’s a special dislike reserved for a woman by other women when that woman throws shade on most other women. If you have 16% crossover from your own party, use of the label ‘popular’ might be questioned. When you combine 22% Democrat, with 29% NPA and 16% Republican, I imagine you are toast.
Day 37
August 28, 2024 at 10:14 am
Why this is even an issue in this day and age is beyond me with all sorts of contraception for both males and females. This is one of those Demo talking points like Medicaire / Medicaid, social security scares that are designed for the uninformed and uneducated.
JD
August 28, 2024 at 10:19 am
No it’s not. And I have proof of that.
My wife’s complications with pregnancy of our twins led to an emergency c-section at 24 weeks in an attempt to save them. Had the 6 week ban been in effect as it is written, they would have died in utero because the doctors would have either not been allowed to perform the operation they did or would have been scared to do so.
This is why it matter beyond contraceptives and is NOT a Demo talking point to sway an elections. Tell the Republicans to stop doing heinous sh!t and they might not get unelected.
Day 37
August 28, 2024 at 10:28 am
I would think an emergency C section in your wife’s case would be allowed under current law. Admittedly I’m not that familiar with exceptions. I will add that I am happy that your kids and momma are doing fine.
JD
August 28, 2024 at 11:01 am
Thank you for that. It’s ambiguous and requires additional hoops now that might not come in a timely manner, especially in rural areas. In my wife’s case it was literally a decision we and the doctors had to make in 15 minutes.
Granted it is not the norm and advocating for abortion as contraceptive is not what I am saying.
But I hate when we have the science to cure man’s ailments but won’t use it because of some ideology based religion.
Remember stem cell ban under Bush 1.0? Yeah – there’s a lot that could have been done with that for diabetes, heart disease and Alzheimer’s. But they threw out the baby with the bath water because they thought it would lead to more abortions. It would not have and set back research decades.
Want to talk about cancer vaccines that were never put into production because they were blood derived and the AIDS scare in 1980s (but funny how they are all set to use Monoclonals today to treat COVID)?
Scare tactics indeed.
Dick Reidy
August 28, 2024 at 5:45 pm
You are a soviet union cuckold and posting from a Russian IP address.
nail
August 29, 2024 at 1:06 am
There are no exceptions in FL.You are talking about the POS that would kill every FL if could..There is no exceptions for rape or incest because that will really hurt the women..rthat is what the remnants are about, the hurt they can impose gets them off.
The fascist that runs FL has to get the hell out of FL as soon as his successor is voted in because he will never last in this state. 3.7% voted for him for the Presidential election..3.7% there has never been a contender that has done less than 46%. he blew $180 million in one state and didn’t even get 1 county out of 98…Please they hate him but the idiots learned to late,
He is a GD embarrassment to FL and the destruction he has done.. Now all the Repugnants are seeing what he has done when it started costing them..They haven’t seen anything…Wait until they have to make up for the loss of snowbirds.. Rick Scott and Little Marco do.their part….They both voted NO to fund FEMA in FL. in 2023. All we can hope iOS everyone who voted for these AH gets hurt very badly with a nice big hurricane and they have to buy their own tent and live in it for a year or longer.
This is a death cult that seriously want as many dead as they can.. The viruses, there is no care for anyone.. he doesn’t even care about the kids going to school with meals and spreading them..Again, his spawn need to catch them but of course his are vaxed but hind his doctor death do not want any kid vaxed..How can a f governor stop a vax for children..Everyone of my friends had to take their kids to another to get the Covid vax.. Then they came back and screwed as fast as they could out if FL.
Only the caring parents took their kids out of the hellhole he and his red hatted legislature made..screwed the taxpayers billions not millions but billions., 600 hundred schools closing because they do not want their kids learning that blacks came to fl to get a friggin trade…What kind of AH are these ppl that destroy a child life by taking away their education? Sick sick POS..
Now they have to pay the AH Sasse that the fascist chose himself, because he didn’t care it was taxpayers that have to pay the $8 million salary for a AH who hasn’t even worked of UF for over a year and still $32 Million is missing..
It s going to take 20 years to get FL back, if ever..This country hates FL because everyone knows what the repugnants have done.
2 Neighbors have walked away from $700-800,000 homes because they could not get insurance less than 20,000..One person had to work for insurance only because they pay shit in FL because the fascist and his friends he appoints to jobs double what the idiots ever made, and then the faucet can steal whatever he can..because the legislature is getting their also..
Dick
August 29, 2024 at 10:47 am
Bull🍪🍪🍪
CharlieSeattle
September 3, 2024 at 3:39 pm
Women that support killing the unborn are evil. Luna has a point, keep tour legs closed or GTFO!
rick whitaker
August 28, 2024 at 11:31 am
DAY37, you just told a bald faced lie. i guess that’s just what losers do.
JHL
August 28, 2024 at 4:31 pm
*Really*, Ricky?
Just how is he lying?
Day 37
August 28, 2024 at 7:40 pm
JHL,
Ricky is an angry slum lord that lives in Tennessee. He thinks he is some sort of pied piper for the left leaners here. I don’t think they care for him as well. He was gone for awhile and I figured he went through some sort of intervention or something.🤣
rick whitaker
August 30, 2024 at 6:31 pm
JHL, he’s posting, he’s lying. just like trump.
Day 37
August 28, 2024 at 7:37 pm
I wasn’t talking to you hillbilly. So what was I lying about anyway or are you drinking moonshine again?
Rick Whitaker
August 28, 2024 at 7:47 pm
DAY 37 HOWLER MONKEY, well monkey, i’m not a maga cultist, so i DO know a lie when i see one. unfortunately for you, most posters are like me, they see your lies regularly. call me a silly name monkey, i don’t care. monkey, if i was you i would quit lying, but i’m not you. as i told you many times, i don’t drink at all. boy are you dumb, just because you drink, doesn’t mean others do. silly boy, or girl.
Day 37
August 28, 2024 at 8:23 pm
Yes and the hillbilly from Tennessee stole my “howler monkey” label a few months ago as well. Not an original thought in that pea brain.
Rick Whitaker
August 28, 2024 at 8:35 pm
DAY 3? HOWLER MONKEY, monkey, i was calling dudes or dudettes like you howler monkey way back in the mid-fifties. come on, let me hear some whataboutisms, they are so indicative of your character.
Day 37
August 28, 2024 at 8:46 pm
Negative to the original howler monkey. You must be having PTSD. You copied that term from me on this board.
rick whitaker
August 29, 2024 at 12:30 pm
PEACHY, you are one of the weak and cowardly florida men nail was talking about. weak and cowardly, boy nail hit the nail on the head.
rick whitaker
August 29, 2024 at 1:04 pm
PEACHY, i was saying howler monkey after i went to the zoo in 1957. the monkey cage is interesting to most kids. but sense you are so insecure about it, i will just call you peachy. a real name would be better, but if you are fearful, embarrassed, or generally insecure about your real name, then that’s an issue for a therapist. i’m a secure person so you can call me hillbilly or slumlord if you want. BTW, hillbillies are from west virginia. how could you not know that? florida schools must have let you down, or maybe you let them down by being a lousy student. either way, once again you are wrong about a simple thing.
nail
August 29, 2024 at 1:09 am
If the magats get in again birth control..The only control they want is every women to have 10 kids and have dinner ready at 6pm for her husband…Slave days are gone and 100% of the women are a hell of a lot smarter the 99% of the men in FL. They are weak and cowards..
T'Challa
August 29, 2024 at 7:06 pm
Republicans want to use the Comstock Act to ban contraception too.
According to Project 2025, recreational sex would effectively be banned.
Any sex that cannot produce a child would be effectively banned.
That includes LGBTQIA+ sex too.
Read Project 2025 before early voting starts.
PeterH
August 28, 2024 at 10:41 am
Hey Anna Paulina,
Why is it that you and your wingnut do-nothing Florida House and Senate Republicans in Washington have done absolutely nothing to develop a strict immigration reform legislation. Please don’t try to pull a fast one on Floridian voters that HR 2 was your solution, because WE KNOW that when the House proposes legislation they also must identify money TO PAY FOR THE LEGISLATION. Where is the $3 trillion dollars to pay for the border wall in HR2?
Day 37
August 28, 2024 at 11:00 am
Trying to switch the blame my so called independent? This is all on Joe and Kammy. Their border policy is a complete failure. Oh and now Kammy wants to build a wall. She flip flops more than Charlie Crist. Hilarious
Wesley Crusher
August 28, 2024 at 11:17 am
You’re a really uninformed person. Too much Fox News?
JHL
August 28, 2024 at 4:35 pm
Explain just how he is “uninformed”.
rick whitaker
August 30, 2024 at 6:34 pm
JHL, by watching fox news of course, duh!
Day 37
August 28, 2024 at 9:00 pm
Let me guess: CNN, MSNBC, NYT, NPR, The View. About right?
rick whitaker
August 29, 2024 at 12:50 pm
PEACHY, you watch the channels you listed for one month and see if you can become more informed. at present, all you do is parrot lies. personally, i think you are beyond help. if you want to be the eternal fool, i guess you have the right to be extremely foolish. you do at least know the names of the truthful media outlets, you just don’t watch them. why you would choose lies over truth, i can only imagine. did you get raped as a child. sometimes things like that can turn the victims into rathole divers to escape reality. if that is your history, i can almost sympathize with you.
JD
September 3, 2024 at 3:58 pm
Other than the View and now CNN, the others are very respected newsources. And ALL you named didn’t have to pay out close to a BILLION dollars for lying like Fox.
How about them apples? Murdock should be incarenated like Gobbels.
JD
September 3, 2024 at 4:02 pm
What am I saying, Gobbels took the easy way out. Murdock should consider his options. F@cking Nazis.
JHL
August 28, 2024 at 4:34 pm
We don’t need “reform”.
What is needed is to follow the statutory federal laws already on the books.
Phil Morton
August 28, 2024 at 8:20 pm
Ron DeSantis’ second term has been a disaster for Florida and will be the end of many Republican political careers. Well done Ron!
Kristy
August 28, 2024 at 11:10 pm
In general things like a six week ban a being challenged and losing for many reasons. First is the obvious fact that’s weeks before women usually even know therefore ultimately it’s a ban. I just want to highlight a huge misconception and nefariousness of those defending exceptions.
It’s very clear despite the fact a majority of the population does feel that cases of rape should receive exceptions, I just want people to keep in mind what that entails and how it’s intentionally not factored into legislation. It’s an empty non-starter because if you are sexually assaulted and find out you’re pregnant that means you would then have to go through the legal system and prove by the legal standard, you were raped. by the time that’s all said and done you’re already giving birth and that’s even if you’re able to prove that such a thing happened to the degree a court requires. We already know there’s a big issue when it comes to under reported rape and assault for a reason . We often may know the accuser annd either fear what comes with a court case and the circumstances may have been such depending on trauma, circumstances etc, that we don’t even realize what happened can be considered rape until a shockingly lengthy time goes by. There is a stigma of shame, long attached to this for many people which makes them not want to come out with it. Facing trauma under such circumstances for many is cruel and inhumane and psychologically puts women at risk when they aren’t ready bc of an arbitrary deadline to avoid an even more traumatic outcome that isn’t even garaunteed! Some truly are manipulated to feel it’s their fault, culturally that is a common sentiment to grow up feeling . And like I said the justice system is the justice system. It’s not set up for approving medical emergencies. The government does not set up for minute by minute doctor patient care. A lot of red tape. A lot of bureaucracy. It’s set up to not avoid rash decisions and have time to gather all facts and that is a good thing For everyone. Under proper legal matters. Which is why it’s so incompatible with so many scenarios that require police diligence prior to even a case, like if you don’t know who did it how do you prove it? Many people think that when you go to hospital and have a rape kid done that it’s clear cut yes or no. Far from it. Varies on the event, the individual etc… if you were drugged and asleep, you would not have the same signs of assault as one that was more violent and physical or while conscious. So it’s important we all remember that any state that says well… “We will offer exceptions for rape and life of the mother. We aren’t monsters…”. One is simply a joke and they know it, the second is also full of complicated scenarios as many women have had trouble having to go to court and simply prove zero viability and for every day passing they may die even with their doctors testimony and last I checked, I don’t see judges having to go to doctors to approve their rulings It’s just all a big distraction with huge consequences. No one wants to have an abortion so I think this is a bad faith attempt to distract from the root problems and causes as to why so many women feel threatened by these legislative attempts to restrict this as even a realistic option and is causing such a backlash. Don’t fall for it. Coming together on solutions and respectful
Dialogue and understanding is what will create the community that supports each other, not attacks. I have hope.
nail
August 29, 2024 at 1:12 am
so the dog ate it and then vomited it out.because he gave it to the fascist. it was old and salty . but he did like when the dog bit it because he never anything but a Kleenex so close to it.
nail
August 29, 2024 at 1:25 am
Day 37 is a 93 yr old with no life . I mean no life, no friends and certainly no family…They dropped in in FL, went home packed the house and moved and never told n=him where they were going…IO top love balls kids that say FU to old ppl..especially MAGAtards..
They are dumber that the rocks they haven their head..trump said “I don love the poorly educated..” that was a week after he spent it in Florida. I hare the SOB but boy did he know what suckers to pick..He is cleaning them all ou…But they now have to sell their house for him because he had no more funds and his stock his getting closed out by the SEC.They wanted ta cuts they are going to get them, unless the sec says to bad your dumb enough to buy anything from this scumbag you deserve it.. Oh by the way, trump owns all the shorts…lol All the magatards are stuck with cheap wallpaper for their bathroom, then when they miss if they are not in Depends yet, it hits their new wallpaper.
Only magatards. can start off with “get the dems, and end up the only ones who get screwed….YEAH!
Day 38
August 29, 2024 at 7:07 am
Nail has obviously been hitting the bong with Frankel.
rick whitaker
August 29, 2024 at 12:08 pm
PEACHY, EVERYONE THINKS YOU ARE A FOOL.
RonBeGone
August 29, 2024 at 10:45 am
Maybe there is hope for Florida if this trashwit, who make Bobert and empty-G look like rocket scientists, gets kicked to the curb. She is a national embarrassment and needs to be gone along with Scott and the rest of the do nothing crew.
Wake up Florida and vote for actual adults who want to do the work and aren’t in it to line their pockets.
tom palmer
August 29, 2024 at 4:36 pm
I guess the bathing suit photo did not work.
My Take
August 31, 2024 at 4:30 pm
Her space monsters may help rescue her.
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