Jacob Ogles
A new poll shows U.S. Rep. Anna Paulina Luna leading Democratic challenger Whitney Fox, but still shy of majority support.
The poll, conducted by WPA Intelligence for the Club For Growth PAC, found 48% of voters ready to re-elect the St. Petersburg Republican. Meanwhile, 43% plan to support Fox.
The poll found 10% of voters in the district remain on the fence.
Pollsters surveyed 400 likely voters in Florida’s 13th Congressional District Aug. 28 and 29. The polling memo, obtained by Florida Politics, did not include survey language, meaning it’s not clear whether voters were given information about candidates or provided a simple question about their voting plans. Club For Growth is a national conservative group that advocates for free market principles.
With Luna under 50%, the incumbent still needs to win over a portion of voters to ensure re-election, but has a shorter way to go to a majority than her Democratic opponent, according to the poll.
Pollsters report a 4.9% margin of error.
A poll conducted last week for Florida Politics by St. Pete Polls had different findings, with Fox posting 48% support compared to just 44% for Luna.
Club For Growth endorsed Luna when she first won her congressional seat in 2022 over Democrat Eric Lynn, and continues to maintain a fundraising portal for the Republican incumbent as she seeks a second term.
The conservative group’s support could be important as Republicans seek to maintain their House majority — Luna represents one of Florida’s few battleground districts.
She notably won her seat with a larger margin than reflected in the latest poll, carrying more than 53% to Lynn’s less than 45% two years ago. The same election, more than 58% of voters in the district supported Gov. Ron DeSantis’ re-election and more than 56% backed GOP U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio for a third term.
Luna’s victory flipped CD 13 from Democrat to Republican control, following a significant reddening of the Pinellas County seat under a new congressional map pushed through by DeSantis.
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has listed Luna among its targets this election cycle as the party hopes to regain control of the U.S. House.
Republicans hold a voter registration edge in the district, with more than 205,000 voters to less than 151,000 Democrats, as of book closing following the August Primary Election. The district is also home to nearly 136,000 voters with no party affiliation.
9 comments
Foghorn Leghorn
September 3, 2024 at 11:21 am
Of course my local paper won’t post this poll. They only post polling data that supports their agenda (Democrats)
Tom
September 3, 2024 at 12:08 pm
My god you lot are whiners.
Foghorn Leghorn
September 4, 2024 at 6:54 am
Oh and you will tell me that Dana Bash is an unbiased news journalist.🤣
Tom
September 4, 2024 at 7:30 am
No idea who that is. I don’t watch cable tv or use social media. I doubt there is such a thing an an unbiased journalist. Somebody pays their wages.
Michael
September 3, 2024 at 11:54 am
40% of survey comprised of calls to landline phones……that’s a sure way to double-skew results to old voters considering this fact…
A quarter of adults in the United States have a landline, while over 70% use only wireless phones. The age group most likely to have a landline is 65 and older, while nearly nine in 10 adults ages 25 to 34 have only a cellphone.
So, the survey over samples the landline population to begin with and then intentionally under samples young voters…..and then they still can’t really get results outside the margin of error.
I hope they know enough to use this poll only to gratify low information voters, but not actually use it for campaign strategy.
tom palmer
September 3, 2024 at 3:53 pm
A Club for Growth poll supports a Republican. Who’d a thot it?.
william florde
September 3, 2024 at 8:49 pm
Interesting how the percentage of rebublicans in the poll was almost 60/40 to democrats but the end result was only 5% republican. Seems like in a REAL poll more accurate to the actual voting make up would present Fox with a 6% lead
Dont Say FLA
September 6, 2024 at 9:19 am
Both the Club for Growth and the Hair Club For Men deem this pretty, Jewish valley girl from Southern California (SoCal) to be approved for self identifying as a conservative of Mexican heritage, LOLOLOLOL
MAGA loves Mexicans. See? Looky here at this pretty Jewish girl. She’s living proof!
Sundance
September 6, 2024 at 7:10 pm
Vote Pablo for president he could pardon himself and lead america
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