2-to-1 edge continues for GOP in early in-person voting

Voters lining up outside a modern polling station, early morning light, wideangle view
Democrats are in a 400,000 vote deficit as of Saturday morning. Will the weekend reverse the trend?

Democrats will want to make up for an ever growing Republican advantage in early voting if they have any hope of making sure the debacle of 2022 doesn’t repeat during this year’s presidential cycle.

As of Saturday morning, Republicans have a more than half a million ballot advantage in turnout at early voting locations: 1,034,177 to 514,652 for the Democrats.

With nearly 378,000 NPA and third party registrants having also voted in person already, the stats raise questions about the GOTV operation’s success this week, and raise the stakes of Souls to the Polls events this weekend and next.

Democrats do lead in mail ballots received: 824,028 to 704,311.

All told, the GOP has an approximately 400,000 vote advantage, however.

Republicans are confident.

Strategist Ryan Tyson says the turnout models suggest Donald Trump and Rick Scott could win their races for the presidency and the Senate respectively by more than 10 points.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. He writes for the New York Post and National Review also, with previous work in the American Conservative and Washington Times and a 15+ year run as a columnist in Folio Weekly. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


15 comments

  • I Am Speaking.

    October 26, 2024 at 10:04 am

    Uh oh.

    Reply

    • forsaken

      October 26, 2024 at 10:58 am

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  • Iowa Took His Money and Sent Him Packing

    October 26, 2024 at 10:08 am

    Translation: We want the scumbag to be president again and we want more medicare fraud, please.

    Reply

    • I Am Speaking.

      October 26, 2024 at 10:21 am

      Scumbag or dumb azz. Take your pick. Bottom line the Kammy administration has not been good for a majority of people in this country.

      Reply

      • Cheesy Floridian

        October 27, 2024 at 2:42 pm

        Biden is the president not Kamala

        Reply

  • Sunset Rick Scott

    October 26, 2024 at 10:13 am

    Trump as President and Scott as Majority Leader! They should have us teed up for the Second Great Depression in no time.

    Reply

    • I Am Speaking.

      October 26, 2024 at 10:22 am

      Most people were better off when Trump was President. Just look at the price of commodities.

      Reply

      • Michael K

        October 26, 2024 at 1:07 pm

        Herman Cain and the 999,999 other people who died of COVID might disagree.

        Reply

        • I Am Speaking.

          October 26, 2024 at 1:14 pm

          Really? Trump’s fault? Anyone seen that Democrat activist Fauci or the phony Florida scientist, Rebekah Jones around?

          Reply

          • MH/Duuuval

            October 26, 2024 at 4:34 pm

            Fauci retired after a long and mostly positive career in public health. Ladapo, on the other hand, is done once Dee leaves office.

  • MH/Duuuval

    October 26, 2024 at 10:56 am

    Trump inherited a thriving economy rebuilt by Obama after the Crash of 2008-9. Covid knocked down the Trump economy though MAGAs want to forget that episode because Trump embraced junk science every opportunity he got — except when he was hospitalized with Covid.

    The war in Ukraine and the backlog of Covid-related container shipments on the West Coast impeded the economy after Covid brought under control (1,219, 487 deaths later).

    The resultant inflation has been gradually reduced. Price of gasoline is one example.

    All the “pain and suffering” alleged by the MAGAs seems to have made Americans want to hit the road and travel every chance they get — hurricanes and fires notwithstanding.

    Reply

    • I Am Speaking.

      October 26, 2024 at 12:48 pm

      Spin baby spin. Fuel prices went up right away after Joe and Kammy took over. Remember when he declared war on the petroleum industry? Of course you don’t. You ignore the fact. How about the Southern Border? Remember the Executive Orders signed by Joe on day one? Of course you don’t. Amnesia sets in again. Then Joe assigned Kammy to investigate the Southern Border and come up with solutions. You ignore that as well. Kammy ran from it. Then there is Ukraine. We also have Israel fighting a multi pronged war against Iran and its proxies. Didn’t have those problems under Trump. You see know one respects Joe and Kammy is just plain dumb. The choice is clear, either vote for the idiot or vote for the azz. I’ll take the azz, his economy, his foreign policy, his immigration policy.

      Reply

      • MH/Duuuval

        October 26, 2024 at 4:37 pm

        “Then there is Ukraine.”

        The Putinescas want to blame everyone except the dictator who invaded a smaller, sovereign country and has been blasting away at them for almost a decade.

        That is fascism at work.

        As for the border: MAGAs got their deal on their terms, but threw it away on the command of their Dear Leader.

        This, too, is fascism at work.

        Reply

  • Cheesy Floridian

    October 27, 2024 at 2:43 pm

    Get out and vote! If democrats get out and vote that 22 point victory won’t become the norm. It will be an outlier if everyone stays home GOP will continue to impose their will over all of Florida. We want freedom not DeSantis

    Reply

  • LT

    October 27, 2024 at 11:13 pm

    You’re assuming that Republicans voted for Trump. I am not so sure about that.

    Reply

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