Gabrielle Russon
Nearly 11% of likely voters are still undecided on the Amendment 4 abortion rights initiative in next week’s election, setting the stage for a tight race, according to a new survey.
To pass, Amendment 4 needs a supermajority of at least 60% of support.
The latest numbers show 58% in favor with 32% opposed and nearly 11% undecided, according to the poll by Florida Atlantic University Political Communication and Public Opinion Research Lab (PolCom Lab) and Mainstreet Research USA.
The proposed constitutional amendment would limit government interference on abortion before viability — which is considered about 24 weeks — or to save the mother’s life.
The ballot question also says, “This amendment does not change the Legislature’s constitutional authority to require notification to a parent or guardian before a minor has an abortion.”
In the survey, about 54% of men say they support Amendment 4, as do about 61% of women.
The poll found about 56% of respondents 50 years old and older favor Amendment 4, as do 60% of people ages 18 to 49.
Those who supported Joe Biden in the 2020 election are more likely to favor Amendment 4 (90%) than those who previously voted for Donald Trump (29%), according to the poll.
However, Floridians Protecting Freedom (FPF), the political committee backing Amendment 4, has said it needs to win votes from both Republicans and Democrats to cross the supermajority threshold.
Researchers said the survey had an estimated margin of error of +/- 3.2 percentage points. Pollsters reached 913 registered voters in the state in English and Spanish from Oct. 19-27.
Both sides on the abortion rights issue are campaigning fiercely to convince voters in the final days.
Gov. Ron DeSantis is traveling across the state Tuesday with physicians opposing Amendment 4 while FPF celebrates a court victory allowing them to keep playing Amendment 4 commercials through Election Day.
11 comments
Let Me Be Clear
October 29, 2024 at 3:53 pm
The unknown cost alone should kill this thing. Its a poorly worded amendment that didn’t cost into account.
MarvinM
October 29, 2024 at 4:36 pm
There is a known cost if the amendment doesn’t pass, with Florida’s 6 week abortion ban. Tens of thousands more pregnant women eligible for medicaid.
If they keep the little one, more food stamps, If they don’t, more funds needed for foster care.
I’m for keeping the government out of the decision.
YES on 4
NO on Sasso
NO on Francis
Hung Wiil
October 31, 2024 at 1:53 pm
You’ll lose on all three Marvin. See you in five days for a big see I told you so.
George
October 29, 2024 at 8:13 pm
Says the DeSantis mouthpiece…
Screw the Majority, I'm Governor and Will Do What I Want
October 30, 2024 at 8:45 am
His hero, the “wildy popular,” Florida’s Napoleon, got his higher political ambitions snuffed at Waterloo, Iowa. And now, the loquacious J D Vance, an actual Marine, not a legal desk jockey, has sealed his fate. Trump, the God of Maga will never forgive him for his challenge, or Marco for pointing out his tiny hands.
Desantis has to win or face the fact his late night shenanigans signing the 15 week ban led Floridians, like red Ohio, to reject the injection of religion into politics and created a boomerang that can only be changed by a federal abortion ban.
Cheesy Floridian
October 30, 2024 at 4:39 pm
He actually signed the 6 week ban late at night. The 15 week one was already in place
Hung Wiil
October 31, 2024 at 1:55 pm
Desantis has a 57% approval rating tool. No one gives a shat about you. I’ll stick with heavy D.
YEW OWEME
November 3, 2024 at 10:20 pm
HUNG WIIL, if tiny d is your hero, then you must be a real winner.
Michael K
October 30, 2024 at 8:45 am
A friend sent me this:
You can never ban abortions.
You can only ban safe abortions.
She reminds me that this only became a hot button political issue in the 1970s, after de-segregation, to consolidate political power and control, when in 1976, the Republican party put it in their platform.
Cheesy Floridian
October 30, 2024 at 4:21 pm
Vote yes on 4! For freedom, for choice, for keeping safe abortions legal and making sure women and young girls don’t have laws stopping them from getting health care.
Cassandra was right
October 31, 2024 at 12:07 pm
Over 80% oppose government involvement in abortion. Get government out of personal decisions!
YES on 4!
Comments are closed.