Jacob Ogles, Author at Florida Politics - Page 6 of 22

Jacob Ogles

Jacob Ogles has covered politics in Florida since 2000 for regional outlets including SRQ Magazine in Sarasota, The News-Press in Fort Myers and The Daily Commercial in Leesburg. His work has appeared nationally in The Advocate, Wired and other publications. Events like SRQ’s Where The Votes Are workshops made Ogles one of Southwest Florida’s most respected political analysts, and outlets like WWSB ABC 7 and WSRQ Sarasota have featured his insights. He can be reached at jacobogles@hotmail.com.

A deep dive into Ron DeSantis’ new economic plan

Republican gubernatorial candidate Ron DeSantis on Friday unveiled a detailed economic plan that promises a veto for all tax increases and demands the federal government deliver more research dollars.

The candidate said his plan will keep Florida a tax haven and magnet for innovation.

“With nearly 1,000 people moving to Florida every day, Florida is undoubtedly one of the most desirable destinations to live, work and raise a family,” DeSantis said.

“A part of this appeal is the business environment we’ve created that allows entrepreneurs and innovators to come to Florida to build their business without burdensome regulations and heavy taxes and fees.”

But one item conspicuously absent? Any mention of corporate tax incentives to lure businesses to relocate or expand in the Sunshine State.

Florida Politics takes a deep dive into the plan.

Tax Killer

DeSantis promises as governor to veto any legislation that “raises taxes on Floridians.”

“Tax increases stifle job growth and hinder Floridians’ opportunities to succeed,” reads the candidate’s economic proposal.

The Republican also wants to eliminate a number of specific taxes already on the books.

That includes phasing out the business rent tax, which lawmakers reduced by almost 6 percent at the start of 2018.

DeSantis called for unspecified reductions in the Florida Communications Services Tax, now 4.92 percent, and the Florida Corporate Income Tax.

He will also push a review of all taxes and levies and promote a tax cut package targeted at making Florida more competitive while lowering prices for consumers.

DeSantis also took the opportunity to endorse Amendment 5, on the ballot in November, which if passed by 60 percent of voters will institute a super-majority requirement for the Legislature to pass any new taxes and fees.

A recent poll by the Florida Chamber of Commerce, though, shows that measure coming up short of the required 60 percent threshold to become part of Florida’s Constitution.

Economic Development

DeSantis committed to economic diversification beyond tourism, construction and agriculture. He promised efforts to lure companies to Florida working in specific fields including financial services, biomedical research and aerospace industries.

The former Space Coast congressman made note multiple times of the prospect for growth within the space industry and said the Department of Economic Opportunity and Department of Transportation will work closely with Space Florida, a state-created commercial hub that now boasts a launch and landing facility in Cape Canaveral.

DeSantis said his economic team will work to streamline permitting and assist with site selection and skills training for companies looking to move to the Sunshine State.

The candidate signaled support of state efforts to grow tourism, noting Florida welcomed a record 116.5 million visitors in 2017. The plan praised tourism officials for the $112-billion economic impact in 2016, and he promised as governor to ensure further growth.

But the word “incentives” appears nowhere in DeSantis’ economic plan.

A favored economic development tool under Gov. Rick Scott, the use of dollars facilitated by Enterprise Florida to lure companies or encourage expansion created the greatest friction between Florida’s outgoing governor and Florida Legislature in 2017, resulting in massive changes to how Florida uses corporate tax incentives.

For now, DeSantis seems uninterested in rekindling the same debate.

Deregulation Fixation

Florida ranks third in the nation for small business growth, but DeSantis said regulations still challenge new companies. He devoted much of his economic package to removing obstacles to job growth and encouraging startups.

The candidate will focus on reducing financial barriers to short-term, low-interest loans and seed capital for upstart and expanding businesses.

He also plans to support CareerSource Florida and other workforce programs to ensure workers have proper training,

“The primary need for Florida’s small businesses is finding qualified employees to fill these jobs,” reads DeSantis’ plan.

While committing to leave regulations that protect Floridians, DeSantis said he would call for a review of all duplicative and burdensome rules.

The Florida Chamber of Commerce, which last month endorsed DeSantis, released a survey of its members in April showing Workforce Quality as the top priority for 21 percent of small business owners, while 13 percent listed government regulations as chief concern and 7 percent ranked as access to capital as their greatest problem.

DeSantis issued a promise to reduce lawsuit abuse, another long-time chamber priority.

The prospective governor said he will eliminate obstacles for entrepreneurs looking to start new businesses or to obtain professional licenses.

“Rules and regulations are meant to protect Floridians not provide unreasonable hurdles to a great job or start a business,” the plan reads.

The plans doesn’t completely disavow regulation, but says DeSantis as governor would limit rules to those that “protect the health, safety and welfare of Floridians.”

That does include environmental protection, the plan stressed.

DeSantis, a self-described “Teddy Roosevelt Republican,” said there could even be job growth spurred by environmental protection.

“Florida’s environment is the backbone of our economy,” the plan says. “Our environment and our economic success are intertwined.”

Enriching Higher Education

DeSantis celebrated Florida’s university system in his economic plan and promised continued investment, stating the schools serve as “an economic engine for our economy.”

The plan does not explain how increased spending will be paid for amid heavy cuts in taxes and fees, except for DeSantis’ intention to demand greater investment in Florida higher education by the federal government.

The Republican said his tight relationship with President Donald Trump, who gets widely credited with DeSantis’ Republican primary victory over long-time frontrunner Adam Putnam, will lead to Florida winning a greater share of research grants.

“Florida is still a donor state and more of those federal tax dollars must come here to fund world-class research,” the financial plan states.

That will create high-paying jobs and set Florida apart as a leader in curing disease, evolving agricultural technology and inspiring breakthroughs in engineering.

He also said Florida’s state colleges can solve workforce problems. DeSantis said his administration would encourage schools to identify skills gaps and future needs and to be “ground zero for training our workforce of tomorrow.”

Allen Ellison to host first candidate reception in CD 17

Allen Ellison, the Democratic replacement candidate in Florida’s 17th Congressional District, will host his first public event Sunday in Bowling Green.

The newly minted candidate said he’s ready for the reception and a chance to interact with the public.

“I understand that as a representative, I will have to be open-minded and eager to listen to the hearts and minds of our people and be ready to take up their issues and concerns to the floor of Congress,” Ellison told Florida Politics. “I am ready to be their voice.”

Ellison is running against Republican Greg Steube, a Sarasota state Senator, in the heavily conservative district. Steube boasts $132,000 in cash on hand as Ellison starts essentially from scratch.

This week, Democratic leaders from the district chose Ellison as the replacement nominee after the death of April Freeman, who won the Democratic nomination in August.

“It is unfortunate that it played out this way. April was a fighter and a very fierce competitor,” Ellison said. “She fought tirelessly for what she stood for. I also believe strongly in fighting for the issues of our district and they vary by county.”

The new nominee will need financial resources to compete in the expansive district. Freeman made a personal loan to her campaign to finance her bid and that money has been returned to Freeman’s family. It cannot be used to fund Ellison’s campaign.

Ellison’s first reception will be held from 7 to 10 p.m. at the Streamsong Resort in Bowling Green.

Steube’s campaign has remained silent since Freeman’s death. On the day Freeman’s family announced the news, Steube released a statement saying he would temporarily suspend campaigning.

“My thoughts and prayers are with April Freeman’s family in the wake of her tragic passing,” Steube said. “I respect her service to our community and admire her commitment to the causes she cared about. Out of respect to her memory, next week’s campaign events will be canceled.”

Steube won the Republican primary in August over Charlotte County veteran Bill Akins and state Rep. Julio Gonzalez.

The seat opened this year after the surprise retirement of U.S. Rep. Tom Rooney, an Okeechobee Republican. Rooney in 2016 won this district with 62 percent of the vote over Freeman’s 34 percent.

Kathy Lewis irked at Les Miller for promoting Tom Lee’s campaign

Democratic state Senate candidate Kathy Lewis says it stunned her to see Hillsborough County Commissioner Les Miller on a host committee for her opponent, incumbent Tom Lee.

“It’s one thing to not be for me,” Lewis said, “but he’s actively working against another person in his own party.”

For his part, Miller says his relationship with Lee goes back years to before either served in the Legislature. Meanwhile, Lewis remains a stranger to him.

“The first time I heard her name was a couple weeks ago when I put down my name to say I would support Tom Lee,” Miller said. “Someone asked why I would do that when there is an African-American woman running? I said, there is?”

Miller said Lewis should have spoken to him months ago, before she filed to run, if she expected an endorsement. He likely still would have supported Lee, he said, but he would have learned what she stood for.

“I would have talked to her and found out what she was doing,” he said. “I would try to get her to understand you pick the particular races you want to run in. “

But Lewis said she did call Miller’s office some time in March, while she still sought out endorsements during the Democratic primary. She beat Joy Gibson in August. Lewis only got through to Miller’s assistant, she said, and never got a call back.

Miller, a county commissioner since 2010, said his loyalty to Lee cemented when both were lawmakers. He was in the Senate 2000-06 after being in the House 1992-2000. He actually rose to Democratic Leader in both the House and Senate.

Lee, now a Thonotosassa Republican, was first in the Senate 1996-2006, finishing as President in 2004-06. He returned to the chamber in 2012.

During Miller’s time in the Senate, he said Lee was instrumental in helping negotiate the funding process and getting local projects funded. The men’s relationship continued as Miller rose to Senate Democratic Leader and Lee to Senate President.

But placing that loyalty over the chance to turn a race competitive in a ‘blue wave’-year sounds misguided to Lewis. “It makes me see how the Democratic Party has so many problems,” she said.

The group 90 for 90, which helps minority candidates win office and supports Lewis, said Miller should back Lewis, or at least stay out of the race.

“Maybe its local power politics, but at some point you are with the party or you’re not,” said Ferguson Reid Jr., who runs the national group.

And Reid remains equally distressed that The Democratic Black Caucus of Florida won’t back Lewis, the only black candidate challenging a Senate incumbent Republican this year. He wonders if Miller played some part in that.

Miller, though, thinks the problem remains that Lewis never introduced herself to the powers that be.

“To say the Black Democratic Caucus isn’t supporting her because I support Tom Lee, that’s not true,” he said. “They don’t know who she is.”

Democrats choose Allen Ellison to replace April Freeman in CD 17 race

Allen L. Ellison, a policy expert from Sebring, will replace the recently deceased April Freeman as the Democratic nominee in Florida’s 17th Congressional District.

The duty fell on Ellison following a conference call with Democratic leaders throughout the nine counties in the district. Ellison stood out among six applicants to seek the nomination following the unexpected death of Freeman on Sept. 23.

Ellison now plans to travel to Tallahassee and finish any necessary paperwork with the Florida Division of Elections and to pay the $10,400 qualification fee.

“I’m pleased we have a candidate that is ready to step up and do the necessary work,” said JoAnne DeVries, Sarasota Democratic Party chairwoman.

Ellison previously considered running in the district in the past but never qualified as a candidate. “I have actually lived in the district for over 30 years,” he wrote in an email to party leaders.

DeVries said Ellison’s longtime connection to the district impressed party leaders.

It’s been a more complicated process seeking a replacement nominee than it was for Freeman to win her primary in many ways.

The party faced a deadline of noon on Tuesday, but then hopefuls Pam Keith and Roy David Walker, who lost different party primary fights in August, filed a lawsuit challenging a prohibition on candidates running for different offices in the same year. A judge ruled against the candidates today, leaving party leaders to choose among four remaining applicants.

Ultimately, 46 percent of DEC members voting chose Ellison, who won 58 votes. Christopher Cause of Davenport took 32 votes, or 35 percent. Former Congressional candidate Greg Pilkington of Indian Lakes Estates received 20 votes, or 16 percent. Former state House candidate Eileen Game of Avon Park took four votes, or three percent.

Patrick Hurley, chairman of the Charlotte County Democratic Party, saw potential particularly in Keith, a former U.S. Senate candidate with name recognition and someone with the drive to fight in court for the right to run.

But he said Ellison also showed ambition himself. He began campaigning with Democratic executive committee members in the district a week ago.

“He was aggressive in the outreach early in the process,” Hurley says. That included sending a pdf outlining his positions on women’s rights, immigration and other platform issues.

Ellison, born in Avon Park and a Hardee High School graduate, serves as president and CEO for the Lauderdale Lakes-based Center for Economic and Policy Development.

He’s also the editor of the online curated news journal The State of The Union Daily, which compiled mostly political stories.

He will face Republican state Sen. Greg Steube, who remains the heavy favorite in this Republican district. The seat opened up when incumbent Rep. Tom Rooney, an Okeechobee Republican, announced his retirement earlier this year.

Judge: Pam Keith, Roy David Walker can’t replace April Freeman

A federal judge denied Pam Keith and Roy David Walker the chance to run for Congress in Florida’s 17th Congressional district, where Democratic leaders must pick a replacement for the late April Freeman.

Now party leaders will hold an emergency meeting to choose who faces Republican candidate Greg Steube in the Nov. 6 general election.

Keith and Walker on Friday filed a complaint in federal court asking that a judge determine the candidates, who lost separate party primaries earlier this year, be eligible as federal nominees despite a state law preventing candidates who have already run in a calendar year from seeking a separate office.

On Monday, U.S. District Court Judge Elizabeth Kovachevich ruled against the plaintiffs, saying they failed to put forth a reasonable argument to delay normal election proceedings.

“Indeed, recognizing the time-sensitive nature of this matter and in anticipation of these arguments, the Court conducted extensive research, on an expedited basis, to ensure that it could properly address this matter,” the judge wrote.

“But, although the Court was prepared for Plaintiffs, Plaintiffs were not prepared for the Court.”

Keith this year sought the Democratic nomination in Florida’s 18th Congressional District in August and lost to Lauren Baer. Walker, formerly a candidate for Agriculture Commissioner, lost the Democratic nomination to Nikki Fried.

Keith said on social media she understood the judge’s ruling and wished the ultimate replacement nominee “nothing but the best.”

Keith and Walker were among six individuals who applied to be replacement nominees for April Freeman, who won the Democratic nomination for Congress in the 17th District but died unexpectedly on Sept. 23.

State law calls for the Florida Democratic Party to consult with county Democratic chairs in the nine counties that make up the 17th District on a replacement nominee. A name must be submitted to the Florida Division of Elections by noon tomorrow.

County chairs will hold a conference call with four eligible candidates, including:

— Eileen Game of Avon Park, who ran for state House in District 42 in 2012;

— Allen Ellison of Sebring, chairman of the Center for Economic & Policy Development;

— Greg Pilkington of Indian Lakes Estates, who previously ran in Florida’s 15th Congressional District but withdrew before the primary;

— and Christopher Cause of Davenport.

The call will begin at 9 p.m., and participants hope to make a decision this evening.

The ultimate nominee must pay a $10,400 candidate filing fee for the race.

Freeman’s name will still appear on the ballot, but once party leaders select a new candidate, election officials will inform district voters through a notice with their mail-in ballots or posted at polling places that votes for Freeman will count toward the replacement nominee.

UPDATE: Fired Andrew Gillum staffer ‘disappointed in myself,’ apologizes

The Andrew Gillum campaign fired youth outreach director Manny Orozco-Ballestas.

The former Gillum staff emailed Florida Politics with the following statement:

“I am embarrassed, angry, and disappointed in myself. This is painful and frustrating all at the same time. As a young person, you never imagine it will happen to you, until it does. I took social media for granted when I was younger and I am now facing the consequences.

“Having served as the only statewide youth director in the state of Florida for two extraordinary candidates, during this unprecedented election cycle, was the greatest joy of my young professional career.

“I’m so sorry to all those I let down, especially Mayor Gillum and my team. What I tweeted as an immature student many years ago is not a reflection of the man I am today. I will continue finding ways to fight for what is right for as long as I can, however I can — America is worth it and there is way too much at stake. “

Gillum staffers over the weekend announced Orozco-Ballestas no longer would work with the campaign.

The type of language this young man used on social media before his employment with our campaign is unacceptable and he will no longer be working with the campaign,” Joshua Karp said in a statement reported by the Tampa Bay Times.

The action came after days of outcry by Republicans over old social media posts, including one in which Orozco-Ballestas can be seen wearing a shirt referencing states that voted for President Donald Trump, including Florida, as “Dumbfuckistan.”

Republican Party of Florida chairman Blaise Ingoglia criticized the Democratic campaign for dragging its feet in response.

“Remember, just a couple of days ago Gillum and his campaign defended this guy,” Ingoglia said.

“Apparently, calling millions of Floridians a vile term wasn’t enough to fire him the first time. Is this how a Gillum administration would look? Hiring people with questionable backgrounds? Could you imagine how he would vet Florida Supreme Court Justices?”

The old posts originally got publicized by right-wing blogger Jacob Engels, who also accused Manny Orozco-Ballestas of posting and deleting “pedophiliac” tweets. Those tweets insulted women with leg hair.

Orozco-Ballestas reportedly wrote in a 2013 post that Trump “need(ed) to be executed.” He also wrote on Instagram of the future President: “If you’re weighing 300 pounds+ maybe it’s a good idea you stop posting all that fattening food pics.”

But it was the T-shirt post that generated the most attention, including spots on Fox News.

Initially, the Gillum campaign took umbrage that Republicans would accuse staffers of vulgarity. Gillum spokesperson Carlie Waibel told the Tampa Bay Times the campaign would not “be lectured about words by the Party of Trump.”

“The anti-Trump shirt he wore before he was hired wasn’t funny or in any way related to our campaign and we’ve addressed that with him,” Waibel told the newspaper.

Republicans, hurting after weeks of the Gillum campaign criticizing Republican gubernatorial candidate Ron DeSantis for associations with racists, suggested the Democrats be mindful of their own hires.

“It is hypocritical for Gillum to endorse the same kind of hateful, intolerant speech that he likes to denounce,” Ingoglia said.

Vote on drilling & vaping bans could be close, fresh poll says

Offshore drilling, fracking and vaping? All the practices draw out detractors, especially in Florida.

But a poll by the Florida Chamber of Commerce shows it may be a close call whether voters will ban all three with a single constitutional amendment.

The Chamber poll, obtained by Florida Politics, shows 50 percent of those surveyed ready to vote “Yes” on Amendment 9, with 34 percent planning to vote “No.”

That means of just those who have an opinion on the measure, just under 60 percent plan to support the amendment. But it takes at least 60 percent approval for the amendment to change Florida’s constitution.

The poll finds 14 percent of voters remain undecided. Should voters break in favor of the amendment, that should give the needed lift for the measure’s passage. But if they break “No” on 9, the amendment will likely fail.

The Chamber poll found a lower number of undecided voters regarding this constitutional amendment than it did for anything besides the popular Amendment 1, which increases Florida’s homestead exemption and boasts 60-27 support according to the poll.

If passed, Amendment 9 would prohibit oil or natural gas exploration and extraction in Florida state waters.

Notably, opposition to drilling since the Deepwater Horizon oil disaster largely shored up again in Florida, and it reaches across party lines.

Both Democratic gubernatorial candidate Andrew Gillum and Republican gubernatorial candidate Ron DeSantis, for example, voiced opposition to offshore drilling from the campaign trail this year.

But bundled in the same amendment, there would also be a ban on use of vap0r-generating electronics, including electronic cigarettes and pipes, in any enclosed indoor workplaces.

The ban bears similarity to a ban on smoking tobacco in the workplace, passed by 71 percent of voters in 2002.

The Florida Chamber Poll was conducted Sept. 19-24 and includes responses from 622 voters, of whom 41.5 percent were registered Democrats and 40.5 percent were registered Republican, with 18 percent not belonging to one of the major parties. The poll has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.

In new ad, Ashley Moody stresses prosecutor experience over Sean Shaw

A new television ad by Republican Attorney General candidate Ashley Moody stresses her experience as a prosecutor — and her Democrat opponent’s lack thereof.

“My opponent, Sean Shaw, never prosecuted a case,” Moody says in the ad. “His first one shouldn’t be as Attorney General.”

The video advertisement will broadcast in media markets around the state and represents the first TV ad of the general election cycle for Moody, according to the campaign.

The message focuses on the law enforcement duties for the attorney general’s office. Moody stresses her background fighting crime as a prosecutor and as a circuit court judge.

“Florida’s Attorney General handles thousands of cases. The job needs a prosecutor, not a politician,” she says in the ad.

“As a prosecutor, I took criminals down. As a judge, I locked them up.”

The ad also notes 90 percent of Florida sheriffs endorsed Moody in the statewide race. That includes a number of Democratic sheriffs who endorsed Moody over Shaw.

The messaging also shows the contrast between Moody and Shaw, a Tampa area state representative who has promised to be more of an activist Attorney General if elected.

Shaw has promised to fight for greater gun regulations and the repeal of the Stand Your Ground law, while using the office to demand the Florida Legislature properly fund public education and land conservation funds.

A survey conducted by St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics earlier this month shows Moody with a 46- to 44-percent lead over Shaw, with 9 percent undecided.

Meanwhile, a Florida Chamber of Commerce poll released this week shows Shaw up on Moody 35- to 33-percent, with 20 percent undecided.

Moody in August defeated fellow Republican Frank White in the GOP primary, while Shaw defeated Ryan Torrens on the Democratic side.

Through Sept. 21, Moody had raised $3.15 million in campaign contributions, while Shaw had raised $1.2 million.

A media tracking service shows there is as much as $5 million behind this buy: $4 million via “three-packing” and $1 million from Moody’s campaign.

A third of voters uncertain on Marsy’s Law, according to Chamber poll

A significant percentage of voters remain undecided on a ballot measure that could affect victim’s rights and judicial terms.

A Florida Chamber of Commerce poll obtained by Florida Politics shows 45 percent of voters plan to vote “Yes” on Amendment 6, and just 18 percent plan to vote “No,” while 36 percent of voters have yet to make up their mind.

While the survey shows substantially more voters in favor to the amendment than opposed, constitutional amendments in Florida require 60 percent of voters to support the measures in order to pass, so having more than a third of voters unsure how to vote puts the ballot question in a precarious situation.

The amendment, supported by Equal Rights for Crime Victims, often gets referred to as Marsy’s Law for Florida. That refers to a 2008 California voter proposition that established a crime victim’s bill of rights there.

The amendment enjoys bipartisan support, from Republican Gov. Rick Scott to Democratic lawmakers such as state Sen. Lauren Book.

But the amendment also has been criticized as one of several “bundled” amendments placed on the statewide ballot this year. That is, they combine mostly unrelated policy initiatives.

Amendment 6 would also change the age for mandatory retirement for judges and adjust how judicial terms get filled at the end of retirement, and it would require judges and hearing officers to independently interpret rules and statutes rather than referring those decisions to government agencies for interpretation.

So it covers a number of only tangentially related subject matters connected as part of Florida’s justice system. That ‘logrolling’ of measures drew criticism from groups like the League of Women Voters of Florida.

Meanwhile, a tilt in the scales of justice more toward the rights of victims than those accused of crimes drew opposition from the ACLU and the Florida Public Defender Association.

The Florida Chamber Poll was conducted Sept. 19-24 and includes responses from 622 voters, of whom 41.5 percent were registered Democrats and 40.5 percent were registered Republican, with 18 percent not belonging to one of the major parties. The poll has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.

Florida Chamber poll: Many undecided on restoring felon voting rights

Voters remain uncertain about a constitutional amendment that would restore felons’ voting rights, according to a new Florida Chamber of Commerce obtained by Florida Politics.

The poll shows 42 percent plan to vote “Yes” on Amendment 4, the Voter Restoration for Felons Initiative, while 20 percent will vote “No.”

Meanwhile, 36 percent of voters remain undecided.

While that means more than twice as many voters already decided to support the measure compared to those who oppose it, the level of support remains well short of the 60 percent required for the measure to pass.

The constitutional amendment remains a top priority this year for the ACLU, and in an odd case of strange political bedfellows, the effort also enjoys support from the Koch Brothers-backed Freedom Partners.

Florida’s constitution included provisions stripping convicted felons of the right to vote dating back to 1868, according to the Florida Association of Counties.

The state does have a process for ex-convicts to seek clemency, right now in the jurisdiction of Florida’s Cabinet, but the process has recently come under fire for being subjective and inconsistent.

The current voting rights restoration system requires felons to wait up to seven years after conviction to apply for a restoration of voting rights. Clemency decisions get handled on a case-by-case basis.

And this spring, a judge ordered the complete revamp of Florida’s clemency system.

In contrast, the Voter Restoration for Felons Initiative, if passed, will automatically restore voting rights once felons complete their sentences and restitution to the state. The amendment excludes those convicted of murder and felony sex offenses.

The Florida Chamber Poll was conducted Sept. 19-24 and includes responses from 622 voters, of whom 41.5 percent are registered Democrat, 40.5 percent are registered Republican and 18 percent do not belong to one of the major parties. The poll has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.

This poll stands in contrast to one released last week by the University of North Florida that found 71 percent of voters in support of Amendment 4, 21 percent opposed, and just 8 percent unsure how they will vote.

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