Mitch Perry
The final WMUR-CNN poll in New Hampshire shows that New York City businessman Donald Trump continues to hold a major lead and will be the likely victor Tuesday night.
The poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire, shows Trump up with 31 percent support. Marco Rubio is second with 17 percent, and Ted Cruz is third with 14 percent.
Next up is John Kasich with 10 percent, Jeb Bush is fifth at 7 percent, Carly Fiorina is at 5 percent, Chris Christie has 4 percent and Ben Carson has 3 percent.
The poll shows that only 46 percent of likely Republican voters have definitely decided who they will vote for, while 24 percent are leaning toward a candidate and 31 percent are still trying to decide.
UNH polling director Andrew Smith says likely voters were asked who they would support if the election were today. The percentages for the candidates include those who are leaning toward supporting each candidate, even though they may not have made a final, definite decision on who they will vote for Tuesday.
As a result, 31 percent of Republican primary voters have not made a final decision about who they will support on primary day, while 7 percent of Republican voters could not say who they would vote for if the election were held today.
The poll also showed that independent voters are split on which ballot they will take on primary day, with 46 percent saying they will vote Republican and 47 percent saying they will vote Democratic.
The University of New Hampshire Survey Center of 326 New Hampshire residents who said they plan to vote in the Republican primary. It was conducted Thursday through Monday, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 5.2 percentage points.
