Beyond the primary season sport of prognosticating on presidential races, Florida’s political cognoscenti have plenty to gossip about.
So Florida Politics asked more than 100 tapped-in Influencers about the long-term implications of current events.
Leaked audio of state Rep. Mike Hill, a Pensacola Republican, chuckling about stoning gays turned a town hall into a career-defining moment. We asked politicos how Florida House leaders should address the situation.
The bulk of responses suggest Hill must face a combination of censure and losing committee assignments, similar to U.S. Rep. Steve King. About 43 percent of both Republican and Democrat Influencers favor that approach, along with 25 percent of nonpartisans.
About 19 percent on respondents favor a simple censure, including 24 percent of Republicans, while 7 percent want Hill to lose all his committee assignments over the matter.
Then there’s 19 percent of Influencers who want Hill expelled from the chamber. That’s the thought for 39 percent of Democrats who answered the question. But it’s also the feeling of about 11 percent of Republicans and 25 percent of independents polled.
“He clearly didn’t learn from Frank Artiles’ mistakes,” wrote one Influencer. “A quick, vanilla apology would’ve gotten him out of risk. Now he will certainly face meaningful consequences, and should be expelled.”
A heavy majority of Influencers scored the Israel visit overall as a “big win” for DeSantis.
About 30 percent of respondents that it could even have national, presidential implications. That includes 36 percent of Republicans, 18 percent of Democrats and 13 percent of no-party people.
But 38 percent said it was just a win, albeit a big one, without such long-term ramifications. That’s the prevailing feeling of half our Democratic Influencers, along with a quarter of independents and 17 percent of GOP respondents.
Another 26 percent of Influencers said the verdict is still out on the Israel trip, and 6 percent saw no benefit at all because the public wasn’t paying any attention.
Then there’s that constant subject of political gossip — who’s winning Florida?
When asked which Democrat will win Florida’s March 27 Democratic presidential primary, a full 68 percent of Influencers said the same name: Joe Biden.
The former vice president serves as odds-on favorite for 68 percent of Democrats, but also 67 percent of Republicans and a whopping 75 percent of nonpartisans. Just 32 percent of Influencers listed someone else.
The Florida Influencer Poll is conducted monthly and solicits opinions on current events from the state’s top consultants, fundraisers, PR mavens, lobbyists and staffers.
Those who fancy themselves as “Influencers” and want to take part in future polls can send an email to Peter@FloridaPolitics.com.
The Influencers who took part in this survey are: Tom Alte, Danielle Alvarez, Phil Ammann, Jon Ausman, Roger Austin, Mario Bailey, Albert Balido, Wayne Bertsch, David Biddle, Taylor Biehl, Ron Bilbao, Katie Bohnett, Kevin Cate, Rachel Cone, Jordan Connors, Josh Cooper, Gus Corbella, Husein Cumber, Karen Cyphers, Jim Daughton, Claudia Davant, Richard DeNapoli, Victor DiMaio, Ryan Duffy, Pete Dunbar, Barry Edwards, Alia Faraj-Johnson, Mark Ferrulo, Marty Fiorentino, Matt Florell, Shawn Foster, Towson Fraser, Erin Gaetz, Julia Gill Woodward, Pamela Goodman, Joel Greenberg, Joe Gruters, Marion Hammer, Rich Heffley, David Johnson, Jeff Johnston, Todd Josko, Eric Jotkoff, Fred Karlinsky, Natalie Kato, Micah Ketchel, Lori Killinger, Jonathan Kilman, John Konkus, Jeff Kottkamp, Kartik Krishnaiyer, Kelsey Lehtomaa Frouge, Beth Lerner, John Lux, Jesse Manzano, Roly Marante, Frank Mayernick, Kathy Mears, James Miller, Ed Moore, Rhett O’Doski, Edie Ousley, Jenna Paladini, Alex Patton, Darryl Paulson, Anthony Pedicini, Kirk Pepper, Gretchen Picotte, Ron Pierce, Ben Pollara, Evan Power, Noah Pransky, Cissy Proctor, Bert Ralston, Foyt Ralston, Marc Reichelderfer, Sydney Ridley, Jim Rimes, Scott Ross, Evan Ross, Preston Rudie, Elnatan Rudolph, Meagan Salisbury, April Schiff, Pierce Schuessler, David Shepp, Patrick Slevin, Adam Smith, John Stemberger, Mac Stipanovich, Alan Suskey, Sarah Busk Suskey, Kevin Sweeny, Herbie Thiele, Cory Tilley, Heather Turnbull, Kyle Ulrich, Christian Ulvert, Steven Vancore, Sam Verghese, Ashley Walker, Nancy Watkins, Screven Watson, Christian Weiss, Doug Wheeler, Andrew Wiggins, Susie Wiles, Alan Williams and Skylar Zander.