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New polling gives Joe Biden the edge in Florida

CNBC poll shows Biden holding lead. Other polls diverge.

Polling released Wednesday by CNBC and Change Research says Joe Biden would be the choice of Florida voters, consistent with most of the polls they’ve run this summer.

Biden’s 49% to 46% Florida lead over the President, a three-point spread in the latest iteration of the “States of Play” survey series, is the same number as two weeks prior.

That late August spread represents a three-point drop from the 50% to 44% lead the former two-term Vice President had in the CNBC survey released on Aug. 12, and a return to the margin in July polling.

The new CNBC/Change Research poll of 1,177 likely Florida voters was conducted Sept. 4-6. It was the first post Republican National Convention poll from this organization; the previous poll in late August was after the Democratic National Convention but before  the RNC.

The poll paints a narrative familiar to its previous releases, with Biden ahead of President Donald Trump in all of the battleground states, and with a six-point lead nationally.

The survey shows Biden up by six in two Rust Belt battlegrounds, Michigan and Wisconsin. Pennsylvania and Arizona, meanwhile, show four-point leads for Biden. In North Carolina, meanwhile, Biden leads just by two points.

The CNBC/Change Research survey is consistent with other recent polling of Florida, mostly but not always showing a slight Biden advantage.

St. Pete Polls Florida survey released Wednesday shows Biden with 50% of the vote. That survey, taken Sept. 7 – 9, was conducted after the CNBC poll.

An NBC News/Marist University poll, likewise released this week, showed the race between Trump and Biden as a dead heat in the Sunshine State, with each taking 48% of the vote.

The Real Clear Politics average of Florida polls shows increasingly narrow margins in the wake of last month’s Democratic and Republican National Conventions, with Biden ahead by just 1.2% overall.

Written By

A.G. Gancarski has been a correspondent for FloridaPolitics.com since 2014. In 2018, he was a finalist for an Association of Alternative Newsweeklies "best political column." He can be reached at AG@FloridaPolitics.com

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