New polling gives Joe Biden the edge in Florida
Image via AP.

Joe Biden 2
CNBC poll shows Biden holding lead. Other polls diverge.

Polling released Wednesday by CNBC and Change Research says Joe Biden would be the choice of Florida voters, consistent with most of the polls they’ve run this summer.

Biden’s 49% to 46% Florida lead over the President, a three-point spread in the latest iteration of the “States of Play” survey series, is the same number as two weeks prior.

That late August spread represents a three-point drop from the 50% to 44% lead the former two-term Vice President had in the CNBC survey released on Aug. 12, and a return to the margin in July polling.

The new CNBC/Change Research poll of 1,177 likely Florida voters was conducted Sept. 4-6. It was the first post Republican National Convention poll from this organization; the previous poll in late August was after the Democratic National Convention but before  the RNC.

The poll paints a narrative familiar to its previous releases, with Biden ahead of President Donald Trump in all of the battleground states, and with a six-point lead nationally.

The survey shows Biden up by six in two Rust Belt battlegrounds, Michigan and Wisconsin. Pennsylvania and Arizona, meanwhile, show four-point leads for Biden. In North Carolina, meanwhile, Biden leads just by two points.

The CNBC/Change Research survey is consistent with other recent polling of Florida, mostly but not always showing a slight Biden advantage.

St. Pete Polls Florida survey released Wednesday shows Biden with 50% of the vote. That survey, taken Sept. 7 – 9, was conducted after the CNBC poll.

An NBC News/Marist University poll, likewise released this week, showed the race between Trump and Biden as a dead heat in the Sunshine State, with each taking 48% of the vote.

The Real Clear Politics average of Florida polls shows increasingly narrow margins in the wake of last month’s Democratic and Republican National Conventions, with Biden ahead by just 1.2% overall.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been a correspondent for FloridaPolitics.com since 2014. In 2018, he was a finalist for an Association of Alternative Newsweeklies "best political column." He can be reached at [email protected]


5 comments

  • TED KRUZE

    September 9, 2020 at 4:01 pm

    It’s only a matter of time before changing demographics turn Florida back into a Blue State. And, there’s every likelihood the Dems will take the four seats necessary to take over the Florida Senate in 2022 (especially if the Dems take the presidency and U.S. Senate this Nov. 3rd) – as well as the Florida governor’s mansion. In Florida, we’re suffering into the third decade of stifling Republican “special interests” governance – and, certainly, no thinking and informed person wants another four years of Dimwit Donnie, Barfy Barr, and Moscow Mitch in D.C. Given the Republican voter-suppression measures taken in Florida – if African-Americans, Puerto Ricans, and poor and minimum-wage people end up actually being able to vote in the upcoming election – Biden is certain to win!

    Dump Trump 2020!

    Vote Dem 2020!

  • AJE

    September 9, 2020 at 4:28 pm

    Dream on. The Cuban population has seen enough socialism to last a lifetime. Trump will win Florida convincingly.

    • James R Miles

      September 10, 2020 at 9:28 am

      Not really. There are many more citizens in Florida than most other states who are on Social Security which Trump wants to end by 2023. Want to lose your Social Security? No sane person who has paid into it is going to vote for the liar n’ cheat in 2020! DUMP TRUMP!!

  • PeterH

    September 10, 2020 at 11:25 am

    Floridians now know that Donald Trump has repeatedly lied an now we’ve learned that he’s lied about Covid-19.

    Trump needs to go.

    Trump managed to bring back the 1918 Pandemic, the 1929 Depression and the 1968 Race Riots ALL AT THE SAME TIME!

    Can we please all agree that this experiment of having a dumb TV host and corrupt real estate developer with six bankruptcies, five kids from three different marriages, eleven charges of sexual assault, and over 4000 lawsuits as president is not going well at all?

Comments are closed.


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