A.G. Gancarski
Yet another national poll suggests that if Donald Trump doesn’t run again in 2024, then Gov. Ron DeSantis would be the Republican frontrunner.
However, the survey also suggests that Donald Trump, Jr. may also be in serious consideration if his father doesn’t run, with Trump the Younger closing in on his lead.
The latest survey of 450 likely voters from McLaughlin and Associates shows DeSantis is the choice of 25%, but that Trump Jr. is at 20% surveyed.
Trump Jr. is a point closer to DeSantis than he was in an October poll from the same group. That poll showed DeSantis had 24% support and Trump Jr. 18%.
Trump Jr. has been within three points of DeSantis as recently as McLaughlin’s September survey, so at least in this polling universe, there is precedent for the younger Donald Trump running close to DeSantis.
Trump Jr. and DeSantis drew support in aggregate at the expense of other candidates, including former Vice President Mike Pence, down one point from the October poll to 13% here. Pence relinquished his lead in this group’s polling in June, with DeSantis dominant every month since.
U.S. Senator Ted Cruz of Texas drew 7%, the only candidate above 5%.
Florida’s U.S. Senators were afterthoughts yet again, meanwhile.
Marco Rubio, who has not shot down the idea of running again in 2024, was the choice of just 2% surveyed.
And Rick Scott, currently chairing the National Republican Senatorial Committee, was the choice of 0% of those polled.
He had reached 2% in the October polling from this group, which was his best number in the monthly surveys since they started in November 2020. Scott says he’s not running for President. People seem to believe him.
The overall results from the McLaughlin survey accord with a trend that sees DeSantis as the best bet at this point if the former President does not run again.
If the elder Donald Trump were to run, however, he would be the resounding choice of those polled. The former President got 55% in a survey where he was included, with DeSantis drawing just 15% backing. This also accords with a larger trend.
Expect more data to emerge on these questions in the months and years ahead.
DeSantis continues to say he’s not running for President, but he continues to cultivate a national profile and donor base in the way people do before launching a run, which means we will see many more polls tracking how he might do in a 2024 Republican Primary.
9 comments
Ron Ogden
November 21, 2021 at 9:22 am
The pollster assumes, without any reason for doing so, that a)Ron DeSantis is fibbing about his disinterest, b)that Donald J. Trump is not going to run and c)that Donald Jr. would be interested. Then you retype its press release. Holiday week, I guess. Why not poll on Ivanka against Kamala? But I think this leftish blog probably doesn’t want to report the way that one is likely to turn out.
Debroha
November 21, 2021 at 10:23 am
Notpoperl
Wanda
November 21, 2021 at 11:07 am
OMG that’s all we need is a nut job in the White House Don Jr is about as dumb as a rock but the rocks has a higher IQ and as far as DeathDesantis he’s like shit running down your leg we should call him dummy what a moron he is right up there with Trump the stupid dumb fool lying jack ass .
Mime
November 21, 2021 at 10:38 pm
Seriously you must jest. Don Jr is a smart cookie. And his principles like his father’s are popular and make sense to most all Republican voters. You have DTS+D
Evan
November 22, 2021 at 9:38 am
Don Jr doesn’t sell crack influenced art to wealthy donors buying influence.
Anthony Esposito
November 21, 2021 at 12:46 pm
Well Wanda I can only assume that you are part of the 28% who approve of the big guy ( uncle Joe ) and his criminal organization . You must be enjoying higher gas prices and higher food prices and just about everything else. I wish I had your money. Please believe the facts this administration is as crocket as it gets.
Patty
November 21, 2021 at 1:19 pm
I am afraid that many are so willing to hand the country to an unbalanced Kleptocrat, combined with installing election officials willing to overturn the voters’ desires, combined with most votes in the country not counting because of electoral college, we will go the way of kleptocratic dictatorship.
Harold Finch
November 22, 2021 at 8:24 am
Trump Jr., now that is really scary!!!
Evan
November 22, 2021 at 9:39 am
No more scary than Cackles.
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