Poll: Charlie Crist maintains dominating lead over Nikki Fried in Democratic Primary
Charlie Crist. Image via AP.

charlie-crist-2
His advantage over Nikki Fried looks more insurmountable among those who already voted.

Charlie Crist maintains a massive lead over Nikki Fried weeks ahead of the Democratic Primary for Governor, a new poll shows.

Almost 56% of likely Democratic Primary voters say they intend to support Crist in the race, compared to just over 24% backing Fried, according to the survey.

“I could not be more grateful for the support our campaign has received from all corners of the state in our fight to beat Ron DeSantis and bring the sunshine back to the Sunshine State,” Crist said in a statement after the poll was published. “Our grassroots movement is taking nothing for granted in mounting an unstoppable force that will deliver a Florida for all Floridians. Sprinting through the tape on Aug. 23 is only the beginning, let’s get to work!”

Less than 20% of voters remain on the fence, but if results hold true, Fried must not only win over those on the fence but also convince a number of Crist voters to change their minds before the Aug. 23 Primary vote.

The window to do that appears to be closing fast. Results further show Crist holds a greater level of support among those who already cast their mail-in ballots. More than 64% of respondents say they already cast the vote for Crist, while 25% say they have voted for Fried.

St. Pete Polls conducted the survey for Florida Politics. The firm has consistently found Crist in front. His position now shows growth since the polling outfit gauged the race in June and found Crist just shy of majority support among Primary voters.

Pollsters for the latest edition surveyed 1,361 voters between Aug. 2 and 3 and weighted findings based on demographics for the active Democratic voter population in Florida, according to a polling memo from St. Pete Polls President Matt Florell.

The poll has a 2.7 percentage point margin of error.

Looking at the crosstabs, Crist’s lead holds consistently regardless of age, race or gender. As Fried stresses the prospect of becoming Florida’s first female Governor in new ads, Crist maintains a lead among women voters with almost 56% of the vote to Fried’s 24%. Comparatively, Crist leads among male voters 57% to 24%.

Crist, a former Republican Governor turned Democratic Congressman, holds greater support with older voters. Almost 60% of those polled over the age of 70 favor Crist compared to 23% who prefer Fried. By comparison, voters under 30 favor Crist by a more modest 51% to 26% difference.

The winner of the Democratic nomination will challenge incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis in November.

Jacob Ogles

Jacob Ogles has covered politics in Florida since 2000 for regional outlets including SRQ Magazine in Sarasota, The News-Press in Fort Myers and The Daily Commercial in Leesburg. His work has appeared nationally in The Advocate, Wired and other publications. Events like SRQ’s Where The Votes Are workshops made Ogles one of Southwest Florida’s most respected political analysts, and outlets like WWSB ABC 7 and WSRQ Sarasota have featured his insights. He can be reached at [email protected]


21 comments

  • Elliott Offen

    August 4, 2022 at 9:13 am

    Go Charlie!!! We need a hero to save us from mini Hitler, the MAGA shit lords, the Christian fascists, the terrorist militias, the redneck rich, the Tea Party meth heads, the low wage slave plantation owners, and the election thieves.

    Reply

    • John Doe

      August 5, 2022 at 1:27 pm

      You triggered Groomer? Yer running around like a member of “The Lincoln Project” in a little boys’ dressing room.

      Reply

  • Impeach Biden

    August 4, 2022 at 10:01 am

    Send us your sacrificial Democrat in November. Neither “flip flop, monkey pox” Crist or “Mary Jane” Fried stand a chance against the best Governor in the country. Let the rout begin.

    Reply

  • Elliott Offen

    August 4, 2022 at 10:47 am

    Send FAT CAMMACK to sit on your face

    Send FRAUD SCOTT to grift you to a husk

    Send ORANGE HITLER to land you in jail

    Send MINI HITLER to institute low wage slavery all across the USA

    Send MARJORIE Q-ANON KAREN to indoctrinate you with far right lies

    Send BIMBO BOEBERT to teach your kids bomb making

    Reply

    • Impeach Biden

      August 4, 2022 at 11:06 am

      Send KAMALA to teach speaking skills.
      Send WATERS to teach rioting skills.
      Send PELOSI how to get your hair done in lockdown.
      Send BIDEN how to read a teleprompter.
      Send NADLER if you can’t remember who you impeached.
      Send JOHNSON if you think Guam might sink.

      Reply

      • Elliott Offen

        August 4, 2022 at 12:28 pm

        Send PIZZA GAETZ for child sex
        Send LYING TED for grifting
        Send HOE BROOKS to stir up terrorists
        Send MARCO BOOBIO for right wing propaganda

        Reply

        • Ron DeSantis sucks

          August 4, 2022 at 11:09 pm

          Ignoring politics, both of you are quite creative.

          Reply

          • Elliott Offen

            August 4, 2022 at 11:27 pm

            What I said was more true and more relevant. What he said was just the kind of propaganda used to make stupid people putty in the hands of the rich. These people are gonna get us all killed for Christ sakes!!!

    • RWoodworth

      August 5, 2022 at 9:37 am

      Send Stacy Abrams back to the Cleveland Browns Football team, where she was drafted to the position of Fullback. Georgia does not need a socialist communist Governor, who cheated in the last election with 62,163 illegal voters, but election officials found out and she lost by over 65,000. votes.

      Reply

  • We’ll see...

    August 4, 2022 at 12:29 pm

    Probably done by the same polling firm that predicted the Kansas abortion rights vote was too close to call…

    Reply

    • RWoodworth

      August 5, 2022 at 9:42 am

      Many voters in Kansas were confused by the description of the bill, and they want to revote and change to prevent an abortion of over 15 weeks to full birth, when they cut the back of the babies skull and remove the brain, while the baby is half way out of the vagina…… known as a killing by the Filthy Doctors of Planned Parenthood, they they sell the baby parts to other countries and labs…… Dr, Faucia sent money to Beijing to kill !

      Reply

  • David in Shoreline

    August 4, 2022 at 11:07 pm

    Bye bye Nikki. Don’t worry, Charlie will be joining you on the unemployment line in just a few months.

    Reply

    • Joe Corsin

      August 4, 2022 at 11:28 pm

      You gonna join Trump in hell🔥

      Reply

  • Winnie S Abbott

    August 5, 2022 at 12:11 am

    Life is an echo and a mirror. As a voter, I don’t want to know what you think of the other person. Tell me about YOU! Why should I vote for you? I hear Desantis tell me I have no rights over my reproductive organs. I haven’t heard him tell me he is going to ban guns so that a male cannot kill that child he wanted me to have. Abortion takes a life, A gun takes a life. The only difference I see is that one is a moral issue and the other is a legal issue. Since Mr. Desantis has a greater concern for our morals maybe he would be a better candidate for the seminary than the presidency.

    Reply

    • ScienceBLVR

      August 5, 2022 at 6:56 am

      i like the way you think, Winnie. I have yet to see what the Republican agenda is.. unfortunately, i can clearly see what DeSantis is up to, and again, nothing to improve the life of his constituents. Only the daily authoritarian dictatorial bleating about imaginary issues, like CRT, and gender indoctrination, and the anti business, anti woman mantra, Another time, perhaps another office, for Fried, but right now, we need Charlie to push that putz out of office and back to his 1950’s cave. The negative campaign never impresses me as a voter, and Nikki needs to understand that. Let’s back Crist and save our state.

      Reply

    • John Doe

      August 5, 2022 at 1:32 pm

      You “have no rights” over your “reproductive organs”? You imbecile. Currently you can murder your child for any reason until 15 weeks. That’s on par with most European countries. Yet that is not enough for you. Even Roe v. Wade allowed laws to stop bloodthirsty ghouls such as you when the baby reaches the third trimester. About the the only countries that allow abortion until delivery are North Korea and China.

      Reply

  • RWoodworth

    August 5, 2022 at 9:55 am

    Filthy, criminal, corrupt, Head of family Mafia, Joey Biden, voted the worst American President in History, and that all 51 million votes for Biden, only had, and have, a IQ of 20 points. How could he get 11 million more votes than Obama, while standing in his basement. I know how, the video’s, pictures, movie “2000 Mules”, Dominion Machine’s, only show a small amount of ways the filthy Democrats cheated. Obama said in 2008, that in a few days he will change American Freedoms and Ideals 1

    Reply

    • Joe Corsin

      August 5, 2022 at 10:06 am

      ^ Far right propagandist
      ^ False information peddler
      ^ Neo nazi manure spreader
      ^ Anti government terrorist propaganda pusher

      Reply

  • Jim Mosier

    August 5, 2022 at 1:28 pm

    There is almost no polling on the numbers for governor in florida on the general election. I truly feel like Desantis has pushed the middle to vote blue in this election and choosing a former republican governor in crist will be such a smart move. My only concern is if Desantis loses is he going to drag Florida down into a nit & gritty political circus of refusing to accept the results and potentially go even further than trump within the state to push fraud conspiracy theories & illegal political theatrics to try and stay in power. How far would he take it? I don’t think Desantis has as much overall general support in the state as he or many republicans give him credit for. He only won his governorship with 0.4% of the vote and has done nothing but shove hardcore right-wing ideals down Floridian throats. Literally cannibalized his platform to the extremist right, and has pushed all the middle to the left. I think he could lose quite substantially

    Reply

    • John Doe

      August 5, 2022 at 1:36 pm

      What, exactly, has he “shoved down your throat”? You can’t groom children until the third grade? You can’t be forced to wear a mask or get a vax that doesn’t work? You can’t be a state prosecutor and vow to not enforce duly enacted laws? That’s some tough stuff to swallow. No wonder you don’t like him, yer nuts.

      Reply

    • nail

      August 6, 2022 at 1:47 am

      Jim, no doubt about it, we do not need to conform to desantisland. It’s not going to last much longer. Yesterday, desantis buried himself. He suspended a state prosecutor for not following the law of desantisland. There are no guidelines to prosecute someone for abortion. Fl does not have a law, never mind, how to prosecute anyone for transition therapy. No cause, no cases, and best of all no laws. Only desantis’ daily political theater. You can always catch the reruns on Fox Entertainment which he co-hosts most nights.
      His comedy act had quite an impact on the polling today in Fl. Charlie has a 13 point lead over desantis. Ah, thank you Kansas. DeSantis wants women who get abortions prosecuted and imprisoned and is willing to remove elected officials to do it. The country knows this now.

      “With the midterm elections less than five months away, the decision by SCOTUS has sent shockwaves through the electorate,” says Lee M. Miringoff, Director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. “Men are +12 points and women are +18 points more likely to support congressional candidates who pledge to codify the protections of Roe v. Wade. Digging deeper, 63% of women, including 74% of suburban women, are also concerned that the Court’s decision is a harbinger of things to come.”

      Democrats lead Republicans 48 to 41 percent on the 2022 Midterms generic ballot question of the June NPR/PBS Newshour/Marist College poll, a ten point net swing from the April survey in which Republicans led 47 to 44 percent, and further widening the 47-42 Dem lead from May following Roe v Wade decision.

      A lawsuit is in the works along with others that decided to join Mr. Warren.
      All his culture war bills have been overturned by the courts.This is not the first elected Democratic official that he has removed. He suspended the Palm Beach County elections chief of a Dem county and replaced her with a Repugs. In his first 10 days in office he suspended a total of 3 Democratic office holders. None were charged with any crimes.
      He withheld money to school board members who followed CDC guidelines and instituted mask mandates. Biden threatened desantis, if he did not replace the funds to the SB, he would take the funds out of monies due FL for Covid. desantis did replace the funds.The district was disgusted to find, that in May, desantis cut their budget by 2M. Citing “the kids don’t need the money” Disusted because in the not quite 4 yrs he has been the dictator of Fl, he has cut the school budgets across the state 20%. On top of that, desantis pushed through a law that the schools must share a portion of their funds with Charter schools. Yep, public school funds go to private schools.
      His culture war bills have been overturned by the courts.
      All for the same reason, un-constitutionality. Everyone of them has violated the 1st Amendment. Other violations include other US Amendments and the FL constitution. All judges have chastised him. One pointing out “the FL voters are watching. He knows the law, desantis is a lawyer. How long does he think they are going to put up with the legal bills”
      He hires attorney friends for $745/hr when FL has over 1,000 lawyers on the payroll. Estimates are we spend 1-3M+ per lawsuit because of losses, paying the lawsuits and the settlements. Then as many courts as it takes to get to the FL Supreme desantis’ comfort zone. Have you ever heard of 3 SC judges resigning within months of each other in 2019, and not retiring. Only to find the day of announcement, desantis had another in their seat. Oh, there is so much more..
      He threatens to remove anyone who disagrees with his policies.

      Reply

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *


#FlaPol

Florida Politics is a statewide, new media platform covering campaigns, elections, government, policy, and lobbying in Florida. This platform and all of its content are owned by Extensive Enterprises Media.

Publisher: Peter Schorsch @PeterSchorschFL

Contributors & reporters: Phil Ammann, Renzo Downey, Roseanne Dunkelberger, A.G. Gancarski, Anne Geggis, Kelly Hayes, Joe Henderson, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, Scott Powers, Gray Rohrer, Aimee Sachs, Jesse Scheckner, Christine Sexton, Andrew Wilson, and Mike Wright.

Email: [email protected]
Twitter: @PeterSchorschFL
Phone: (727) 642-3162
Address: 204 37th Avenue North #182
St. Petersburg, Florida 33704




Sign up for Sunburn


Categories