Poll: Ron DeSantis statistically tied with Donald Trump in Utah

Utah Desantis
Is the Beehive State DeSantis Country?

Ron DeSantis has called Florida the “Utah of the Southeast,” and it appears Beehive State Republicans feel the buzz.

The just released Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics poll of the state’s 2024 race shows the Florida Governor just one point behind former President Donald Trump, the latest indication Utah may be a strength for the Governor next year.

Trump leads DeSantis 27% to 26%, with former U.S. Rep. Liz Cheney’s 7% good for third place. Former United Nations envoy Nikki Haley and former Vice President Mike Pence are tied for fourth, with 5%. All other names polled are below that threshold, with an additional 21% not yet committed to a specific candidate.

The poll, from Dan Jones and Associates, was taken May 22-June 1, encompassing the Governor’s formal campaign launch. The margin of error is +/- 4.78%.

This result continues a trend of statistical ties between Trump and DeSantis in Utah.

In a survey released in early May by the same pollster, Trump led DeSantis 21% to 19% among all voters intending to vote in the GOP Primary. Cheney had 11% support then.

In the previous Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics poll from March, 21% backed DeSantis, with Trump drawing 16% support. Cheney was a competitive third place in this hypothetical, commanding 12% support, with all other possibilities further back.

Other polls have split.

In a survey conducted by WPA Intelligence from April 18-20 among 504 Utah Republican Primary voters, DeSantis led Trump, 46% to 39%. The poll had a margin of error of +/- 4%.

In the March Utah Public Opinion Pulse survey from OH Predictive, Trump held a commanding lead at 41% to 23%.

DeSantis spoke at last month’s Utah Republican Convention where his remarks were well received.

DeSantis said he “was recently visiting with some folks in Iowa and people said, you know, ‘Iowa, they’re really the Florida of the Midwest with all the conservative stuff they’re doing.’ Well, let me just tell you maybe it’s a little secret, but it might just be that Florida is the Utah of the Southeast.”

The speech moved convention attendees. The Florida Governor won a straw poll from the event, 54% to 29% over Trump, according to a report from the Colorado Springs Gazette.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. His work also can be seen in the Washington Post, the New York Post, the Washington Times, and National Review, among other publications. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


8 comments

  • Dont Say FLA

    June 8, 2023 at 8:22 am

    The U.S. state that’s got the most white religious wackos likes Ron. Well good for them, and good for Ron. Bless their hearts. How special for them.

    Okay I am little bit surprised here. Trump has far more wives than Ron. You’d think that would go over well in Utah.

    • Isaac Bellasis

      June 8, 2023 at 12:38 pm

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  • All Gone Gancarski

    June 8, 2023 at 8:27 am

    AG you poser; since you were called out on publishing ‘polls’ with low (<800) surveyed which all know are inexpensive, riddled with errata and for internal use only.

    1,100? That’s better. 3,000? Great but costly.

    Rookie.

    • Dont Say FLA

      June 8, 2023 at 8:51 am

      You are suggesting organizations will conduct the lowest quality polls and then base their own operations on the erroneous results. That makes no sense at all. None.

      This place publishes so many poll results, you’re not going to like one or two. Get over it.

      It doesn’t matter whether Trump or DeSantis is ahead, except to us fans of gallows humor and train wrecks.

  • 504 is a 404in polling data

    June 8, 2023 at 8:30 am

    In a survey conducted by WPA Intelligence from April 18-20 among 504 Utah Republican Primary voters, DeSantis led Trump, 46% to 39%. The poll had a margin of error of +/- 4%.

    504?!?! Did they stumble into a wedding and ask around?

    A middle school pep-rally?

  • Harold Williams

    June 8, 2023 at 8:57 am

    You are suggesting organizations will conduct the lowest quality polls and then base their own operations on the erroneous results. That makes no sense at all. None.

    This place publishes so many poll results, you’re not going to like one or two. Get over it.

    It doesn’t matter whether Trump or DeSantis is ahead

  • Harold Williams

    June 8, 2023 at 9:01 am

    easyway450.blogspot.com/

  • Ed Dot Com 👍

    June 8, 2023 at 11:30 am

    Neither Orange Hitler or Mini Hitler will win in 2024. All this coverage just a waste of time!

Comments are closed.


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