A.G. Gancarski
Two new polls show that the Republican presidential race is Donald Trump’s to lose, with Gov. Ron DeSantis’ support in the low teens.
The new Harvard-Harris Poll shows the Florida Governor with his weakest showing yet in the 2024 GOP Primary race.
The former President boasts 59% support, with DeSantis a staggering 45 points back at 14%, losing 2% from the previous iteration of this poll.
Close behind DeSantis: former Vice President Mike Pence, who has 8% support, doubling his 4% showing the last time this poll was taken. Former United Nations envoy Nikki Haley’s 4% leads the rest of the field.
In a hypothetical head-to-head battle, Trump cleans DeSantis’ clock: 67% to 33%.
In happier news for the Florida Governor, he’s still the top “second choice,” meaning that if Trump somehow did not run for President, then DeSantis would be in good shape. DeSantis has 41% support there, with Pence at 15% and Haley and Vivek Ramaswamy taking 7% each.
The Big Village Politics poll is a little friendlier to DeSantis than Harvard-Harris, though it also shows Pence surging toward second place amid attrition for the Governor.
Trump takes 56%, with DeSantis at 15%. For the Governor, that’s a nine point plummet from the 24% he had in May with the same pollster.
DeSantis’ loss here appears to be Mike Pence’s gain: the former Veep went from 0% to 10% month over month, putting him within striking distance of second place.
Head-to-head polling between Trump and DeSantis likewise was brutal here, with Trump again taking 67% against just 33% for the Governor. That is the worst performance ever for the Florida Governor in that scenario, suggesting his campaign launch hasn’t moved voters in the way his supporters claimed it would.
These polls are less favorable to DeSantis than the Race to the White House polling average, which shows Trump at 53% when the full field is polled, 31 points ahead of DeSantis. The head to head average again shows Trump up, 57% to 36%.
20 comments
Earl Pitts American
June 17, 2023 at 8:19 am
Good morning America,
Again a common sense reminder:
Most of our genteel readership here at our beloved and benelovant host, F. P., have been brought up to speed on how to interepate early polling. So kudos to you; good knowing stuff my peeps.
But keep in mind we have new readers popping in all the time. Most like dry sponges seeking someone like me, Earl Pitts American, to make the complex political process easy to understand.
So newbys welcome and thank you for dropping by!
Todays nuggett of knowledge is on the subject of early polling and how to interperate early polling.
1.) Early polling is 98% conducted by leftist biased pollsters. Bought and paid for to make the left look good but most importantly influnce the minds of voters by lies and manipulation of the truth.
2.) Your initial reaction will be twofold:
a.) As a dook 4 brains lefty the polling is intended to bolster your preconceived notion that your side has “got this election in the bag”.
b.) As a conservative your uninformed initial reaction is “well now, golley dillittie dang, it looks like us good guys will take another smack down. So I will just sit my fat @55 on the couch no point in even voting”.
The above wisdom from me, Earl Pitts American, is what the leftist pollesters are paid the big bucks, by the left, to make average Americans think and feel. They are very good at it and it is so easy to trust the polls and live the “Sheeple Voter Life”.
I know what you are thinking:
“Yeah Yeah, Earl Pitts American, we already know this…so give up your golden nuggetts of knowledge already”.
OK peeps here you go: Reverse everything to get the truth.
1.) The poll you just read wants you to believe Desantis has little or even no shot at winning. So by reversing the assumption we arrive at: That Is Wrong.
2.) Same for Trump being way ahead – reversing that we arrive at: that too is wrong.
Why would the left commission the polling business’s to outright lie to you????
Because most voters are trusting in polls and trusting in the compliant media (think CNN and even FOX has got on board in the effort).
Now here comes the trickey part:
Interperation:
The left really feels they can roll Trump again and really want Trump to be their opponant (think early polling = all lies).
The left really feels Desantis is unbeatable and are trying to manipulate the selection process to NOT select Desantis again (think early polling = all lies).
Welcome again Beloved Newbys enjoy your new skills in how to interperate ALL early polling. Why is my interperation process always accurate? Because it is based on the pure truth of dook 4 brains leftys always defaulting to lies and manipulation because if you knew the leftys true intent you would never vote for them.
You are welcome America,
Earl Pitts American
Kenneth L Gallaher
June 18, 2023 at 10:06 am
lame
Glee
June 18, 2023 at 10:51 pm
Noyybuying that fuzzy logic, pal. Not even.
Thomas Kaspar
June 17, 2023 at 9:44 am
In other negative news , Gavin Newsom is going to run against brain infarcted , incapacitated , mumbling , incoherent Joe Biden . Hes doing so swell in California a failed state with over 100,000+ constituents sleeping in the streets living in carboard boxes or junk RVS .
Ocean Joe
June 17, 2023 at 10:45 am
Until one of the other challengers polls ahead of Desantis, he’s in good shape.
And what would be worse, a Desantis running around the country spouting a return to puritanism or a Desantis knocked out of the race coming home to grind away at what’s left of Florida?
PeterH
June 17, 2023 at 1:30 pm
I’ve been thinking the same thing!
nail morse
June 17, 2023 at 11:04 am
What candidate has ever gone into a election and lost a point a day. Only one that shows his true self to the country….DeSantis thought he could hide, but the country is seeing bobblehead and the handmaiden for the first time and they hate him…he will be dropping out soon when the money grab is overturned by the FEC and he has no money to run! lol
Dont Say FLA
June 18, 2023 at 1:11 pm
I want to thank all Florida taxpayers for bearing the financial burden of Ron DeSantis’ campaign to save America … from Ron DeSantis.
The more they tour, the more people meet actual Rhonda and realize the theoretical “Trump but not Trump” doesn’t live up to the hype.
That is a low very bar of hype to live up to, but Rhonda still fails to meet expectations whenever people meet them.
Thank you again to all Florida taxpayers. You are helping to save America!
PeterH
June 17, 2023 at 1:29 pm
“Less than 15%” …… is a terrific pay off for the tens of millions of superpac dollars that have flown, hotel’d and fed this deplorable loser for the past two years of “I’m not a candidate for president Klown Tour!”
White Wit Where Were You
June 17, 2023 at 1:56 pm
dullards and their money are easily separated
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Kenneth L Gallaher
June 18, 2023 at 10:05 am
The GOP has no viable 2024 candidate.
Dont Say FLA
June 18, 2023 at 1:14 pm
GOP candidates are totally viable. For 1954. They are just 70 years late for the Presidential race they’re running in.
Thomas Kaspar
June 18, 2023 at 10:10 am
“The GOP has no viable 2024 candidate.” actually against mumbling , lost , brain infarcted , corrupt Joe Biden anyone is a viable improvement .
Dont Say FLA
June 18, 2023 at 1:08 pm
You’d think it would be easy for the GOP this go-round, but they just ain’t that bright. They are so Pro-2A and so Anti-Abortion that their only idea is shooting themselves in their own feet. Both feet.
Tony
June 19, 2023 at 9:19 am
“So to recap, the much-ballyhooed conservative warrior, Governor DeSatanist, from Florida is up against a candidate who lost the last presidential election, was impeached twice by the House of Representatives, fomented an attack on the U.S. Capitol, was recently found liable for sexual abuse in a civil lawsuit, is under state and federal indictment with two other serious investigations pending and spends most of his time writing conspiratorial nonsense in all-caps on his own social media site … and DeSantis is not just losing but losing badly”.
Tom
June 19, 2023 at 1:20 pm
Yep – that pretty much sums up the current state of the republican party.
Thomas Kaspar
June 19, 2023 at 2:17 pm
Election must be over 19 months early then for riddled with self loathing Demodolts .
Look at grifter in Chief , corrupt Big Guy President Joe Biden can not find a podium without guidance , drapes giant rainbow flags over the White House and says “God Save The Queen” .
He brain is dead and blistered WTF GTFO of the WH .
Dont Say FLA
June 19, 2023 at 5:18 pm
If Biden brain dead, what does that makes Trump who Biden beat and is fixing to repeat? Brain dead is the GOP re-running the guy Biden beat last time, or running Litler, the guy that even everybody in the GOP hates. Wait I suppose GOP can’t be brain dead. That status implies having had a brain that worked.
Thomas Kaspar
June 19, 2023 at 5:37 pm
“If Biden brain dead, what does that makes Trump” ? It makes Trump way ahead in the “head to head” polls ? Something you wont read on this buy your propaganda blog and easily verifiable on realclearpolitics.com ..
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