Poll: Ron DeSantis at 14% in Iowa, 35 points behind Donald Trump

DeSantis Iowa Twitter
The Governor says he's a 'clear second' in the Hawkeye State. Does this poll support that claim?

A new poll from Iowa suggests Ron DeSantis is closer to the pack at the back of the race than he is to the former President.

The Emerson College Poll shows the Florida Governor with 14% support, 35 points behind Donald Trump.

Meanwhile, DeSantis has a 6-point lead over U.S. Sen. Tim Scott, and a 7-point lead over Nikki Haley and Vivek Ramaswamy. Trump and DeSantis have lost their edge over the three candidates behind them during that period.

“Trump’s support has decreased 13 points, from 62% to 49%. DeSantis dropped six points, from 20% to 14%, Scott’s support increased five points, from 3% to 8%, Haley’s support increased two points, from 5% to 7%, and Ramaswamy five points, from 2% to 7%,” a polling memo accompanying the results reads.

Polling director Spencer Kimball notes a divide in support for the candidates based on voters’ educational levels.

“Trump holds the majority of support among voters without a college degree, but his support decreases to 28% among those whose highest level of education is a college degree, and 27% with a postgraduate degree. Twenty-four percent of those with a college degree support DeSantis, but the Florida Governor’s support drops to 16% among postgraduates with Haley earning 20% of this vote.”

Meanwhile, Trump voters say they are least likely to consider other candidates.

“Trump supporters are the most likely to stick with their candidate as 79% say they will definitely vote for the former President, while just 21% say they could change their mind,” Kimball noted. “Conversely, 71% of Scott voters, 70% of Haley, 56% of DeSantis and 46% of Ramaswamy voters say there is a chance they could change their mind and vote for a different candidate.”

Though this poll suggests DeSantis isn’t especially competitive with Trump, the Governor is undaunted, calling himself a “clear second under any metric.”

“Everybody else is in single digits,” DeSantis said Wednesday on the Rubin Report. “I wouldn’t trade places with anyone in Iowa right now.”

During that interview, the Governor made the case that he’s better positioned at this point in the race than previous Iowa caucus winners.

“We’ve actually had a huge amount of success in Iowa. I mean, if you look back at previous election cycles and find where the Iowa caucus winner was in the summer, people like Ted Cruz and Rick Santorum, they were polling at like 5 or 6%,” DeSantis related.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. He writes for the New York Post and National Review also, with previous work in the American Conservative and Washington Times and a 15+ year run as a columnist in Folio Weekly. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


  • Ocean Joe

    September 12, 2023 at 8:30 am

    Earl, can you make some lemonade out of this for your hero?

    • Earl Pitts "The Ronald's UnOfficial Campaign Manager" American

      September 12, 2023 at 9:57 am

      Thanks for the heads up my Besty OJ,
      What we got going on here is not as cut and dry as the official polling business’s getting financial renumeration for pumping out the DNC’s ordered/purchased polls which show the DNC’s dream candidate (Trump) on top and at the same time showing the DNC’s most feared candidate (Desantis) having no chance in the same ordered/purchased poll.
      I’m glad you asked for clairifacation so the voting public can better understand.
      What we got here, OJ is:
      1.) Some Federal funding of major TaxPayer dollars coming due, prior to the 2024 election, to the esteemed Emerson College.
      2.) A private, non-recorded conversation, between a very highly placed elected official in the Dook 4 Brains Biden Administration, and the esteemed President of Emerson College.
      2.) The conversation was related to several things, amoung them, a possable tie-in to several additional millions of taxpayer dollars in the upcoming Federal funding package release. There was an implication of assurance of the smooth transfer of the additional funding to a possable polling release of some numbers showing Trump as the favored candadate amoung those polled and Desantis polling results showing no chance for a Desantis win.
      But wait there’s more:
      The very highly placed elected official in the Dook 4 Brain’s Biden Administration was, like most of them, suffering from a brain £art (related to the whole Dook 4 Brains thing) and miss-stated the perferred percentages [being ordered to lie to the American voters] in the esteemed Emmerson College poll. Stated [in error] was a totally un believable Trump 49% to Desantis 14%. That, my friend OJ, is raising questions amoung even the most hard-core Dook 4 Brained Leftist voters regarding such thoughts as – “Hey this is off the chain cray cray, is it even possable we are being lied to, and manipulated by these early polling results?”
      Thanks again for the heads up my Bestest Besty OJ,
      Earl Pitts ” America’s Go-To-Political-Polling-Guru” American
      And heres what America has been waiting for*
      *Free Bumper Sticker*
      *VOTE DESANTIS 2024 & 2028*

      • Beverly Brevity

        September 12, 2023 at 10:47 am

        Too many damn words, Earl, not going to read them. Tighten it up, loose screw.

        • Earl Pitts, President and CEO. Earl Pitts American Fan Club

          September 12, 2023 at 11:16 am

          Thank you Beautiful Bevs for your sweet and loving advice.
          Love ya Bevs,

          • Beverly Brevity

            September 13, 2023 at 11:29 am

            Much better, Earl.

  • My Take

    September 12, 2023 at 8:50 am

    Many will take great pleasure when Runty finally fails. But that may not be until January. And worse, then he comes back tò Florida to finìsh destroying it in his rage.

  • Carpetbagger

    September 12, 2023 at 9:28 am

    You’ll have to visit Emerson’s poll website to learn that this is a poll of “Iowa caucus voters”, not Iowa Republicans at large. Having to explain inconvenient details like that diminishes a story’s info-tainment value.

    • Earl Pitts "The Ronald's UnOfficial Campaign Manager" American

      September 12, 2023 at 10:09 am

      Excellant pick up on the related shenagians – to my genious response to OJ above – Carpetmuncher,

      I need you to apply for a position with The Earl Pitts American Fan Club’s Political Science Division.
      We, like all business, are having problems keeping a fully staffed work force, due to the Dook 4 Brains Biden Administration coddeling the American work-force durring The ScamDemic.
      Thanks Carpetmuncher,
      *Apply Today*

  • Biscuit

    September 12, 2023 at 10:50 am

    Iowa poll: 14% are idiots, 49% are morons.
    Stupid humans.

  • Michael K

    September 12, 2023 at 11:14 am

    The caucus is a relic of the past – it favors a highly select group of people who can afford the time to attend hours-long meetings. Only four states still hold them. And Iowa is hardly representative of US demographics: Iowa is 88% White, so of course DeSantis is putting enormous time and financial resources there.

Comments are closed.


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