Steve Schale, Author at Florida Politics - Campaigns & Elections. Lobbying & Government.

Steve SchaleJuly 26, 2017

This piece is more designed for my readers who don’t live and breathe Florida politics: there is a state Senate election on Sept. 26 you should be paying attention to, a race that could be an interesting test of how the GOP’s institutional advantages measure up to Donald Trump‘s policies, favorability, Democratic enthusiasm and demographic trend lines. Honestly, […]

Steve SchaleJune 21, 2017

Pretty close to exactly 12 years ago, I took the reins of the political operation of the Florida House Democratic Caucus. During my three years there, we picked up nine Republican districts, including two swing seat Special Elections, including a special in a ruby-red type district like Georgia 06. We made the decision to play […]

Steve SchaleDecember 5, 2016

It is time for one last big data piece on Florida 2016. For about 18 hours a day over 2+ weeks, I found myself living and breathing early voting data. So now that all the data have been reported from counties, I wanted to look back at some assumptions, and compare them to the actual […]

Steve SchaleNovember 16, 2016

Give any Florida strategist with statewide experience the following data points: by 7:15 p.m., the Democratic candidate has a 10-point lead in Hillsborough, a 100K vote lead in Orange, a 200K vote lead in both Dade and Broward early voting, and is ahead in Duval, and everyone would think the same thing: that Democratic candidate is going to win. Certainly, that […]

Steve SchaleNovember 8, 2016

To: Anyone who has been reading my memos, Putin included. From: Steve Schale Re: We survived, and genuine thanks from me. First, thank you all for following along for the last two weeks. This memo isn’t going to be a big data dump. For those, you can go back and read the other 12 versions […]

Steve SchaleNovember 7, 2016

To: The tired, poor, huddled masses yearning to be free of 2016 From: Steve Schale, Florida Sherpa Re: It is almost drinkin’ time I usually do a timeline here, but since I can’t even imagine life in a post-2016 election cycle world, I am simply going to say, Thank God America, we have damn near […]

Steve SchaleNovember 3, 2016

To: Curious Americans and President Vladimir Putin From: Steve Schale, Proud FloridaMan Re: 5 Days out — and eight years later, POTUS returns to Duval *5 days until the election. *7 days until the first Thursday after the election. *9 days until FSU basketball tips off. *23 days until the Tallahassee Turkey Trot 15K. *113 days until Daytona 500. Welcome to the last […]

Steve SchaleNovember 2, 2016

To: Curious Americans and President Vladimir Putin From: Steve Schale Re: No More Wednesdays!! *6 days until the election. *10 days until FSU basketball tips off. *24 days until I start Clark Griswalding my house. *114 days until the Daytona 500. Before I begin, a note to Democrats: RETURN YOUR FREAKING VBM BALLOTS, PLEASE. So […]

Steve SchaleNovember 1, 2016

To: People like me who need a life From: Steve Schale Re: Freedom is Near *7 days until the election. *11 days until FSU basketball tips off. *115 days until the Daytona 500. *1,455 days until my 7 days out memo in 2020. Before I begin, a note to Democrats (Republicans, skip a graph or two). […]

Steve SchaleOctober 31, 2016

To: Everyone ready for this election to be over From: Steve Schale Re: The second-to-last Monday of 2016 election *8 days until the election. *12 days until FSU basketball tips off. *96 days until the Tallahassee Marathon. *1,232 days until the Florida Presidential Preference Primary. Before I begin, a quick sidebar with Florida Democrats: If […]

Steve Schale

Steve Schale: SD 40 — an interesting test for Dems, GOP

Florida Man thoughts on Georgia’s special election

Steve Schale: Florida early vote, a retrospective

Steve Schale: Florida 2016 in the rearview mirror

Steve Schale: Notes on Election Day in Florida

Steve Schale: Final notes on early voting in Florida

Steve Schale: Notes on the 10th day of early voting in Florida

Steve Schale: Notes on the ninth day of early voting in Florida

Steve Schale: Notes on the eighth day of early voting in Florida

Steve Schale: Notes on the weekend of early voting in Florida