Tag: Larry Sabato

Darryl PaulsonNovember 22, 2016
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8min184
Going into the 2016 presidential election, virtually all political pundits and pollsters projected an easy victory for Hillary Clinton. Several of the most respected pollsters gave Clinton an 85 percent chance of defeating Donald Trump. Highly respected presidential scholar Larry Sabato projected that Clinton would win 347 electoral votes to Trump’s 191. As we now […]

Florence SnyderNovember 9, 2016
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2min173
It’s Morning After in America, and the recriminations are well underway. Even with a crappy crystal ball like Larry Sabato‘s, you can predict the Democrats will assemble an Autopsy Committee like the one the Republicans did in 2012. Old habits die hard. Bleary-eyed pundits, pollsters, pols, and political reporters are crying into their beers and […]

Jenna Buzzacco-FoersterOctober 10, 2016
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3min262
Hillary Clinton is gaining ground in the Electoral College. Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball updated its ratings Monday, and all of the changes favor Democrats. The ratings update, which came one day after the second presidential debate, “shows Clinton mildly improving on (President Barack) Obama’s 332 electoral votes from 2012,” according to the team at Sabato’s […]

Darryl PaulsonApril 14, 2016
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7min327
Here are a few basic facts about the electoral-college system. First, very few voters understand how it works. Second, most voters hate the system. Third, the system is almost impossible to change. Those who drafted the Constitution had little trust in democracy. James Madison, in The Federalist Papers, wrote that unfettered majorities tend toward “tyranny.” […]

Darryl PaulsonApril 13, 2016
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7min304
Here are a few basic facts about the electoral-college system. First, very few voters understand how it works. Second, most voters hate the system. Third, the system is almost impossible to change. Those who drafted the Constitution had little trust in democracy. James Madison, in The Federalist Papers, wrote that unfettered majorities tend toward “tyranny.” […]

Mitch PerryMarch 31, 2016
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5min582
University of Virginia political science professor Larry Sabato latest Crystal Ball prediction of the 2016 presidential election spells gloom for the Republican Party this November. The longtime political analyst is predicting that if it’s a Hillary Clinton-Donald Trump matchup, it will be an electoral college blowout, 347-191. Sabato’s Crystal Ball is a weekly online political newsletter and […]

Jenna Buzzacco-FoersterFebruary 22, 2016
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4min368
As Marco Rubio continues to gain steam in the race for the Republican nomination, a leading political expert is looking into his crystal ball to make a few predictions. Larry Sabato, the director of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics and editor-in-chief of “Sabato’s Crystal Ball,” suggested Rubio “consider a daring gambit.” The bold […]


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