Tag: Larry Sabato

Drew WilsonApril 13, 2018
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3min245
Democratic U.S. Rep. Stephanie Murphy said Friday that during the first three months of the year, her re-election campaign raised more than $400,000. This first-quarter haul puts the Winter Park congresswoman’s campaign account past the $1 million mark in cash on hand as she seeks a second term in Florida’s 7th Congressional District. “Supporters from […]

Mitch PerryNovember 30, 2017
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4min240
With the way U.S. congressional districts are apportioned, any representative who wins their seat by less than five points is considered to be in a swing-seat district. That makes them potentially vulnerable in a re-election bid. Other (sometimes unforeseen) variables also determine the political landscape in an electoral cycle, such as a “wave” election that […]

Darryl PaulsonMay 31, 2017
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5min247
Sometimes political change comes slowly, one drop at a time. That was the 2016 Florida congressional election where Democrats gained a single seat, although the opportunities were everywhere. Sometimes elections result in a political tsunami, where the political landscape is fundamentally altered, and one party replaces the other party as the dominant political force. The […]

Darryl PaulsonNovember 22, 2016
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8min92
Going into the 2016 presidential election, virtually all political pundits and pollsters projected an easy victory for Hillary Clinton. Several of the most respected pollsters gave Clinton an 85 percent chance of defeating Donald Trump. Highly respected presidential scholar Larry Sabato projected that Clinton would win 347 electoral votes to Trump’s 191. As we now […]


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