Florida Politics - Campaigns & Elections. Lobbying & Government.

Peter SchorschFebruary 25, 2017

U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson is set for a tough reelection battle next year, but for some reason Sabato’s Crystal Ball decided look past that and peg him as the likely victor in 2018. The blog post lists Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson’s seat as leaning toward the Democrats and even goes so far as to give […]

Peter SchorschFebruary 9, 2017

Democrats could be in for more election woes in 2018, according to a new post from political blog Sabato’s Crystal Ball. In the post, author Kyle Kondik gives a rundown of the 2016 cycle’s “crossover” congressional seats – districts that voted for one party on the congressional level, and another for president. There were 26 such […]

Peter SchorschDecember 16, 2016

It was a good year to run as an incumbent according to an article published Thursday in Sabato’s Crystal Ball. “Looking over the down-ballot outcome, there’s one inescapable conclusion in a year that was defined by a political outsider, Donald Trump, winning the presidency: It was still a really good year to run as an […]

Jenna Buzzacco-FoersterOctober 20, 2016

The electoral map keeps changing, but new rankings don’t favor Donald Trump. Sabato’s Crystal Ball released updated Electoral College ratings, moving several deep red states out of the “safe Republican” or “leans Republican” columns. The ratings changes push Hillary Clinton to 352 electoral votes, the highest the organization has ranked her the entire election cycle. […]

Jenna Buzzacco-FoersterOctober 10, 2016

Hillary Clinton is gaining ground in the Electoral College. Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball updated its ratings Monday, and all of the changes favor Democrats. The ratings update, which came one day after the second presidential debate, “shows Clinton mildly improving on (President Barack) Obama’s 332 electoral votes from 2012,” according to the team at Sabato’s […]

Jenna Buzzacco-FoersterFebruary 22, 2016

As Marco Rubio continues to gain steam in the race for the Republican nomination, a leading political expert is looking into his crystal ball to make a few predictions. Larry Sabato, the director of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics and editor-in-chief of “Sabato’s Crystal Ball,” suggested Rubio “consider a daring gambit.” The bold […]

Drew WilsonAugust 27, 2015

A University of Virginia-backed political blog predicts former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will still win the Democratic presidential nomination. According to a report released Thursday, Clinton’s prospective victory would be despite lingering controversy over her use of a private email account for official business or the possibility of Vice President Joe Biden entering the […]

Phil AmmannApril 30, 2015

In the race for the White House, still a year and a half away, Florida is opening up as the critical Electoral College prize in 2016. Although much can still happen in the presidential contest, Sabato’s Crystal Ball writers Geoffrey Skelley, Kyle Kondik, and Larry Sabato of find it increasingly clear; for the GOP to […]

Tag: Sabato’s Crystal Ball

Is Bill Nelson’s re-election race really a “Lean Democrat” in 2018?

Florida ‘crossover’ congressional districts give Democrats glimmer of hope in 2018

Incumbents have better-than-average year in 2016, says Sabato’s Crystal Ball

Report: Hillary Clinton’s Electoral College lead continues to grow

Report: Hillary Clinton gets an Electoral College boost

“Crystal Ball” suggests Marco Rubio offer John Kasich VP spot in exchange for his backing

Sabato’s Crystal Ball predicts Hillary Clinton will still get Democratic nod

Sabato’s Crystal Ball ranking moves Marco Rubio to second place