Ron DeSantis tops Donald Trump, Joe Biden in 2024 odds market
Ron DeSantis gains ground in a hypothetical match-up with Donald Trump.

trump desantis
The markets predict Americans want new blood in the Oval Office.

Gov. Ron DeSantis routinely downplays the prospects of running for President in 2024, but that hasn’t stopped betting markets from favoring him over the two most recent Americans to have held the nation’s highest office.

Less than two weeks after DeSantis overtook former President Donald Trump in PredictIt’s 2024 betting marketplace, FloridaBets.com has proclaimed the state’s Republican Governor the odds market leader. The site, intended to provide residents with updates on legal sportsbooks, gives DeSantis an implied 25% chance for the presidency over Trump’s 23% and President Joe Biden’s 15%.

“Political analysts are on the fence on if the Governor can realistically pull through with a victory,” according to an email from Gambling.com Group. “Although he has enjoyed great popularity in Florida leadership, he’ll have to maintain his momentum through the 2022 midterm elections and the GOP primaries. Even if he manages that, he’ll still possibly be going toe-to-toe with the incumbent Joe Biden, and historically speaking: second term seekers rarely lose.

“It’s still very much a waiting game, but FloridaBet.com and its political commentators are keeping their odds current as the race develops.”

DeSantis has benefited from record high gas prices and inflation hurting Biden’s approval rating and the Jan. 6 insurrection hearings, which is showing early signs of swaying Republicans’ opinions of Trump.

Meanwhile, DeSantis has made a name for himself even as the COVID-19 pandemic, which carried him to national headlines in 2020 and 2021, fades from the top of minds. The Governor remains a conservative leader on culture war  and classroom issues.

A poll last month by the University of New Hampshire showed DeSantis ahead of Biden and Trump in hypothetical General and Republican Primary matchups in the Granite State, but still in a statistical tie with them.

DeSantis has written off questions about 2024, calling the chatter about it “nonsense” for months. He sidestepped this topic as recently as a Fox News interview last month. He continues to downplay recent straw polls showing him as a leading presidential contender in 2024.

Trump, meanwhile, continues to try to put DeSantis in a subordinate role, telling a Newsmax interviewer last month he was “very responsible” for the former Congressman winning the Governor’s race four years ago. And last week, Trump said he wouldn’t rule out picking DeSantis as his running mate.

Renzo Downey

Renzo Downey covers state government for Florida Politics. After graduating from Northwestern University in 2019, Renzo began his reporting career in the Lone Star State, covering state government for the Austin American-Statesman. Shoot Renzo an email at [email protected] and follow him on Twitter @RenzoDowney.


24 comments

  • Beth

    July 5, 2022 at 6:55 am

    Just what the country needs a man who wants to be a dictator so badly he will do or say anything for money and power. He specializes in stripping people of their basic rights and eliminating anyone who disagrees with him. He tries to shove his fake religious beliefs down everyone’s throat. He wants girls who are raped and incest victims to be forced to carry the spawn of their attackers. How can anyone in their right mind support such a man? The country has been through enough with trump. We need a kind and decent leader who really loves this country and who wants to preserve our precious freedoms. DeSantis is not the person. Democracy or DeSantis, that’s the choice.

    • Impeach Biden

      July 5, 2022 at 8:36 am

      Of course DeSantis loves his country. He served as a United States Naval Officer. Joe Biden was basically a draft dodger. Abortions are legal up to 15 weeks. Between 96 and 98% of the abortions now in Florida are done at this point. “My Body My Choice”. Did you scream that during the pandemic?

    • Earl

      July 5, 2022 at 10:58 am

      Well my Opinion Ron would be an Excellent President, he has done a wonderful job with Florida ,
      Also Trump loves this Country he has done so good for this United States we’re that Retard we have in office now has put us in a Depression due to his changing everything that trump did lowering jobs were people don’t work give me a Break don’t talk about something u don’t now about..

      • harvey karisma

        July 5, 2022 at 1:46 pm

        HAHAHAHAHA

    • Jerry

      July 5, 2022 at 9:51 pm

      Dictator… LOL!
      You liberals are a joke, you know that? You call Republicans “dictators” while you force everyone into masks, want to confiscate everyone’s firearm, censor the internet, worship cancel culture, pack the Supreme Court, and want to terminate the employment of anyone who refuses your vaccines.

      The only freedom you liberals care about protecting is pregnant women being able to kill their babies. You want no restrictions on that! But everything else in our society you want full control and power over.

    • Anne

      July 9, 2022 at 8:56 pm

      We thought Biden was going to be that “kind” man that you’re hoping for. Look what we got. A idiot who can’t put two sentences together and doing his best to destroy our country

  • Rocky E

    July 5, 2022 at 7:56 am

    And watch how fast that popularity goes down the drain as the country gets to know DeSantis beyond Florida headlines. His own friends and family describe him as not a likable guy. A presidential run is all about retail politics, you have to kiss the babies and convince Americans in coffee shops you are someone who hears them and can relate. That’s not Ron DeSantis. He is a divider and someone who is abrasive and offensive. A 24 month Presidential run will expose all that and just as i can recall Ruddy being thought of as a lock for the republican nomination then getting destroyed in the primaries i predict the same fate for DeSantis who just leaves a bad taste in peoples mouths. He may not even get re-elected governor and if he does he likely just squeaks by and we are taking in Florida where stupidity is worn like a badge of honor.

    • Impeach Biden

      July 5, 2022 at 8:50 am

      Expose what exactly? The media has been after him ever since he was elected Governor of Florida and as his popularity rose throughout the country. I’m sure you saw the smear piece by 60 Minutes on him last year or so. It was heavily edited and falsely painted a picture on DeSantis. They got caught and 60 minutes credibility is in the toilet now. The editorial staff of my paper here is 100% focused on trying to smear and discredit him. I live in a “Blue” stronghold in Florida and yes this county would vote for Gillum again if given the chance. This country sorely needs a competent and capable leader. The Biden administration is loaded with fools, from the CIC to the VP and the Sec of Transpo and the Sec of Energy.

    • Bill

      July 5, 2022 at 10:16 am

      That’s my take on it as well. The hard right culture war stuff might work in a single state (and I’m not even sure that’s true) but on the federal level, he’d have to bring along a lot of independants and some democrats to get the top job and be a President for all Americans. Anyone running against him would be able to bring up his anti-woke, anti gay, anti everything crusades and all his other nonsense then beat him over the head with it. It’s way early in the game the early front runners never last the distance. Time will tell I guess. So long as it’s not trump and biden, I’ll be happy.

      • Dan

        July 6, 2022 at 1:15 am

        People are going to vote based on the economy. And right now, the voters are going to destroy the Democrats up and down the ballot. Democrats have done nothing but make the economy worse. They are completely ignoring people’s concerns over energy prices. And telling people to go out and buy a $60k electric car is not a solution!

        • JD

          July 6, 2022 at 7:29 am

          I keep seeing that comment about the Democrats saying people should buy a $60K EV car to find off higher gas prices but I cannot find a Democratic politician the quote is attributed too.

          The closest I get is that AOC owns a Tesla and that Pelosi’s was buying stock, but that is no where the same as advocating the American people should buy expensive EV’s (and there’s more than one EV manufacturer – some quite affordable).

          So can you give us direct quote or better yet a bill where they are advocating this?

          And last I checked Biden was looking to open up more Federal lands to drilling, released more fuel from the strategic stockpile, was working with OPEC to produce more oil in the meantime. To boot, gas prices have come down somewhat as well (which almost never happens before a holiday weekend).

          • Impeach Biden

            July 6, 2022 at 9:45 am

            Biden was quoted saying he was going to put the fossil fuel companies out of business.. He said it. Now he’s begging all of those companies to produce more oil. He and his Sec of Energy are completely incompetent.

          • JD

            July 6, 2022 at 12:28 pm

            Impeach Biden, You mean where he said “I would transition from the oil industry” during the 2020 presidential debates?

            Transition isn’t the same as putting fossil fuel companies out of business. And those companies have enjoyed billions in profit. If they are not transitioning to something else using said profits, instead of using their profits to keep their monopoly via lobbying, then they should be put out of business. Innovate or die.

            Just their profits alone, they could have significantly solved the sustainable energy paradigm.

            And as for “begging” those companies / countries to produce more, it’s because they capped production when oil went negative during the pandemic and demand came rushing back, but they didn’t turn shit back on. Sec of Energy competence or not. It was supply and demand.

          • Blue Wave

            July 6, 2022 at 3:14 pm

            JD you’re trying to communicate with these R’s like they’re not brain-dead Trump Monkeys…. No facts or common sense works on R’s. They worship a draft-dodging, criminal sociopath. He’s a serial liar, adulterer, and sexual predator, the guy tried to kill his VP & overthrow the election. These people should be in cages throwing feces at each other.

          • Tom

            July 6, 2022 at 4:39 pm

            JD, I believe it was sec energy Granholm, the Canadian born ex gov of Michigan. She was quoted on need to buying green powered auto. And she laughed.

            Also, Sen Stabenow blabbed she drove to DC in her new green car, no gas cost.

            Yes JD, Potus is quoted with conversion, phase in, transitioning.
            He owns it JD. His economic advisor said, this is the new “liberal” world order. Horrible.

            This will be “epic” mid term JD. With likely recession, ( 2 consecutive negative quarters, negative growth)
            50 plus seats flip to GOP, if not 25 to 40. Plus 15 Biden districts carried in 20, will flip.

            We are looking at a de, re alignment.
            Texas 34, Hispanics proves Dems disaster coming.

          • Tom

            July 7, 2022 at 7:15 am

            JD, Biden/Harris and their incompetent band of cabinet and staff are the worst since Hoover.

            You and blue wave running from this incompetence is atrocious.

            This energy and other inflation spike has been done with malice, and is purposeful. This Sanders, AOC anti Carbon, gas oil. This was purposefully done to reorder per Bryan Deese, his economic director a new “liberal”world order.

            You reap what you sew, this pathetic potus and his minions are a disaster.

            It’s hysterical how you lefties are running for cover.

            Wait til mid terms, epic slaughter coming. Enjoy it JD, and this idiot blue wave moniker. LMAO.

  • Chris Snyder

    July 5, 2022 at 10:22 am

    “DeSantis has made a name for himself even as the COVID-19 pandemic, which carried him to national headlines in 2020 and 2021, fades from the top of minds. The Governor remains a conservative leader on culture war and classroom issues.”

    I don’t think those who lost family, or who have long-covid (some damage will be permanent) will forget when DeSantis forced localities to do what his “base” wanted.. many said true conservative values would let localities set their own guidelines.
    That said, I’m looking forward to DS sidelining Trump and more of Don’s crazy TS comments.

    • Tom

      July 5, 2022 at 11:41 am

      Chris, you appear to be disoriented with liberal mythology on no “sexual preference” k-3 discussion and “Covid.

      Most people’s concur on K-3, polling nationally and more importantly in Florida. Disney took It in the chops, deservingly.

      As for Covid, where have you been? Florida, DeSantis has been the anti blue state tyrant Governor. He’s clearly seen as doing it right and successfully.

      Florida’s openness, freedom, liberty and economic success is second to none. All due to G0v.

      Schools education, opportunity thru vouchers expanded, less suicides due to schools open per Covid are just a few examples. Florida has the most seniors inoculated per Biden’s HHS.

      Florida’s economy is the best example, 3% unemployment. 8.7% wage growth. The anti Biden/Harris.

      America’s Gov is the real deal! He’s the whiz kid, youngest Gov in country.

      This POTUS, his WH and Dems at large , all fear him. Really, Newsom? Harris? Liz Warren? Sanders? Moron AOC? Bring them on.

      Stop biting in to cheap Corp media narratives. Watch what he does, not what they claim. He vetoed environment buster Lake O, standing down his Senate President.
      On every issue he’s profile and courage!

      America’s Gov, principled, faith, family, and leader.

      • henry

        July 8, 2022 at 2:29 am

        Yep, 70,000 deaths! now that’s a victory for Social Security – a great savings for the gov, thanks to Death De Santis. Florida is great place to die — of covid, listeria, gunshot wounds, drug abuse, and melanoma. Doesn’t matter tho — with rising sea levels, the sunshine state is destined to disappear back into the swamp from which it was reclaimed.

        • Tom

          July 11, 2022 at 1:38 pm

          Fauci and biden, combined over 1.5 million.
          DeSantis saved Florida!

  • Tom

    July 5, 2022 at 10:50 am

    America’s Gov is seen as the answer, and solution. His overall approval, like to dislike is favorable. He’s literally the only one, both parties.

    Some of this will change, but people at large, Independents, Repub. see him as an alternative to both sides.

    The K-3, no sexual orientation is popular, 60% overall approved in Florida, with Indys and Dems as well. These empty lies on this as it backfired
    on Disney and woke a joke extremists.

    He has the ability to offer a hybrid from Reagan to Trump, conservatives, libertarians and centrists. The Dems extremist agenda has clearly failed. N Fraud, chameleon crispy have no chance.

    As he says, he’s only begun to fight.
    America’s Gov! Do for America, what you’ve accomplished for Florida.

  • David in Shoreline

    July 5, 2022 at 11:43 am

    I’m in Washington State (run by socialists) and I absolutely love the good Gov Ron DeSantis. I will scrape together every penny I have, go door to door and spend every weekend sign-waving for this man. He is the last best hope for America.

  • Pattie

    July 5, 2022 at 12:20 pm

    Desantis is more than qualified to be president. He has done an amazing job as gov of Fl. He is a Navy man and extremely intelligent. Anyone wanting another DEM president is mentally ill.

  • Joe Corsin

    July 10, 2022 at 1:27 pm

    DeSantis collaborated with ISIS against coalition forces in Iraq. Vote Crist for governor…

Comments are closed.


#FlaPol

Florida Politics is a statewide, new media platform covering campaigns, elections, government, policy, and lobbying in Florida. This platform and all of its content are owned by Extensive Enterprises Media.

Publisher: Peter Schorsch @PeterSchorschFL

Contributors & reporters: Phil Ammann, Renzo Downey, Roseanne Dunkelberger, A.G. Gancarski, Anne Geggis, Kelly Hayes, Joe Henderson, Ryan Nicol, Jacob Ogles, Scott Powers, Gray Rohrer, Aimee Sachs, Jesse Scheckner, Christine Sexton, Andrew Wilson, and Mike Wright.

Email: [email protected]
Twitter: @PeterSchorschFL
Phone: (727) 642-3162
Address: 204 37th Avenue North #182
St. Petersburg, Florida 33704




Sign up for Sunburn


Categories