Another poll shows Ron DeSantis with a double-digit lead over Charlie Crist

DeSantis Crist
Victory Insights predicts the Governor will win re-election by 13 points.

Another pollster has Gov. Ron DeSantis up by double digits on Democrat Charlie Crist. But Victory Insights found Florida Republicans split on whether he or Donald Trump should be the GOP nominee for President.

The polling outfit, which has an office in Naples, found 54% of likely Florida voters plan to vote for DeSantis’ re-election. More than 41% plan to support Crist, the Democratic nominee and former Republican Governor. That leaves close to 5% of voters undecided but that’s not enough to offer Crist a chance even if all were to swing his way.

The lead importantly puts DeSantis’ lead outside the poll’s 4.8-percentage-point margin of error, and nearly puts that much distance between the incumbent and the 50% mark ensuring victory.

That’s consistent with other recent polling, which as the Nov. 8 General Election drew closer showed DeSantis’ lead in the race widening. The polling firm ran simulations, and the survey predicts the Republican will ultimately win by nearly 13-point margin once all votes are counted.

Pollsters conducted the survey between Oct. 30 and Nov. 1, closing entries just a week before Election Day. A total of 500 responses were included, and the sample is based on a Republican-leaning electorate that’s 43% Republican, 38% Democrat and 19% no-party or third-party voters.

DeSantis appears buoyed by strong approval for his performance in the wake of Hurricane Ian. Nearly 58% believe the sitting Governor did a good job following the storm, which made landfall on Sept. 28. Just 23% do not feel that way, while about 20% had no opinion on the matter.

But notably, the optimistic forecast for DeSantis’ re-election odds do not mean he has such a clear path to the Republican nomination for President in two years, even in his home state.

Victory Insights also polled likely Republican voters in Florida on who they would prefer to be the GOP nominee for the White House in 2024, and presented the options of Trump and DeSantis. Both came in around 50%. Indeed, a close look showed Trump as the choice of 50.4% of voters with DeSantis at 49.6% but that tight gap falls well within the poll’s error margin.

Pollsters also asked Florida Democrats if they want President Joe Biden as the Democratic nominee in 2024. About 55% would like the President to seek a second term, but 45% would like someone else carrying the standard for the party.

Jacob Ogles

Jacob Ogles has covered politics in Florida since 2000 for regional outlets including SRQ Magazine in Sarasota, The News-Press in Fort Myers and The Daily Commercial in Leesburg. His work has appeared nationally in The Advocate, Wired and other publications. Events like SRQ’s Where The Votes Are workshops made Ogles one of Southwest Florida’s most respected political analysts, and outlets like WWSB ABC 7 and WSRQ Sarasota have featured his insights. He can be reached at [email protected].


30 comments

  • Impeach Biden

    November 2, 2022 at 7:18 pm

    KABOOM!! Here it comes. Going to sweep out Corsin, Offen, Crist, and Fake Tom right out of here. The excitement builds for next Tuesday.

    • Charlie Crist

      November 2, 2022 at 7:48 pm

      Good luck winning the presidency over the next 20 years… that is without cheating and getting a lot of people arrested or killed by police. If Florida wants a right wing police state and non-advancement for the non-rich then that’s up to the neanderthals in Florida. As for Congress, obstuctionists and saboteurs of government are really making America great again let me tell you. How long will people put up with it is the question.

      • Impeach Biden

        November 2, 2022 at 7:57 pm

        Sour grapes. If the Dems could only stuff the ballot box.

        • Charlie Crist

          November 2, 2022 at 11:15 pm

          👆 These are the kinds of lies that lose Republicans presidential elections. The youth see! The Villages mummies dying like flies!

          • Whippy Skipperton

            November 3, 2022 at 8:57 am

            Lay off the weed, Chuck… it’s clearly causing you dain bramage.

      • Boaz

        November 3, 2022 at 4:14 pm

        Hyperbole, no? When picking a state or country in which to reside, there are many choices for those voting with their feet, as it were. If socialist dystopia is what you seek, China, Russia, Belarus, Venezuela, Nicaragua, et al., come to mind. Our constitutional republic will be here long after you emigrate, provided you’re not a bot for the GRU or the CCP. Siberia is reportedly nice in the short time they call summer.

        • Charlie Crist

          November 3, 2022 at 6:19 pm

          I see you people always leave out Germany and Scandinavian countries when you mention socialism. Why is that?😂

    • eva

      November 3, 2022 at 4:45 pm

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  • David in Shoreline

    November 2, 2022 at 8:58 pm

    Yup, DeSantis is going to blow Crist out of the water. Even political hobbyists could have told you that. And frankly, I’d take DeSantis over Trump as well. Trump did some great things and earned my vote in 2016 and 2020 but he should spend more time golfing. It’s Ron DeSantis’ turn now.

    • Charlie Crist

      November 2, 2022 at 11:16 pm

      He did nothing but sit on his balls and insult people while the economy overheated. He did nothing but give you snake oil salesmen sideshow. You people are dense. Too incompetent to vote.

  • A frm FL

    November 2, 2022 at 11:57 pm

    Do you really leave in the USA, that’s why so many are voting to get you Demonrats out before they destroy this country. Nothing positive has been done since Demonrats asumed the presidency.

    • Charlie Crist

      November 3, 2022 at 7:25 am

      👆 Deranged victim of far right propaganda. His walnut sized brain has been melted like candle wax by all the lies and fear mongering.

    • marylou

      November 3, 2022 at 12:05 pm

      A lot of people, apparently including you, don’t have the time to research what their presidents and legislators are accomplishing. Even with non-cooperating Republicans, Biden has had record accomplishments. Here are a few that you can be proud of:
      https://joebiden.com/accomplishments/#

  • just sayin

    November 3, 2022 at 8:01 am

    Democrats aren’t going to learn anything from this, are they? Probably hold a few more Jan. 6 hearings on their way out. Maybe try to hold a confirmation hearing for the first Panamanian-American Transgendered Admiral?

    You know what would be great? Getting off their asses and doing something about insider trading in Congress. Because you know the Republicans won’t.

    • Tom

      November 3, 2022 at 8:41 am

      Oh yeah, Nancy pelosi the biggest abuser, with hubby on the inside trade.
      Spare us!

      • Elliott Offen

        November 3, 2022 at 8:47 am

        Rick Scott plead the first 70 times. Why?

        • Elliott Offen

          November 3, 2022 at 8:48 am

          *fifth

  • Tom

    November 3, 2022 at 8:39 am

    No surprise, crispy critters is driving Dems to FGOP. I predicted Gov will get 10% to 15% of Dems vote. He may get 20%.

    Rubio and DeSantis will be around 55%.
    FGOP sweeping all state, county and local offices! It’s a live fest! Enjoy,

    • Joe Corsin

      November 3, 2022 at 8:52 am

      What the hell is crispy critters? Doesn’t even make any sense. Just some third grade sht you pulled out of your azzhole 🍩 Get a life you bum

  • Tom

    November 3, 2022 at 8:39 am

    No surprise, crispy critters is driving Dems to FGOP. I predicted Gov will get 10% to 15% of Dems vote. He may get 20%.

    Rubio and DeSantis will be around 55%.
    FGOP sweeping all state, county and local offices! It’s a live fest! Enjoy,

    • Joe Corsin

      November 3, 2022 at 8:53 am

      “Live fest” and tropical 2 swirling tornadocane…

      • Tom

        November 3, 2022 at 12:23 pm

        Crispy critters, is a chameleon he is a joke. Stay on topic Joey moron, Dems are abandoning the party, candidates. Enjoy the political beat down.

        • Joe Corsin

          November 3, 2022 at 1:00 pm

          “Post-term election” we will see DARK GARLAND vote NO to Trump crime spree. Enjoy!

  • Arthur

    November 3, 2022 at 9:39 am

    Because it’s his constitutional right to do so. The machinery of government so outweighs the power of an individual that we are not required to defend we are innocent, the presumption is innocence. The fifth amendment guarantees this because prior to our Us Constitution lives where subject to the whims of tyrants. Sounds like you wish it would go back that way?

    • marylou

      November 3, 2022 at 1:05 pm

      Not a lawyer! But it’s my understanding that in a civil case, like Scott’s, the court can draw an “adverse inference” when a defendant pleads the fifth.

      Scott plead the fifth 70+ times in the Medicare fraud deposition. That makes it reasonable to ask what he’s hiding.

  • Boaz

    November 3, 2022 at 4:15 pm

    Hyperbole, no? When picking a state or country in which to reside, there are many choices for those voting with their feet, as it were. If socialist dystopia is what you seek, China, Russia, Belarus, Venezuela, Nicaragua, et al., come to mind. Our constitutional republic will be here long after you emigrate, provided you’re not a bot for the GRU or the CCP. Siberia is reportedly nice in the short time they call summer.

    • Joe Corsin

      November 3, 2022 at 6:21 pm

      Germany and Scandinavian countries much better than USA. There are worse countries than America but there are better. Enjoy the billionaire take over! Your grandchildren will be cleaning toilets for Trump $5 an hour.. living 15 to a house.

  • Charlie Crist

    November 3, 2022 at 6:04 pm

    You people are all dumb. Vote for me and help me get back in the capitol for John Morgan and my other criminal friends or I’ll have to go back to dressing like a hobo and panhandling for beer money.

    • Donald J Trump

      November 3, 2022 at 6:23 pm

      Vote for me. I’ll cut my own taxes and sell you snake oil. Take you for your socks and haul azz!

  • Boaz

    November 4, 2022 at 12:53 am

    Scandinavian countries? Really? You need to watch or read something other than U.S. crony corporate media outlets. For instance, Sweden just elected its most right-wing government in nearly a century. Right-wing parties are on the rise in Europe, including Scandinavia. “Sweden’s right-wing announces new government with far-right backing.  [T]he country’s far-right party remains firmly anti-immigration and anti-multiculturalism.  Three Swedish right-wing parties have agreed to form a government with the unprecedented support of the far-right, conservative leader Ulf Kristersson said Friday, October 14.” Look on the bright side: Russia, China, Belarus, Nicaragua, Venezuela, and Cuba are in desperate need of new residents. You could start your own expat community, or you could concede you reside in the greatest nation on Earth, the greatest experiment in self-government in the annals of human history.

Comments are closed.


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