Florida Politics - Campaigns & Elections. Lobbying & Government.

Steve SchaleDecember 5, 2016

It is time for one last big data piece on Florida 2016. For about 18 hours a day over 2+ weeks, I found myself living and breathing early voting data. So now that all the data have been reported from counties, I wanted to look back at some assumptions, and compare them to the actual […]

Joe HendersonNovember 30, 2016

We probably will never know what happened inside Trump Tower recently when Florida Gov. Rick Scott met with the president-elect. It wouldn’t surprise me, though, if they talked about jobs the entire time. I mention this because Donald Trump gave a preview this week of what he hopes are coming attractions. He announced that Carrier, […]

Associated PressNovember 28, 2016

The drama, disputes and falsehoods that permeated Donald Trump‘s presidential campaign are now roiling his transition to the White House, forcing aides to defend his baseless assertions of illegal voting and sending internal fights spilling into public. On Monday, a recount effort, led by Green Party candidate Jill Stein and joined by Hillary Clinton‘s campaign […]

Associated PressNovember 23, 2016

A group of election lawyers and data experts have asked Hillary Clinton‘s campaign to call for a recount of the vote totals in three battleground states — Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania — to ensure that a cyberattack was not committed to manipulate the totals. There is no evidence that the results were hacked or that […]

Steve SchaleNovember 16, 2016

Give any Florida strategist with statewide experience the following data points: by 7:15 p.m., the Democratic candidate has a 10-point lead in Hillsborough, a 100K vote lead in Orange, a 200K vote lead in both Dade and Broward early voting, and is ahead in Duval, and everyone would think the same thing: that Democratic candidate is going to win. Certainly, that […]

Jenna Buzzacco-FoersterNovember 16, 2016

Florida is going through a growth spurt. The Sunshine State’s population grew by 333,471 between April 1, 2015 and April 1, 2016. That marks the greatest annual increase in residents since 2006, according to a report by the Office of Economic and Demographic Research. The state’s population was more than 20.1 million as of April […]

Peter SchorschNovember 14, 2016

After marijuana amendments passed in eight of the nine states where it was on the ballot Tuesday, now nearly a quarter of all Americans live in states where recreational use of marijuana is legal. Voters in California, Maine, Massachusetts, and Nevada approved recreational marijuana amendments last week, giving nearly 50 million more Americans the right […]

Scott PowersNovember 9, 2016

President-elect Donald Trump‘s victory in Florida Tuesday included complete dominance of most Panhandle counties, but it was his success in a handful of medium-size counties scattered throughout the state such as Lee, Brevard, Pasco, and Clay that carried him past Hillary Clinton. In fact, were it not for the sizable margins of voters Trump picked up in winning […]

Associated PressNovember 9, 2016

He felt it in the breeze. Nearing the end of his long, improbable journey to victory in the presidential race, Donald Trump, the candidate of so much tumult and bluster, waxed nostalgic about how he got there. “I had great parents, great parents,” Trump told the crowd at a rally in steamy Orlando, Florida. “I […]

Associated PressNovember 8, 2016

Did Donald Trump succeed in at last winning over college-educated whites uneasy with the billionaire reality TV star? Did he drive a wave of working-class white voters? Did Hillary Clinton rebuild Barack Obama‘s winning coalition – young voters, urban liberals and minorities – while picking off moderate Republicans? Those questions are central to who will […]

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Image via TCEC.

Steve Schale: Florida early vote, a retrospective

Joe Henderson: What Democrats missed about Donald Trump, Rick Scott — it’s about jobs

Donald Trump drama rolls on: Disputes, falsehoods hit transition

Experts ask Hillary Clinton to seek recount in 3 battleground states

Steve Schale: Florida 2016 in the rearview mirror

Florida sees greatest annual increase in population since 2006

Marijuana reform went 8 for 9 on the ballot; is it at a tipping point?

Donald Trump win fueled by Panhandle, Lee, Brevard, Pasco counties

Donald Trump rides chutzpah to victory in presidential race

In White House math, certain places offer clues on outcome