Florida Politics - Campaigns & Elections. Lobbying & Government.

Scott PowersMarch 12, 2016

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A new poll conducted by Florida Atlantic University gives commanding leads to Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton headed to Florida’s presidential primary on Tuesday. The survey, conducted Tuesday through Friday by FAU’s Business and Economics Polling Initiative, gives Trump 44 percent, followed by a tie between U.S. Sens. Marco Rubio of Florida and […]

Peter SchorschFebruary 26, 2016

As we noted in both salt shaker tests on the two recent Florida polls (Quinnipiac and AIF polls), the method used by Quinnipiac likely favors an outsider insurgent. Why is that? Quinnipiac asked randomly dialed Floridians to indicate first whether or not they were a registered voter, then which party they belonged to and then […]

Steve VancoreFebruary 25, 2016

It’s not every day that we get two similar polls from reputable pollsters. Thursday was such a day! Early in the morning, we got one from Quinnipiac and then a few hours later, Associated Industries of Florida (AIF) released a similar instrument with similar — but different — findings. What’s different? Notably, in the Q-Pac […]

Steve VancoreFebruary 25, 2016

It’s not every day that we get two similar polls from reputable pollsters. Yesterday was such a day! Early Thursday morning, we got one from Quinnipiac and then a few hours later, Associated Industries of Florida (AIF) released a similar instrument with similar — but different — findings. What’s different? Notably, in the Q-Pac poll, […]

Phil AmmannFebruary 8, 2016

Can a poll have flawed methodologies and still be relatively “accurate?” Of course it can, much in the same way a dart can be close to its intended target even if the player throwing the dart does not use good form. It might be that way with the newly released Florida Southern College poll, which […]

Steve VancoreFebruary 8, 2016

Can a poll have flawed methodologies and still be relatively “accurate?” Of course it can, much in the same way a dart can be close to its intended target even if the player throwing the dart does not use good form. It might be that way with the newly released Florida Southern College poll, which […]

Jenna Buzzacco-FoersterFebruary 4, 2016

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Chris Christie took a swipe at Marco Rubio in a new advertisement that features a top backer’s inability to identify one of Rubio’s accomplishments The 60-second spot — called “It’s a Simple Question” — features clips from a “Morning Joe” segment Thursday. In the video, Rick Santorum fails to name one of Rubio’s Senate accomplishments. […]

Jenna Buzzacco-FoersterJanuary 8, 2016

Jeb Bush’s image among Republicans has worsened, according to a new Gallup poll. Forty-five percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents said they had an unfavorable opinion of the former Florida governor. The results reflect voters opinions between Dec. 18 and Jan. 5. That support, the poll found, is significantly lower than his position in July, […]

Jim RosicaDecember 22, 2015

New polling shows Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump sweeping primaries in Florida and early-vote state New Hampshire, and tying with Texas Sen. Ted Cruz in South Carolina. The pollster, though, warns the “race is still young” and “there is still much room for movement for virtually all of the candidates.” More to the point, other focus-group surveys suggest Trump “may have hit […]

Matt FlorellDecember 21, 2015

We’ve been running StPetePolls.org for more than four years, and while it has been a lot of fun to do, and we’ve had great success in accurately predicting the results of elections in Florida, a series of changes have led to our recent decision to scale back polling operations greatly. First and foremost, our polling has never […]

Tag: polling

New poll has Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton up by more than 20 points in Florida

Why the Quinnipiac poll spells T-R-O-U-B-L-E for Bernie Sanders

Salt Shaker Test: AIF poll says Donald Trump leads, but …

Salt Shaker Test: AIF Poll says Donald Trump leads, but …

Steve Vancore: Applying the salt shaker test to the Florida Southern College poll

Applying salt shaker test to Florida Southern College poll

New Chris Christie ad pounces on Rick Santorum’s stumble to define Marco Rubio

Gallup: Jeb Bush’s image among Republicans declines

New polls show Donald Trump strong but “race still young”

The end of St Pete Polls (and polling in general) as we know it?