Florida Politics - Campaigns & Elections. Lobbying & Government.

Steve SchaleOctober 28, 2016

To: Fans of Florida From: Steve Schale, Exhausted and Disgusted Jaguars Fan Re: 11 Days Out *0 days until Gus Bradley is fired, God willing. *11 days until the election *15 days until FSU basketball tips off. Another poll showed Clinton with a three-point lead. This means that since Bloomberg declared Trump leading Florida, four […]

Steve SchaleOctober 27, 2016

To: Fellow Data Nerds From: Steve Schale, #FloridaMan Re: Day Three of Early Voting *12 days until the election *16 days until FSU basketball tips off. Before we dive into the data, can I have a side conversation with the reporters reading this? Now, I get it, the national race for president is over, and […]

Steve SchaleOctober 26, 2016

*Written before coffee, so please forgive any clear lack of English language skills. Like most Americans who also are White Sox fans, I am struggling to decide which is better, stubbing my toe (Cubs) or bumping my head (Indians). So let’s look at something more desirable than this World Series: The 2016 Campaign for President. Day 2 of in-person […]

Mitch PerryOctober 25, 2016

The conventional wisdom in Florida is that the Hillary Clinton campaign has created a much more robust infrastructure in the state compared to the Donald Trump campaign. There are now 82 Hillary For America/Florida Democratic Party field offices in the state, dozens more than the Trump campaign. Clinton and her allies have spent more than $50 million […]

Peter SchorschSeptember 19, 2016

Democratic uber consultant (and frequent Uber customer) Steve Schale contends in a must-read, table-setting blog post about which Florida Senate races are worth watching that “Oscar Braynon is running the best Senate political operation I’ve seen in years.” Really? Technically, Schale is absolutely right. Braynon is running the best political shop in years because, when compared to previous Democratic efforts, […]

Mitch PerryJuly 28, 2016

Florida Republicans dominate state government in Tallahassee, and in the state House, it’s not even close. Yet incoming House Minority Leader Janet Cruz says she “conservatively” believes the Democrats can flip six seats this coming fall, and — just as importantly — retain that number in 2018, beginning the party’s journey to finally getting close […]

Guest AuthorJune 23, 2016

Here are the 15 quick notes I put out Thursday about the new census data. More coming on all this soon: 2015 census estimates are out today. Some really interesting things in Florida. First, population up almost 1.5 million to just over 20.7 million. Florida is growing at a slightly slower rate than 2000-10, but […]

Steve SchaleJune 16, 2016

To my media friends, both banned by Trump and not: Clearly over the course of the last week, Marco Rubio‘s approach to continuing his political career has changed. But is this a good idea? Objectively, I really don’t think so. Many of you know, I have been around for all of Rubio’s career, and genuinely […]

Steve SchaleJune 7, 2016

One of the hardest things for a campaign, particularly one completely engaged in the fight, is to see beyond itself. Typically, this only gets worse when campaigns, both ones winning and losing, reach the desperate phase — the point when you have simply run out of options because the end is near. Every candidate wants […]

Scott PowersMay 9, 2016

Democratic House District 49 candidate Carlos Guillermo Smith raised $13,755 in April, one of the biggest hauls in any Central Florida state House race. Smith attributed the impressive total, his biggest month since he announced his candidacy last June, to momentum from his work as an advocate in Tallahassee during the 2016 Legislative Session, and support […]

Tag: Steve Schale

Steve Schale: Notes on the fourth day of early voting in Florida

Steve Schale: Notes on the third day of early voting in Florida

Steve Schale: Notes on the second day of early voting in Florida

Florida GOP Chair Blaise Ingoglia says ‘shadow’ Donald Trump vote in Florida is real

Is Oscar Braynon running the best Senate political operation in years?

Janet Cruz says she believes Florida Democrats can flip 6 House seats this fall

Steve Schale’s 15 quick tidbits on the new 2015 census estimates

Steve Schale: The five questions Marco Rubio must ask himself

Steve Schale: Unsolicited advice for Bernie Sanders

Carlos Guillermo Smith raises more than $13K in April for his HD 49 race