Charlie Crist internal poll shows him with a consistent, insurmountable lead
Charlie Crist seeks more cash for democracy in the Caribbean.

FLAPOL042022CH003
He's holding roughly the same lead now he enjoyed in January, GBAO Strategies finds.

A new internal poll from Charlie Crist’s campaign shows he maintains a strong lead in the Governor’s race.

The poll from GBAO Strategies shows 55% of likely Democratic Primary voters favor Crist, a Democratic Congressman and former Governor. Only 34% favor Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Fried. That gives Crist a lead well outside pollsters’ 4% margin of error. It also shows Crist winning greater than a majority of the vote, and with just 11% of voters undecided, indicating no path to victory for Fried without winning peeling a substantial number of voters from Crist.

GBAO also said it has found consistent majority support for Crist among Democratic voters throughout 2022. The campaign in February released a GBAO poll with Crist at 54%, Fried at 28% and state Sen. Annette Taddeo at 7%. Taddeo has since left the Governor’s race to run for Congress and endorsed Crist.

GBAO pollsters also showed January polling data pitting Crist and Fried head-to-head and found 56% preferred Crist and 33% wanted Fried to win the nomination. That’s virtually the same state of the race the firm found testing the electorate less than two months from the Aug. 23 Primary.

As far as the current polling, GBAO found Crist leading all demographics. He leads among Black voters 58% to 31%, among Whites 55% to 36% and among Hispanics 48% to 38%.

Despite the prospect of Fried becoming Florida’s first female Governor, Crist leads among women 55% to 35%, about the same as his 55% to 34% performance among men.

And Crist seems to have rallied support within the prominent ideological wings of the party, according to the internal survey. Pollsters found 54% of moderates and 53% of liberals say they prefer Crist, as do 64% of conservative Democrats.

For Fried’s part, her campaign dismissed the internal polling as “delusional.” Her own campaign released a poll earlier this month showing her within striking distance of Crist.

“By their own admission, this poll is based on name recognition only: ‘No messages about the candidates were read prior to the vote.’ There’s a reason they don’t read any messages about Charlie when they do their polling,” said Fried Press Secretary Caroline Korba. “It’s because they have nothing but Charlie’s name recognition from his three failed statewide campaigns.”

GBAO modeled its sample on a likely Democratic Primary voter electorate based on prior elections. The poll was taken over three days between June 23 and 26. Of note, that timeframe covers before and after the release of a Supreme Court ruling overturning Roe v. Wade. Both candidates have focused on that ruling as a reason for Democrats to come out in November, when the Primary winner will face Republican incumbent Gov. Ron DeSantis.

Jacob Ogles

Jacob Ogles has covered politics in Florida since 2000 for regional outlets including SRQ Magazine in Sarasota, The News-Press in Fort Myers and The Daily Commercial in Leesburg. His work has appeared nationally in The Advocate, Wired and other publications. Events like SRQ’s Where The Votes Are workshops made Ogles one of Southwest Florida’s most respected political analysts, and outlets like WWSB ABC 7 and WSRQ Sarasota have featured his insights. He can be reached at [email protected]


17 comments

  • Tom

    June 29, 2022 at 11:45 am

    LMAO, “insurmountable” really?
    Don’t voters decide?
    Regardless, stalker fraud will go crazy, extreme on America’s Gov.

  • Poll Taxed

    June 29, 2022 at 8:03 pm

    “Despite the prospect of Fried becoming Florida’s first female Governor, Crist leads. . .”

    There’s also a poll out showing that despite the prospect of Rover O’Barky becoming Florida’s first canine governor, Crist also leads by a wide margin.

  • Tom

    June 29, 2022 at 8:21 pm

    Poll taxed, how delirious are you?
    N Fraud Gov? What marsh do you swim in?
    No chance, no how, no way!
    Fraud is a stalker. She’s abused her financials. Biden’s approval has sunk to 35% in Florida.
    Dems are a disaster in Florida.
    Your dealing with America’s Gov.
    Chameleon and Fraud combined lose 53% to 47%. Fraud loses 54% to Gov, he will sweep 65 counties. Chameleon wins 3.
    You must be drinking grand pappys moonshine.
    DeSantis is the people’s Gov and they know it.
    Enjoy the blowout.

    • Impeach Biden

      June 30, 2022 at 7:23 am

      One of those counties Crist will win is Broward. These New Yorkers would vote for Gillum again if he was on the ballot.

    • Ron DeSantis Sucks

      June 30, 2022 at 5:34 pm

      Serious question, are you illiterate? This article is saying that Crist is favorite to win the Democratic nomination, as is Poll Taxed. Nothing about the general election.

      Honestly, I’m surprised that you’re smart enough to even figure out how to vote, if you can’t even read and comprehend a simple paragraph.

      • Tom

        July 1, 2022 at 4:41 pm

        Per Tax poll.
        Despite the “fact Fried becoming the first female Gov” is not a reference by tax poll as for primary.

        DeSantis landslide brings super majorities to legislature.

        Worry bout self ass wipe fake moniker, it does not matter. Fraud and Chameleon getting ass kicked all over Florida. One more, one little less.
        Enjoy it.

    • Bill

      July 1, 2022 at 8:43 am

      Any chance you could try your comment again in English? Your stream of consciousness ramblings make no sense at all.

      • Ron DeSantis Sucks

        July 5, 2022 at 3:22 pm

        Nothing Tom ever says makes any sense, but he seems to think he’s smarter than he is.

  • Sean Hunter

    June 30, 2022 at 11:49 am

    Stop stuffing your authoritarian whiny police state homophobic misogynistic POS governor DeSATAN down the rest of America’s throats.

    • Impeach Biden

      July 1, 2022 at 4:13 pm

      People in your party are even tossing around AOC as a possible candidate if Sleepy doesn’t run again. Are you kidding me? Newsom and the moron from Illinois are possibilities as well. Ill take DeSantis any day over those three stooges

  • jjjjj

    July 1, 2022 at 2:14 pm

    Please make to specify that that’s for the primary (which I assume), and not the general

  • IAN MACKENZIE

    July 1, 2022 at 4:59 pm

    This is unserious. DeSantis is so popular, Crist doesn’t have a chance. But keeping hoping, guy. I don’t care if you are a Dem or Repub, you must be able to see this! DeSantis will win every demographic.

    • Bill

      July 2, 2022 at 7:49 am

      I don’t doubt that you’re right but Trump was a lock in 2020 and look how that ended. It’s hard to know how many transplants from blue states have arrived here over the last couple of years and how the recent Supreme Court rulings will drive voter turnout. I guess we’ll find out in November.

      • Impeach Biden

        July 2, 2022 at 3:17 pm

        One would hope these “Blue” folks that have fled high taxes, crime, poor infrastructure and on have now learned their lesson in “Free” Florida. Not only have you fled your “Blue” state but now we all hope that you have fled your “Blue” politics. We welcome you to “Red” Florida, now please keep it that way.

  • Tom Wills

    July 3, 2022 at 8:04 pm

    Florida just isn’t ready for a female governor. Best bet is to let a white male, like Charlie, lead the state.

    • Ron DeSantis Sucks

      July 5, 2022 at 3:24 pm

      I don’t care about what’s in the pants of the primary candidates, I just want them to beat DeSantis.

  • Fred Factoid

    July 6, 2022 at 11:58 pm

    Crist will pull off the upset when he faces off with DeSantis. DeSantis has bigger issues. His weight problems are legend in his small circle of friends and family. He is very cranky according to those who say he’s trying real hard to ward off his urges for cheese cakes and twinkees/donuts etc…I can relate, I love sweets too. I hope he gets a handle on it and decides to forego politics. His wife is more important than this.

Comments are closed.


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