As potential Florida VP choice looms, Donald Trump heads to Doral this week for campaign rally
Image via AP.

Trump
Could the former President make news next week?

Former President Donald Trump will rally supporters in South Florida next week in one of his final campaign appearances before this month’s Republican National Convention.

At that Tuesday night event in Doral, the presumptive GOP nominee will deliver what his campaign’s advisory sells as a Florida-centric message.

“Florida is a place near and dear to President Trump’s heart as his home state. President Trump loves Florida and its people,” the campaign says.

The advisory suggests that Trump will blame President Joe Biden for the cost of living and security issues in the state. Biden’s campaign is in existential crisis after the Democrat’s disastrous debate last week.

“Florida families are being smothered by high inflation on everyday goods,” the campaign claims. “Biden’s weak immigration policies have turned Florida into a border state.”

The Biden camp, as expected, is setting up a stark contrast of its own with the former President, alleging that Trump will “continue to parade his extremist agenda to ban reproductive health care and cut Social Security, hurting countless Floridians” and claiming “Biden is standing up for Floridians and our reproductive freedoms, protecting seniors’ retirement benefits and health care access, and keeping our democracy safe — and that’s why he’ll win re-election this fall.”

Whether Biden wins re-election this fall or even survives as the nominee is an open question, given rampant speculation that VP Kamala Harris or others may replace him on the ticket. Harris would be the first Black woman nominated to top a major party’s presidential ticket. If nominated to the top job, she would also have access to $240 million cash on hand already controlled by the Biden-Harris campaign.

However, while questions about what happens with the Democratic ticket are necessarily open at this point, one key Biden adviser says the President can’t win the Sunshine State.

During an interview last month with Puck News, Biden re-election Chair Jen O’Malley Dillon, pointedly refused to name Florida among the states where the President thinks he can compete.

“No,” she said when asked directly by John Heilemann as he listed off states, wondering whether the campaign was treating them as battlegrounds.

Polling of the race has consistently shown Trump out in front, poised to carry the state for his third straight Presidential Election, but there has been some variance in numbers.

Ryan Tyson’s The Tyson Group poll, taken earlier this month, showed that 46% of likely voters back Trump, suitable for a 10-point lead over Biden. However, a contemporaneous Fox News survey showed that Trump had only a 4-point lead.

Meanwhile, as far as people on the outside know, at least two Florida men are still in the mix for the chance to be Trump’s running mate.

However, polls suggest that a third Sunshine State Republican, who is not under consideration, would be the stronger choice.

The Economist/YouGov poll of 1,608 adults, conducted between June 30 and July 2, shows Florida’s Governor would be the most “acceptable” vice presidential choice with Trumpers and Republicans among a list of potential contenders from Florida and beyond. That survey follows up on previous polling that led to the same conclusion.

DeSantis leads all names as an acceptable option for 49% of those who say they intend to vote for Trump, and no one else is even close. U.S. Sen. Tim Scott’s 40% is good for second place, while Rubio’s 35% is fourth, behind Ben Carson.

The same dynamic plays out among Republican voters, though the numbers are slightly lower, suggesting some Never-Trumpers are still in play. DeSantis is at 44% and in first place, with Rubio at 30%.

Donalds, a Congressman from South Florida, is far behind his Sunshine State peers. Only 18% of Trump voters and 13% of Republicans rate him as a plausible running mate for the former President.

DeSantis has said he’s not interested in the gig.

“Would you take it if it were offered to you? I don’t think I would be good at it, and I think I’m probably, you know, more valuable doing other things,” he said during an Outkick interview last year, noting that “doing No. 2” “doesn’t appeal” to him.

Meanwhile, Rubio and Donalds have put in work with questionably quotable results.

Florida’s Senior Senator touted as having appeal to Hispanic voters, raised eyebrows during an interview when he defended as figurative language Trump’s nativist contention that immigrants are “poisoning the blood” in America.

Donalds likewise made news in his efforts at Trump surrogacy.

“‘You see, during Jim Crow, the Black family was together. During Jim Crow, more Black people were not just conservative — Black people have always been conservative-minded — but more Black people voted conservatively,’” he said during an attempt to appeal to Black voters in Pennsylvania.

A.G. Gancarski

A.G. Gancarski has been the Northeast Florida correspondent for Florida Politics since 2014. His work also can be seen in the Washington Post, the New York Post, the Washington Times, and National Review, among other publications. He can be reached at [email protected] or on Twitter: @AGGancarski


29 comments

  • Elvis Pitts "THE BIG VOICE ON THE RIGHT" American

    July 4, 2024 at 1:46 pm

    Good afternoon Sage Patriots,
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    STAND BY FOR THE GREATEST ANALOGY EVER:
    Its like ANDY has been out of town for the last 3 & 1/2 Years.
    AND:
    BARNEY has been in charge of MAYBERRY.
    AND THAT IS “THE REST OF THE STORY”.
    Elvis Pitts American

    • Elvis Pitts "THE BIG VOICE ON THE RIGHT" American

      July 4, 2024 at 1:49 pm

      ….. oh BTW ….. Clay & Buck are free to use my “GREATEST ANALOGY EVER” in any way they see fit.
      EPA

    • Jill Garcia

      July 4, 2024 at 3:03 pm

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  • Gabriel

    July 4, 2024 at 1:57 pm

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    • Elvis Pitts "THE BIG VOICE ON THE RIGHT" American

      July 4, 2024 at 2:28 pm

      Not now Gabby, I’m addressing our Sage Nation, EPA

    • Frankie M.

      July 4, 2024 at 2:49 pm

      Which one makes a better Mike Pence though? That’s the question. Don’t want anybody upstaging Donnie

      • Elvis Pitts "THE BIG VOICE ON THE RIGHT" American

        July 5, 2024 at 10:35 am

        Frankie M,
        You are hereby placed on notice that I, Elvis Pitts American, are investigating you as a possable Dook 4 Brains Leftist Sympathiser.
        Once the findings are all in you stand a real chance of being sentanced to a Painfull No Wanking 3 Day Masturbation Ban as both your punishment and chastizement.
        So Frankie M watch yourself and start immediatly kissing up to me in all future commentary.
        Elvis Pitts American

  • Elvis Pitts "THE BIG VOICE ON THE RIGHT" American

    July 4, 2024 at 2:10 pm

    Everyone just please Relax Your Political Sphincters as I, Elvis Pitts American, have had one of my Sage Elvis-Side-Chats with “AMERICA’s GOVORNOR” Ron DeSantis about “What Would George Washington Do”.
    America is circeling the Toilet Bowl from the last 3 & 1/2 years under BARNEY (biden). Our Great Lady AMERICA needs TWO Strong & Sage Patriots to pull our Great Lady America out of the toilet bowl.
    THEREFORE:
    Ron & The Beautiful Casey Desantis MUST move into The VPOTUS Residence. We can send their kids to the same exclusive private school Obama’s kids went to …. so thats no longer an issue.
    The Desantis family will be in DC for 4 years with Trump then for the next 8 years under THE DESANTIS ADMINISTRATION.
    Thank you America,
    Elvis Pitts American
    *ps, Ron the time to continue playing “Hard To Get” is over. America needs you.*

    • Elvis Pitts "THE BIG VOICE ON THE RIGHT" American

      July 4, 2024 at 2:25 pm

      And further more America,
      I, Elvis Pitts American, am not at liberty to say that Rush took his “Golden Microphone & his Golden IPhone up to Heaven On High with him and I’m not at liberty to say that Rush did not take them with him.
      “RING ….. RING ….. “hold on America” I’ve gotta take this call ….. America I’ll get back to you later, EPA

  • Impeach Biden

    July 4, 2024 at 2:39 pm

    Trump will pick someone that is fully capable of running the country, not a DEI hire.

    • Michael K

      July 5, 2024 at 11:47 am

      What is a “DEI” hire in the MAGA cult? Someone who is a convicted felon or rapist? Someone who is an election denier? Someone who thinks Putin is a genius? Or just a tax cheat and adulterer?

      • MH/Duuuval

        July 5, 2024 at 9:58 pm

        A genuine MAGA genuflector, in thought, mind, word, and deed.

        • MH/Duuuval

          July 6, 2024 at 11:31 am

          And, from the horse’s posterior: DJT “posted a video on Wednesday that showed him calling her [Harris] “pathetic” and “so f——g bad.”

          Once more: Where are the results of the test Trump passed with flying colors?

  • The devil

    July 5, 2024 at 7:24 am

    Happy 4th everybody, just got out of prison, now that im finally free again, time to blow some shit up ……. let’s keep this party goinggg!!!

    • Elvis Pitts "THE BIG VOICE ON THE RIGHT" American

      July 5, 2024 at 10:36 am

      CHASTIZED

  • My Take

    July 5, 2024 at 3:17 pm

    If I were Trump I’d choose Vance.
    As an insurance policy.
    Any would-be assassins would have to note they would probably make things worse..

    • Guam Might Sink

      July 7, 2024 at 7:27 pm

      If I were Ka Mana, I would pick a squad member as my VP candidate or known geographer Hank Johnson from Georgia. You can’t lose. Come on Ka Mana.

      • MH/Duuuval

        July 9, 2024 at 8:14 pm

        Here’s the most classy Georgia House member: GOP Rep. Andrew Clyde (Ga.) who defended his description of rioters walking through the Capitol on Jan. 6 appearing to look like a “normal tourist visit” during a committee meeting on Tuesday.

  • MH/Duuuval

    July 5, 2024 at 9:56 pm

    During Jim Crow “more Black people voted conservatively,” When, and where, they could vote, that is.

    • My Take

      July 6, 2024 at 2:15 pm

      In 1950 the southern GOP had many blacks.
      Dems were Jim Crow.
      In the 60s, Nixon’s southern strategy and LBJ’s civil rights changed that.

      • MH/Duuuval

        July 7, 2024 at 10:58 am

        Correct as far as it goes, but in Mississippi and Alabama, especially, few African Americans were able to register until 1965.

        “In 1900 more than 180,000 eligible African American men were registered to vote. … By 1903, fewer than 3,000 African Americans could vote in the state.”
        — Encyclopedia of Alabama

        Mississippi was worse.

        Florida had a vigorous NAACP that boldly registered Blacks after WWII, but the leaders (the Moores) and their family were blown up by dynamite on a Christmas Day evening.

        BTW: Blacks were prohibited by law from registering as Democrats until a mid-1940s Supreme Court decision. Few places in the South had much of a Republican presence except among some whiggish whites.

        • My Take

          July 7, 2024 at 5:17 pm

          I mainly was going on a relative’s telling of Virginia

          • MH/Duuuval

            July 8, 2024 at 12:50 pm

            John Roberts declaration that Jim Crow was dead in the South (Shelby decision) and therefore federal pre-clearance of electoral changes was unnecessary, is the place to start.

            The whole state of Virginia was covered by Sec. 5, the pre-clearance section, of the Voting Rights Act.
            https://www.justice.gov/crt/jurisdictions-previously-covered-section-5.

  • My Take

    July 6, 2024 at 2:18 pm

    VD Vance would fit perfectly with Trump’s 2025 Project for Fascism

    • Impeach Biden

      July 7, 2024 at 8:02 pm

      My Take with his over used fascism claims. Once again, point us to the last fascist government since the 1940’s.

      • MH/Duuuval

        July 8, 2024 at 9:13 pm

        Franco of Spain and Salazar of Portugal come to mind immediately.

        Francisco Franco, dictator of Spain, 1939-75, is a fascist who comes to mind. Also, his fascist pal on the peninsula Antonio Salazar who ruled Portugal from 1932 -1968. “Having come to power under the Ditadura Nacional, he reframed the regime as the corporatist Estado Novo, with himself as a dictator.” (Wikipedia)

  • My Take

    July 7, 2024 at 8:14 pm

    What would Trump call his brand of fascism?
    Just MAGA?
    Seems unlikely. He always wants his name on thiigs.

  • Elvis Pitts "THE BIG VOICE ON THE RIGHT" American

    July 7, 2024 at 9:40 pm

    America, when The Fat Lady Sings, and it’s all said and done most of our “INCORRECT VOTERS” will look back and say “WHY DIDENT I JUST LISTEN TO THE SAGE ELVIS PITTS AMERICAN AND VOTE TRUMP WITH ELVIS?????
    Dont be one of those “DOOKS”,
    Thank you America,
    Elvis Pitts American

  • MH/Duuuval

    July 8, 2024 at 12:53 pm

    Technically speaking, Viktor Orban is a FASCIST — although most folks would include all tinhorn authoritarian figures including Trump’s mentor Putin as well as Xi of the PRC.

Comments are closed.


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