Florida Politics - Campaigns & Elections. Lobbying & Government.

Janelle Irwin TaylorOctober 9, 2018

A new poll by WPA Intelligence, a Republican polling company, puts Ross Spano 7 points ahead of his Democratic challenger, Kristen Carlson, in Florida’s 15th Congressional District. Anti-big government group Club for Growth Action commissioned the poll for the district that covers parts of Hillsborough, Lake and Polk counties. The poll also showed Spano with advantages […]

Steve VancoreAugust 22, 2018

Andrew Gillum may indeed be in the lead. And so may Adam Putnam. Is it possible that after Donald Trump’s endorsement and the dramatic rise in Ron DeSantis’ numbers, GOP voters are having buyer’s remorse and are reverting back to the more familiar comfort of Putnam? Maybe. And if so, good for both of them. But […]

Peter SchorschNovember 4, 2016

With four days before The. Most. Important. Election. Ever. comes to its conclusion, it’s difficult to separate the signal from the noise when it comes to polling and predictions. Right now, everyone is as much an expert about politics as they are in theories about how “Game of Thrones” will end. So many people are […]

Joe HendersonOctober 14, 2016

As we approach the home stretch of ShameFest 2016 — otherwise known as the election — we should take a moment to ponder one of the great moments the last time the nation chose a president. It was election night 2012 and Fox News, accurately as it turned out, declared President Barack Obama had won […]

Scott PowersSeptember 30, 2016

The close presidential race in Florida offers two very different paths to victory for the candidates, with Donald Trump‘s campaign needing to bring out white voters and Hillary Clinton needing to appeal to independent voters, according to Florida Chamber of Commerce polling guru Marian Johnson. Johnson laid out the latest findings of the chamber’s political […]

Mitch PerryAugust 10, 2016

The gloves are starting to come off in the Pinellas County House District 68 race. Ben Diamond is attacking his opponent in the Democratic primary, Eric Lynn, for failing to refund more than $50,000 in contributions he collected for his run for Congress in Florida’s 13th District, which he aborted earlier this year. Lynn left […]

Peter SchorschJune 29, 2016

Carlos Beruff is a successful man. He has made tens of millions of dollars building homes in Florida in boom times and lean times. He has been a dedicated community leader, serving on one high-profile board after another. A few weeks ago, Beruff — suddenly everywhere as his campaign has spent at least $4 million on television ads and he […]

Scott PowersMay 16, 2016

Florida’s outgoing Republican U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio suggested Monday he may be ready to endorse the Republican he wants to follow him into the office. “I’ll have something to say about that in the next couple of days,” Rubio said Monday after meeting in Orlando with Orange County Mayor Teresa Jacobs to discuss Central Florida’s heroin crisis. […]

Scott PowersMarch 12, 2016

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A new poll conducted by Florida Atlantic University gives commanding leads to Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton headed to Florida’s presidential primary on Tuesday. The survey, conducted Tuesday through Friday by FAU’s Business and Economics Polling Initiative, gives Trump 44 percent, followed by a tie between U.S. Sens. Marco Rubio of Florida and […]

Peter SchorschFebruary 26, 2016

As we noted in both salt shaker tests on the two recent Florida polls (Quinnipiac and AIF polls), the method used by Quinnipiac likely favors an outsider insurgent. Why is that? Quinnipiac asked randomly dialed Floridians to indicate first whether or not they were a registered voter, then which party they belonged to and then […]

Tag: polling

Club for Growth poll puts Ross Spano way out front in Kristen Carlson matchup

A guide to whether a poll of the Fla. Governor’s race should be taken with a grain of salt

The smartest guy in the room thinks Hillary Clinton will win Florida

Joe Henderson: Assault on polling begins in ‘ShameFest 2016’

Marian Johnson: Donald Trump needs to get out white voters; Hillary Clinton, independent voters

Ben Diamond blasts Eric Lynn for not returning campaign contributions for his previous run for office

The latest polling strongly suggests Carlos Beruff should drop out of U.S. Senate race

Marco Rubio may be ready to endorse in U.S. Senate race, defends his own pace

New poll has Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton up by more than 20 points in Florida

Why the Quinnipiac poll spells T-R-O-U-B-L-E for Bernie Sanders